All of the action in the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO) since the March 26 high has taken the form of a coil that is attached to the Feb-Mar upleg from the 22.74 low. Because the coil has formed within the upper 40% of the major recovery upleg, I consider it a bullish consolidation pattern, which if accurate will mean that it should resolve itself to the upside in a powerful thrust to new recovery highs – above 32.39 (into the 34.00 target zone). At this juncture, only a decline that breaks the integrity of the coil at 28.50 -- and more importantly at 28.32 – will wreck the pattern.

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

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Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management . Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 in Vancouver.

When not writing about stocks or the economy I spends a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com .

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