Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Stock Market Mixed Expectations As Technology Stocks Reach New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Did the Stock Market Top for the First Half of 2017 Just Hit? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The top for the first half of 2017 probably just hit.

Markets do not react to what everyone knows. Markets react to surprises. And the surprise today is that the Trump administration will not be able to implement rapid reform.

Since election night, the stock market has assumed that President Trump would somehow repeal Obamacare, reform the tax code, and announce a massive infrastructure project almost immediately.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Stock Market Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a solid session for tech stocks, but not so for biotech's. The indices were mixed at the closed with the Dow down all day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 42.18 at 20,659.32. The S&P 500 was up 2.56 at 2361.13, just a couple points off the high and 9 points off the low. The Nasdaq 100 was up 23.06 at 5430.27, 3 points off the high and 25 points off its low.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

SPX Forms a Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is having an “inside day.” The most likely formation appears to be the Triangle. It is “buying time” and is not likely to be complete until the close of the day or early tomorrow. It appears to be finishing Wave (d) now and Wave (e) is likely to decline to the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2355.00. Using the Triangle formula, SPX is likely to make a final surge from the trendline to 2365.00. The hourly mid-Cycle resistance is at 2364.48 and the 61.8% retracement is at 2364.13. This cluster of resistance may be pretty formidable, but act as attractors until its time.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Critical Fibonacci Extensions May Mark End Of Trump Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research is showing critical Fibonacci extensions are in place for US Major Markets that may be foretelling of a massive market correction.  Part of our research is to search for and study events and resources that are a bit abstract.  One component of this research is to identify critical price levels and early warning triggers from abstract price data.  The major US indexes and most individual all showing price advanced over the past years and many are showing extended price rallies since the US Presidential election on November 8, 2017.  Yet, none are as foretelling as our “US Custom Index”.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

SPX Challenging its Cup with Handle Trigger Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has completed a double zigzag from yesterday’s low. The rally has retraced 48.5% of the decline from 2390.01. It may have one zigzag left to finish a 50% retracement to 2356.13 or thereabouts. However the decline from 2390.01 and its retracement have gone exactly 60 hours, or 4.3 days at the 12:00 pm high. In other words, it may be complete, or nearly so at this time.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Unusual Stock Market Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very unusual day, with huge gaps down, they broke support, in the first fifteen minutes showed extreme volatility, and then took off and ran from 5316 NDX all the way up to 5583 by midday. The S&P 500 jumped from 2322 to 2344, backed and filled, and then tried to rally again. Only in the last fifteen minutes they backed off.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Stock Market 2017 Correction Continued / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

     The 93-day cycle low we’ve been following looks to have been successful – at least for the time being – with Wednesday’s intra-day low coming right on-time. However, with a Hybrid forecast for a high on/near 4/3/17, the rally off Wednesday’s low isn’t expected to be sustained.

As shown in last week’s Market Update, the long term intervals forecast a high anytime between now and August. However, they also forecast a low between now and November. As the upcoming high is not expected to be the end of the basic advance (point J) which began at point I of Lindsay’s Long Cycle, we can’t use the standard time spans to try and time this high. We only know that there is a high degree of risk in our immediate future.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Stock Market Catalyst for Chaos / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Michael_Pento

Up until very recently, stocks had been humming along without so much as a minor speedbump and volatility was becoming a distant memory. However, it now seems prudent to once again remind investors that this extremely overvalued market is headed for an epic crash. The Cassandras, myself included, have been wrong about this warning for what seems like a long time. Nevertheless, much like those who warned of a housing bubble a few years before the bottom completely fell out, reality is destined to slam into the current triumvirate of asset bubbles, and those sounding the alarm will be proven correct again.

Monday, March 27, 2017

US Stock Market Consolidation Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

In the Wednesday Report the title read, What Type of Investor are You? My main focus was to show some intermediate to long term buy and sell signals based on the 21 month simple moving average and the MACD-Histogram. Tonight I would to take it one step further and look at the Chartology for some of the big stock market indexes which shows the intermediate to longer term perspective. There is one dominate chart pattern that has built out a consolidation pattern for the 2015 to 2016 correction.

Lets start by looking at a 4 year weekly chart for the $SPX which shows the dominate H&S consolidation pattern that was needed to consolidate the last rally phase. It could have been any number of different consolidation patterns, but this time it was the H&S consolidation pattern. Back in December of last year the SPX broke out above its neckline and has rallied strongly without much of a correction. Four weeks ago the SPX hit a high of 2401 and has been going nowhere which is suggesting the first real correction may be at hand since the rally out of the November elections low.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Short Term Stock Market Bottom Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I was looking for weakness not to exceed 4%. The drop was closer to 1.7%. A positive divergence is occurring on the 1 and 2 hour charts, which should lead to a bounce soon. There is fib support around 2329/30. Already, Sunday night, SPX futures are down 14 points. An attempt to rally into month's end looks likely, perhaps to near 2365 SPX and the dropping 20 day moving average.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Stock Market More Correction Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.

SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Stocks Have Partied Hard Since Election Night… Now Comes the Hangover / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The market is now on very thin ice.

Yesterday worked off some of the “oversold” status for stocks, but we are in extremely dangerous territory today.

The S&P 500 has taken out critical support (red line) as well as the bull market trending running back to early November (blue line).

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Political Week Presurres US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2378. After a pullback to SPX 2370 on Monday, the market gapped up to 2382 on Tuesday. But that was immediately sold off and the market hit SPX 2336 by Wednesday. Thursday the market rebounded to SPX 2359, then on Friday the market retested 2336 and ended the week at 2344. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.00%. Economic reports were mixed on the week. On the downtick: existing homes sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: new home sales, durable goods orders, and the Q1 GDP estimate. Next week’s highlights: Q4 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the PCE and a speech from FED Chair Yellen. Best to your weekend and week!

Friday, March 24, 2017

Stocks Bull Market Time to Get on Board / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

As I noted in my last COTD, there are signs popping up that stocks are about to, or have completed a very mild intermediate cycle low. The vast majority of traders decide to buy (or join the SMT) after most of the move has already happened. Last summer my biggest influx of new subs occurred right at the summer high in metals. No one wanted to join the SMT in January when I was calling the bottom. They waited till the move had rallied 180% before joining. Go figure.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Financial Markets Russian Roulette, Central Banks, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: DeviantInvestor

Grab your ultra-reliable 357 magnum revolver and load the cylinder with six, not one, rounds of ammunition. Point the gun at your head if you are a member of the struggling middle-class. Imagine pulling the trigger and hoping …

Do you feel lucky?

The Six Loads of Ammunition for your 357 revolver are:

Friday, March 24, 2017

Is Stock Market Flash Crash Postponed Until Monday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

USD spiked higher overnight, but lost all of its gains after 3:00 am in the Premarket. It hasn’t made a new low yet but, by all appearances, may do so very soon. We will be watching the 98.70 to 99.00 support to see if it is broken.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Stock Market Bubble and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In January, the Dow Jones Industrial Average broke above the symbolic 20,000 for the first time ever. This development raised again concerns about the condition of the U.S. stock market - further gains could be a headwind for the gold market, but the end of the bull market would support the yellow metal. The valuations were at record highs even before the presidential elections, but Trump's rally elevated them further, as the chart below shows.

Friday, March 24, 2017

The Best Stock Market Investment Strategy Today: Be Optimistic and Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : For the last eight years of my life, we’ve been dealing with higher taxes and lots more regulation.

Like I’ve written about before, we’ve been dealing with these things for so long that we’ve forgotten what it was like not having to deal with them.

And if we had elected Hillary Clinton, we would have gotten even more of the same. A few months into the Trump regime, and we have started to figure out that things are going to be very different.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Stock Market Mixed to Nominally Lower Day with Good Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a mixed to nominally lower day with pretty good technicals for a positive down day, which is bullish, but the overall look of the trend wasn’t good. The snapback began yesterday, extended this morning, and came down in a 3-wave corrective pullback. It remains to be seen whether the lows hold, and whether or not this extends to the downside, or if this is just a consolidation before we resume back up. Right now, I favor the downside, so we’ll see if that occurs.