Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 20, 2009
Traders Holiday Giveway $5,000 Up for Grabs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
INO invites you to enter the “Trader’s Blog Holiday Giveaway.” Enter for your chance to win one of twelve prizes, worth over $5,000.00 total to be given away.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
Central Bankers Blowing Bubbles in Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The Swiss franc is counted among the top-5 reserve currencies in the world, alongside the US-dollar, the Euro, the British pound, and the Japanese yen. The Swiss franc holds this top distinction, even though the Swiss economy does not find its place among the top five economies of the world. Instead, its annual output of $488-billion of goods and services ranks as the world’s 22nd largest.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
Stock Market Rydex Market Timers Buying the Dips / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Rydex market timers are buying the dip to an extreme degree.
Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
Stock Market Indices Rally From Early Losses to Close Nearly Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices managed to come back again in the afternoon to close just beneath the flatline and positive on the OEX. But it was a generally narrowly mixed picture at the close.
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Thursday, November 19, 2009
Stock Market Good Selling.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If you're still bullish overall as I am, although nothing out of hand, then today is what you wanted to see. There was a chance for a lot more selling than we saw based on two very poor economic reports that came out pre-market. A very low number of new home buyers. 80,000 shy to be exact (520,000 vs 600,000 expected). Also, a higher than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) (cost of prices to consumers) at 0.3 vs 0.2 expected. Both numbers poor. Each one by themselves is enough to take a market down hard when it's right at resistance and overbought on the daily and short-term charts. (I was even a little cautious and that’s why there’s only one position, Anadarko Petroleum (APC), in our model portfolio.)
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Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Stock Market Negative RSI Divergence Problem / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis
What is a Negative RSI Divergence and why should you care?
A Negative RSI Divergence is a condition where the underlying stock or index is moving higher, while the Relative Strength is moving lower.
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Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Stock Market Consolidation Continues...Bullish Overall Action.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Once again, with the market so close to breaking out, the bears could not take this market down appreciably. Oh, not for lack of effort. That's for sure as the bears tried all day to take things down, but could never gain any steam or momentum. Every bout of selling was met with some type of buying, if not just enough to keep things over 1100 on the S&P 500. Not enough to blast up and out but enough to keep the status quo.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Revisiting Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally, Right on Schedule / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
When someone says, “it’s different this time,” what happens next is rarely surprising.
We know it’s never different this time.
The thing is though it takes a bit of time to remember that.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Just Sell Something, Please! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The act of selling cannot be underestimated. Selling is just as important as any other decision (i.e., buying or money management) involved in trading, but it seems to get less attention in the world of market punditry. I guess it is just better for the ego to say, "I was there. I bought XYZ stock at the bottom tick." However, a buy recommendation is only good if you sell some time later at a profit, and of course, we want that trip from the buy to the time we sell to be accompanied by a tolerable draw down.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Goldman Sachs Betting on Derivatives Collapse Sparked Financial Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Earlier this month, I detailed 25 US commercial banks that had trillions (with a “T”) of dollars’ worth of exposure to derivatives on their balance sheets. At the time, I stated that even if 4% of the notional value of these derivatives was “at risk” and only 10% of that 4% went bad, that you would wipe out the total equity at the five large US banks.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Stock Market Starts the Week with a Sharp Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets were up again in a very sharp rally to start the week. The day started out with a gap up and a very strong rally that took them to new 2009 highs. They then backed and filled for a few hours and then made nominal new highs above that, reaching 1814 and change on the Nasdaq 100 and close to 1114 on the S&P 500. Then a quick sharp sell off ensued, but in the last 20 minutes they snapped back to close positive.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Stock Market Driving Us All Nuts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
You don't want to short a market in a confirmed up trend. At least not very often. I mean, why go against the trend in place. For the most part, this will just bring about bad results. On the other hand, as we trade closer to the top of the range, the market doesn't seem to want to explode up and out either. You do have to hand it to the bulls overall though. Even though they can't seem to break away from S&P 500 1100, they are keeping the pressure on the bears seemingly day after day. Like a boxer who doesn't have the power to knock out his opponent but who wins the fight by jabbing his opponent in to submission.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 16, 2009
Dow Trading Triggers Quick Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Simon asks : > Dow hit 10425, what's next ?
Its not my intention to turn The Market Oracle into a short-term trading signals site. However as you asked -
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Financial Markets Full Steam Ahead on Near Zero Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead! At least that seems to be the reaction of the financial markets to not only the good news, but the bad as well. The G20 over the past weekend reiterated the comments from the US Federal Reserve that low (or zero) interest rates will be the order of the day until further notice – meaning it will not pay to keep money in short-term instruments and in order to get any return, investors will need to accept risk.
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Dow and S&P Major Stock Market Indices Collide / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On Wednesday, 11/11/09, the Dow Jones Industrial Index rallied to a 50% retracement level based on MarketClub's Fibonacci measuring tool. The action today indicates that this level is very important and that it could be an important top for this market.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Failed Bearish Technical Setups May Be Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
"When a market doesn't do what it should do when it should do it then it may be about to do the exact opposite in a big way".
In spite of a slew of ostensibly bearish technical setups, the equities markets have refused to sell off. These technical failures may have setup a potentially powerful bullish resolution.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Trend Too Uncertain to Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Two weeks ago I called a market top, and the market proceeded to move up. In response, I covered my net short positions and remain in cash. I continue to ponder whether I was too early in my call or flat-out wrong.
To ponder this with you, some first principles here: (1) Speculate, never gamble; (2) the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy; (3) Use both technical and fundamental analysis to identify the trend of the market, a sector, or a stock.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Smart Money Turning Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
After 15 weeks of being neutral, the "smart money" indicator has turned towards a more bearish reading. The "dumb money" indicator remains in the extreme bullish zone. While not there yet, the indicators are heading in the direction that one would expect to see at a market top.
For now, I will continue to state what I have been stating for 5 weeks as it has served us well in defining the price action seen in the major market indices:
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In Britain the big story of the week was concerning Gordon Browns spelling mistakes riddled condolence letter to the mother of a soldier killed in Afghanistan which was publicised vocally by the Sun newspaper and Sky News. However the real story behind this is the brewing war between the mainstream media represented by the likes of Rupert Murdoch's News International and the internet represented by Google which allows access to a near infinite alternative sources of information.
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Saturday, November 14, 2009
Financial System Designed Almost Exclusively to Benefit the Rich / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The American journey that began on 8/15/71 is going to end over the next several years. The problems that have manifested themselves over the past few years signal the final stages of a destructive process that has stifled production and innovation and encouraged fraud in Wall Street and banking. The injection of money and credit into the financial system via the Fed and the Treasury has almost exclusively benefited the wealthy financial sector and has spread only crumbs to American citizens.
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