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Monday, March 16, 2009

Stock Market Afternoon Slide Ends 4 Session Run / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets were rather volatile on Monday. They had three major swings on the NDX and two moves on the SPX, but the bottom line was they moved sharply lower in the afternoon to close near the lows for the day going away in negative territory after being up most of the morning.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Who is Really Making Money? Part III / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Mike_Stathis

In Part II of this series, I discussed how Don Luskin serves as one of the biggest Wall Street hacks on TV. This is specifically why Larry Kudlow has him on his pro-Wall Street, neo-conservatism show. I demonstrated just how dedicated Luskin is towards this mission by discussing his ever so timely op-ed in the Washington Post. So let me finish where I left off.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Favors Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Ciovacco

There is no shortage of forecasters who continue to call a bottom in stocks. As appealing as that may appear to the casual observer, the wise investor is aware of the inherent danger of listening to anyone's forecast for the financial markets.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

This is a Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Paul_J_Nolte

It seems as all investors are from Missouri, the show-me state, inasmuch as they would like to embrace the latest run in stocks, they are leery that another break is just around the corner. Spurring stocks higher were commends from a variety of banks that they were profitable in the early months of the year (this does not include any nasty write-downs of toxic debt!). With a yield curve as steep as it is, it really should be of little surprise that “regular” banking is profitable – pay little for CDs and make loans at four percentage points more.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

The Grand Super-Cycle SPX Technical Conditions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Captain_Hook

Throw Mama From The Train – a funny and entertaining movie depending on who you are. But more so in terms of present circumstances in the stock market – a reflection of what we must live with right now as well. Mama was demeaning and aggravating in the movie, just like the market(s) in real life today. And unfortunately it's enough to make people throw their sensibilities away. In this respect everybody is so worried about missing a rally out of oversold conditions they keep gambling it's going to bounce, which does not allow for a sustainable squeeze higher. That's why stocks can't rally, because the trade is stubborn, complacent and bullish. This is of course a function of the spoiled brat mentality excessively good times for too long will foster. Thank you again, Mr. Greenspan.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Investment Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss Writes: I've been waiting patiently for a short-term rally in the stock market to buy a new batch of bear market investments.

Now we have it.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Stocks Bull-market Rally or Bear-market Fake? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon III writes: It came right down to the wire, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day Friday with its first four-day rally since November, ending the week with a gain of 9.0%. And despite that robust performance, the Dow was the laggard among the three major U.S. stock indices. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index soared 10.6% while the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index edged it with a weekly gain of 10.7%.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Does The Stock Market Rally Have Legs? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Equities finished up on Friday for the fourth straight session as sentiment about the ailing US financial sector improved. But the big question remains does this equity bounce have legs? Sure the moves are chart-friendly but investors remain dubious. Since January it's largely been the case of one step forward and the two quick steps back. For example Deutsche Banks respected equity team released a downward revision to their outlook for US corporate earnings which they now see declining some 24.5% in 2009. Their outlook for underlying S&P 500 EPS has been accordingly marked down from $72.5 to $58.3.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Will the Stocks Bear Market Continue to Reign? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Regent_Markets

There were genuine signs of emerging optimism in stock markets last week. Confidence has been largely absent so far in 2009, with every attempted rally
squashed before it really had chance to get going. There is a growing sense that this time round things are different, and this belief will only grow further, if markets can survive the next week or so without dropping too far below last Thursday’s low. The next few weeks could be a real test. If markets are able to maintain these levels without giving up too much ground, then more buyers might come out of hiding and the recovery could gain momentum.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Despite last week's big jump in the equity markets, the "dumb money" remains bearish on equities. These investors appear to be reluctant and still on the sidelines. The "smart money" is still bullish. This is a bullish alignment of signals suggesting that dips will be bought.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Global Stock Markets Short Covering Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Global stock markets surged over the past four days as investors adopted a more positive view of the prospects for the beleaguered financial sector and shrugged aside gloom about the economy. Citigroup (C) on Tuesday said it had turned a profit from operations for January and February (BUT did not mention credit losses, toxic paper, derivatives, etc.). JPMorgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) later made similar comments.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: INO

Oversold stocks soared last week, we now look in this video presentation as to where they are headed next.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As stated in last weekends analysis and newsletter, following the Dow's Friday close at 6626 that the Dow Jones Index had now fulfilled its bear market target of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 2009 and illustrated by the chart below. The primary focus hence forth was to "position for a bullish spike higher" that would CONFIRM the bear market low, and negate the secondary far less probable overshoot target of 5,700 to 6000. This occurred on Tuesday which saw the first of a series of BUY TRIGGERS both on the Intra day charts and then on the Daily time frame chart that confirmed the preceding weeks Bear Market Low and set in motion the anticipated spike that took the Dow up 12% by the end of the week to close at 7,224.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stocks Overbought Entering Seasonally Weak Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: New lows disappeared last week.

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Saturday, March 14, 2009

Trading the Stocks Bear Market Wave 4 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Joseph_Russo

SCREW YOU MADOFF - Forget 12% a YEAR … How much is 30% per MONTH worth to you? - Casting aside 46% in open profits on our primary core positions with assurance contingency securing of a minimum 2009 return on the S&P 500 of 25%, what if we told you that on top of this, our Level-Three ancillary trading operations just booked another 30% return in the 9-February 13-March timeframe? Sounds too good to be true doesn't it.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Global Stock Markets Rallies, Buoyed by Stimulus Packages / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Consumer confidence is still in the pits. - Confidence among U.S. consumers in March held near a 28-year low, reflecting mounting job losses and a deepening recession. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment climbed to 56.6 from 56.3 in February. The gauge reached a 28-year low of 55.3 in November.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stock Market– Record Increase in Supply Meets Extreme Risk Aversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Equity prices, like the prices of everything, are determined by the interaction of supply and demand factors. The latest flow-of -funds data from the Federal Reserve have an interesting factoid on the supply-side of the equities-price equation. In the fourth quarter of last year, net issuance of domestic corporate equities totaled $986 billion at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate - a record dollar amount of issuance (see Chart 1). This also was a record issuance relative to nominal GDP - 6.9% (see Chart 2).

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Analysis of a V Shaped Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Roland_Watson

The consensus I tend to read amongst market commentators is that when this market bottoms, it will be a V shaped affair. Now I mainly write on precious metals but it will be foolhardy to presume that the fortunes of these two separate assets classes are not linked in some way. After all, if money is flowing back into the stock market, that means there is less money to flow into other asset classes such as gold and silver bullion products. I am also aware that most investors will be diversified in their asset allocation and will not only be holding gold or silver but will also be looking to re-invest in general equities at an opportune time.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Pet Rocks Stock Valuation and Mark-to-Market Accounting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Below are excerpts from a Marketwatch article dated March 11, 2008. WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Republican Study Committee, a group of conservative GOP lawmakers, believe that instead of pumping billions to bail out banks, lawmakers could save the economy by simply eliminating controversial mark-to-market accounting rules, which require daily revaluing of assets [based on market prices]. The first step is a hearing Thursday, hosted by House Securities Subcommittee Chairman Paul Kanjorski, D-Penn. Kanjorski argues that the standards have proven "problematic" for banks' illiquid assets...

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stock Market Enters 2 Month Cycle Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Friday 13 may imply plenty of luck for global equity markets as it could confirm the beginning of a 2-month rally in the major indices based on cyclical analysis of the past 12 months. Since mid March 2008 (1-year anniversary of the Bear Stearns bailout), the S&P500 has persistently shown rallies and declines lasting 7-8 weeks. The same rule has applied for the FTSE, DAX and the NIKKEI.

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