Yesterday's break in crude oil and downside follow-through from the 7-year trendline at $61.60 to new bear-market lows at $56.35 has accelerated into a new downleg that is pointed right for a test of the Jan 2007 low of $49.90 next. Such a decline represents another 12% on the downside, which should press weekly oil into relatively severe oversold territory for oil and its related US Oil Fund ETF (AMEX: USO). Only a rally that sustains above $62.00 will begin to repair the technical damage inflicted during the past few sessions.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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