Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Stock Market Trend Remains in a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
The big news last week was the failure of all of the major averages to follow through on the impressive gains recorded the week ending 02/19/10. As noted in last week's Market Letter, all of the major averages with the exception of the DJ Transportation and the DJ Utility Indexes had broken out of their downward channels. Also, most of the majors had completed a 50% retracement of their declines from the mid-January 2010 highs to the early February 2010 lows suggesting that a complete retracement back to the January 2010 highs were in the cards. The negatives in the market out weigh the positives at this time suggesting that a pull back over the next three to four weeks is a good possibility.”
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Sunday, February 28, 2010
Stock Market SPY Price Probability Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Richard_Shaw
In markets, anything can happen. Events in particular can cause quantum shifts in sentiment, real economic prospects, and valuation levels. However, absent discontinuities in ambient information, the probability of various prices being attained can reasonably be estimated using the Black-Scholes model.
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Sunday, February 28, 2010
Stock Markets Hit by Waves of Debt Crisis Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
As investors vacillated about the impact of developments in Greece, together with the uncertainty of strong fourth-quarter economic data possibly not carrying over to the first quarter, stock markets experienced two sharp sell-offs and two rebound rallies, limping to small gains on Friday but ending the week modestly down.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Spring is Coming for Energy Climate and Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Andrew_McKillop
In a sure sign that winter is ebbing away, global warming "catastrophe" is starting to ooze
back in governmental discourse. Meeting in Bali at the end of February, 130 environment
ministers and government delegations signalled the coming end of winter in the northern
hemisphere, by describing in coded language that the Copenhagen climate summit's
farcical conclusion was "only a tactical defeat". They agreed that low-carbon economic
growth and green energy are the only future for the oil-soaked, oil-based economies of the
world. They more than hinted that global warming change is real and serious. Despite end
of winter snow storms in New York, and especially with WTI oil futures very close to $80 a
barrel, the return of climate change business as usual is no surprise.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Stock Market Ends Week Flat Between Support and Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Piazzi
S&P ended the week flat losing 5 points, -0.4%.
This is a weekly chart
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Gold, Commodities, Stocks and Financial Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo
The following excerpt is from the latest full-length market wrap report, available only at the Honest Money Gold & Silver Report website. All major markets are covered: stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities, with the emphasis on the precious metals.
Economy
New home sales fell 7.6% in Dec., which equates to an annual sales rate of 342,000 units. This was the lowest number ever reported. Supply on the market rose to 8.1 months. Sales are down a large 22.9% for the year (see chart below).
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Saturday, February 27, 2010
Stock Market Rallies Getting Weaker and Weaker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Banister
This is a commentary on the SP 500 index and the broader NYSE index. As I often mention here for Partners, we try to work in probabilities and then plan accordingly with our investing and trading. I look at Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, oversold and overbought patterns, cycles, and other indicators to give me some clues. Today, we look at an indicator called The Force Index.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Company Insiders Have Been Selling the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
Company insiders are selling in record numbers, once again. Yes, insiders have been selling for the better part of 8 months as share prices have risen, but how good could a company's prospects be if those at the controls don't see any benefit of holding onto their shares? The S&P500 has moved over 60% since the March, 2009 lows.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Phase II Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
As I have repeatedly stated, my research indicates that the secular bull market top in equities occurred in October 2007 and that the decline into March 2009 was merely Phase I of the ongoing secular bear market. My research also continues to indicate that the rally out of the March 2009 low is the rally separating Phase I from Phase II of the ongoing secular bear market. My cyclical and statistical work suggests that 2010 should prove to be a pivotal year and that depending on exactly how the statistical and cyclical data unfolds, we could see the setup that is required to usher in the Phase II decline of the ongoing secular bear market.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Short Selling Restrictions A Great Indicator of Imminent Stock Market Crashes / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are investigating Fannie Mae's stunning $72 billion loss for 2009 as well as new short selling curbs. The two are actually related. Let's take a look.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Stock Market No Follow Through...Yet! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Yesterday we saw the market reverse beautifully off some very bad intraday lows. The Dow not far from being down 200 points. The late reversal and hollow bullish candle suggested today would be a very strong up day for the bulls. The futures were suggesting this would happen early on this morning until we got some very nasty news from that old dog, American International Group, Inc. (AIG). It said things were far worse than anticipated with losses in the billions. They also said, and this is what hurt the most, that they would need another strong infusion of cash from the Government if they were to survive. Ouch!!
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Saturday, February 27, 2010
Stock Market Rally Meets Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here is the headline statement about the GDP revision. Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter) according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Intraday and Swing Trading Gold and Stocks – How To Use Multiple Time Frames For Setups / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Acouple months ago I started providing more of my intraday charts in hopes to educate traders on current market conditions so they feel like they are “in the zone” for trading. It’s crucial to understand the intraday moves and volume levels if you want to be consistently profitable trader. It doesn’t matter whether you are day trading or swing trading, you must be following daily and intraday charts.
Friday, February 26, 2010
Is the Stock Market Saying the Economy Will Remain Strong? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Sy_Harding
Last summer, worries that the serious global recession was going to wind up in a global depression were replaced with confidence the recession would soon end. Global stimulus efforts began to work. Plunging home sales reversed to monthly sales gains. Job losses that had been exceeding 500,000 a month improved to only 150,000 jobs being lost monthly. Home prices began to improve. Consumer confidence began to rise. The steep decline in corporate earnings slowed its pace significantly.
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Friday, February 26, 2010
Surmounting Financial and Economic Armageddon, Cartel ‘End Game’ / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Wherever we look at the world economy today, we see a wall of risk…and potential financial catastrophe. We see a large number of virtually bankrupt major sovereign states (US, UK, Spain, Italy, Greece, Japan and many more) teetering atop a financial system that is bankrupt, but is temporarily kept alive with phony valuations and unlimited money printing…
Governments like the US and the UK are committed to printing increasing amounts of worthless paper money in order to finance their growing deficits. The consequence of this rescue mission will be a hyperinflationary depression in many countries, due to many currencies becoming worthless.
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Friday, February 26, 2010
Will the Financial Storm Pause Refresh? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
By: John_Browne
The world is currently in the eye of an economic hurricane. The leading edge of the storm, which made landfall in the second quarter of 2008, raged until the first quarter of 2009, and nearly demolished the world's financial system. By sand-bagging with trillions of freshly-printed paper currencies, fudging accounting rules, subsidizing key financial houses and markets, and calming the masses with half-baked rhetoric, a worldwide collapse was averted.
Friday, February 26, 2010
How Hot Money is Wrecking the U.S. Banking System… / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: When the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) released its list of "problem banks" this week, 702 institutions holding $402.8 billion in assets were found to be in trouble.
That's the longest list in 17 years, and it's only going to get worse. In fact, regulators are expecting the number of troubled lenders to grow at an accelerating rate this year. They claim that an uptick in commercial-real-estate losses will serve as the key culprit.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Prepare for Slim Pension Annuities / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Fred_Sheehan
Barclays Capital recently published its annual Equity Gilt Study. The paper includes data for asset returns in the United Kingdom back to 1899 and in the United States since 1925.
In the February 12, 2010 edition of the Financial Times, columnist John Authers wrote a summary of Barclays' conclusions. In Authers' words: "Barclays chose to look at how the bubbles of the past 10 years developed. Economic factors do not much help.... Rather, these bubbles were driven by shifts in the demand for equities and other assets - and these, in turn, were driven by demographics." Barclays misses the elephant trumpeting in the middle of the room. It is no wonder the People are still dazed by the world's financial meltdown.
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
Stock Market Volatility Rises as S&P 500 Nears March Low / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Donald_W_Dony
Probability models (Monte Carlo) suggest that there is a 70% chance of the next key low developing in March for the S&P 500.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Jim Rogers is now taking YOUR questions on DearCEO / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Submissions
We have watched every video of Jim Rogers on the internet, and are always puzzled why interviewers ask the same questions over and over again - not uncommonly within the same interview. We are also surprised that not many investors know who Jim Rogers is - even our “analysts” friends who work in investment banks have not heard of Jim. For those who have never heard of Jim Rogers, here is a 6 minute compilation video of Jim Rogers - I promise you it is worth your time!