Retail Collapse Signals the Economic Recovery is Officially Dead

By: Graham_Summers

The “recovery” is over, at least as far as retail is concerned.

The retail ETF (XRT) has taken out its bull market trendline dating back to the 2009 bottom.

This indicates that what was support is now resistance. Momentum has broken completely and we’re now in a consolidation period at best and a downtrend at worst.

This comes at a time when large retailers like Kohl’s, Nordstrom and Macy’s are recording same-store-sales collapses ranging from 3.9% to 8.2%. Wal-Mart, the single largest retailer in the world, just recorded its first ever year over year sales drop.

The “recovery” is over. The US economy is heading into, if not already IN a recession. And stocks are poised for a Crash that will be at least on par with what hit in 2008.

We’re currently preparing for a similar situation today.

Even more than this, XRT has not only taken out its trendline, but it has since failed to reclaim former support. Instead we’ve had a dead cat bounce resulting in a “kiss” of former support, before rolling over again.

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Best Regards

Graham Summers

Phoenix Capital Research

http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

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