Best Financial Markets Analysis Article The moment of truth for nearby crude oil prices, as they press against the 20 Day MA at 39.29, which also represents the mid-point of the Bollinger Bands-- and usually supports the price structure on a pullback IF (and only IF) the dominant trend direction is UP. Right now, the technical work shows a possible upside reversal off of the 2/12 low at $33.55, which climbed to 45.30 on 2/26 prior to turning lower.

This AM's pullback low at $39.44 so far has preserved the 20 DMA, but as of yet, no meaningful upside reversal has occurred. This bears watching for ETF traders interested in the US Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO). MJP 3/03/09 12:05 PM ET (39.96... USO: 24.40)

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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