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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Stock Market and Gold Mining Shares Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Most people did not expect what happened on Monday morning.  The futures traders took the ES down to 1830 with the cash market stabilizing at SPX 1867 in just a few minutes time.  Clive Maund gets some kudos here calling for the Dow Industrials to be down a potential 1000 points Monday, but as I recall, he believed it would be a public panic, not what just happened with the futures (Good call Clive!).

This was first time I’ve seen my TLC indicator be off a day as it was calling for a Friday bottom.  The Gann cycle low was maxed out at 16+4 TD’s from the July 27 low and the 4 TD low part of that cycle was due no later than early Monday, which is what happened.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

The Gold and Silver “Shortage”? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: David_Morgan

By Chris Marchese : A pet peeve of mine is when an article is published talking about a shortage in silver or gold. Recently, we have seen an increase in articles claiming that there is a precious metals shortage simply because both the U.S. mint and Royal Canadian Mint ran out of blanks. Both government mints predetermine a rough amount they will mint at the start of the year. When demand surges, a “bottleneck” can occur and this has happened in the past.

Why is this such a pet peeve? Because a shortage in a specific silver product does NOT mean a shortage in the raw material. It would be like saying there is a rice shortage if Rice Krispies stopped being produced momentarily.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Here’s What Happens When Crude Oil Geo-Policy and Market Reality Collide / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Over 220 years ago, a Scottish writer by the name of Thomas Carlyle provided a personal account of what Paris was like during the French Revolution. The three-volume work (which at one point I suggested in an academic article was two volumes longer than necessary) is full of personal anecdotes. One of them is particularly relevant these days.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Stock Market Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

My July 28 commentary was the last time I gave an update on my Hybrid Lindsay model (a hybrid approach to the work of the late technician, George Lindsay). In that commentary I mentioned my forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 and that I felt the expected low was "very close and may have already been seen last Friday". As it turned out, the low was that Monday, July 27.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Second Chance To Buy Cheap Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I want to take a special look at gold and the dollar this morning and see if we can’t alleviate some of the fears created yesterday by the big move down in mining stocks. As I’ve noted before it’s not uncommon for big money to try to run stops to enter at the cheapest price possible. We actually saw GDXJ run the stops last winter right before a second daily cycle tacked on some very big gains in the metals sector. We may see that again in the mining sector over the next few days, possibly as oil puts in its final three-year cycle low.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Gold Facts and Gold Speculations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Gold was valuable 3,000 years ago and will be valuable 3,000 years from now.  But can you say the same for dollars, euros, yen, or pounds?

Gold maintains its value (on average) over centuries.  Can you expect similar longevity for debt based fiat currencies that are managed by politicians and created with printing presses or computers in central banks?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

CNBC Bimbos Stock Market Rebound Ecstasy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: James_Quinn

The CNBC bubble headed bimbos and brainless stock touting twits will be in ecstasy today as the ever predictable rebound is under way. The market will soar by over 500 points at the opening as the excuse of the day is China’s desperate interest rate cut to try and stem their downward spiraling economy and markets. The Wall Street captured boob tube brigade will tell their almost non-existent viewership that all is well. The terrifying plunge is in the past. The economy is great. Housing is strong. Stocks are now a bargain. It’s the best time to buy.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

China First - Stock Market Freefall. Then -- Panic. Now What? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: EWI

How does the Chinese market meltdown fit into Asia BIG Elliott wave picture?

Yes, China has crashed. But what about the big picture?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

The Stock Market Crash Season is Here… / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Harry_Dent

It’s finally happening. The crash season is upon us.

We’ve seen the early signs this week with leading stocks getting the carpet swept out right from underneath them.

China’s stocks are right where they were when its bubble burst 35% into July. UK stocks are in a correction. The DAX is in a correction. And the S&P 500 hasn’t busted quite as much – yet – but it’s dipped below that important level of 2,000 at the bottom of the S&P 500 Channel going back to late 2011.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

The Stock Market Is Crashing…There’s No Escape / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Rodney_Johnson

My phone’s ringing off the hook. My inbox is flooded. Some people want to know if this market rout is the big one. Others want to cheer us on for sticking to our guns for so long. But everyone has a question: How long will this selloff last?

The answer depends on why equities dropped in the first place. The problem is, there’s no single reason.

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Politics

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Hurricane Katrina: A 10-year review of lessons NOT learned / Politics / US Politics

By: Walter_Brasch

This week is the 10th anniversary of the destruction of the southeastern gulf coast by Hurricane Katrina.

More than 1,800 people died. There is no estimate for the number of pets and wildlife. Damage was estimated at more than $100 billion.

About 80 percent of New Orleans was flooded. In Mississippi, the water surge flooded as much as 10 miles from the beaches.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Liftoff Setback Leads to U.S. Dollar Pullback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: AnyOption

The US dollar has experienced a tremendous rally over the last year as the end of quantitative easing and prospect of interest rate normalization led to upside momentum in the currency.  Expectations were largely set for a September rate hike with many FOMC voting members forecasting two rate increases before the end of 2015.  However, with recent inflation data and the growing emerging market turmoil, the Federal Reserve might be forced to hold off with its most well intentioned plans, sapping downside strength and building the case for a deeper technical pullback in the US dollar index.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

The Stock Markets Are Extraordinarily Volatile, Here's What to Do / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The Dow swung more than 1,000 points in each direction over the course of trading yesterday. The market chaos started in Asia and spread to the United States as the day went on.

That the markets plunged that far in the first place is a sure sign that panic is definitely setting in. I'd be lying if I said I didn't feel the angst just like you do. You're not alone.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

UK Buy-to-let Mortgage Deals hit a seven-year high / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

Pensioners’ new-found ability to access their whole pension pots combined with the promise of high returns has seen activity in the buy-to-let (BTL) market surge.

In light of this increasing demand, product numbers have soared, so much so that data from Moneyfacts.co.uk has revealed that the number of BTL deals has hit 1,000 for the first time since April 2008.

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Politics

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Israel: The Case Against Attacking Iran / Politics / Israel

By: STRATFOR

George Friedman: On Aug. 21, Israeli Channel 2 Television aired a recording of Ehud Barak, Israel's former defense minister and former prime minister, saying that on three separate occasions, Israel had planned to attack Iran's nuclear facilities but canceled the attacks. According to Barak, in 2010 Israel's chief of staff at the time, Gabi Ashkenazi, refused to approve an attack plan. Israeli Cabinet members Moshe Yaalon and Yuval Steinitz backed out of another plan, and in 2012 an attack was canceled because it coincided with planned U.S.-Israeli military exercises and a visit from then-U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Saudis Could Face An Open Revolt At Next OPEC Oil Meeting / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia’s role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil.

Despite the intense financial and economic pain this decision has inflicted on Saudi Arabia, its fellow OPEC members, and other oil producers, the Saudis have given no indication they plan to alter course. In fact, Saudis have downplayed the impact of lower prices on their country, asserting that the kingdom has the financial wherewithal to withstand lower oil prices.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

How to Calmly Weather This Stock Market Downturn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: It’s no surprise that U.S. stocks have dropped into a free-fall mode.

I’ve been warning about the risks that stock, bond and other financial-asset prices face for some time.

Now that it’s happening, though, you need to understand these two things.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Stock Market Sound the Alarm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

We saw an amazing capitulation event in equities these past three sessions. It’s clear that market internals were weak, but no one could have foreseen the degree and rapidity of the selloff. The major US indices have already entered into official corrections (-10%), while many world markets are approaching bear market (-20%) territory. And it’s unlikely the declines are over. Friday’s drop was a massive distribution day, with 93% of volume trading lower. With a 1,433 point decline, that was the largest three day DOW decline on record.

The VIX spiked sharply, showing the sort of extreme panic/fear in the market that is typically reserved for the end of Investor and Yearly Cycle declines. If we use the the four-year rally in equities as our guide, this type of sell-off corresponds with markets completing a Cycle Low, after which they should turn higher and rally for 10-20 weeks in a new Cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Stock Markets Crashing, Gold Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner: U.S. Investors are on edge following last week’s and today’s sell-off in stocks around the globe. The carnage impacted equity markets in Asia, Europe, and the U.S.

Interestingly, the U.S. dollar also weakened. And bonds and gold are getting most of the safe-haven buying.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Stock Market Not Pretty.....Nothing Good For The Bulls..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

I can simply say the market is toast and stop the rest of this note, but let's explore what's taken place over the past few days. Let me try to lead you to where I think we're going. We know that the long-term monthly charts have been flashing trouble for quite some time now. The Nasdaq monthly chart had been overbought with a 70+ RSI for two, full years. Red flag number one with gusto.

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