Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 14, 2015
All Investors Need To Diversify Their Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Most people that make financial investments understand how important it is to research before money is invested and see how hard it can be without diversifying an investment portfolio. This basically means that the money is put into different assets like property, money markets, bonds or equities. At the same time, international market investment is also included in diversification, meaning that the money is divided in different markets, not just one.In order to understand why an investment portfolio needs to be diversified, here are some facts you have to always remember.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Stock Market Will It Or Won’t It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast for September to December 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Why Are Stocks Going Berserk? It’s All About Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If you’ve been following the markets for the last three weeks, you’ve probably figured out that something is wrong. The markets are no longer behaving the way they should, and that has people worried. Very worried. In the last 15 trading days, the Dow Jones has experienced an unprecedented 13 triple-digit days, which means that stocks have been sharply rising and falling without any rhyme or reason. The financial media has tried to explain-away the extreme volatility by pointing to slower growth in China, troubles in the Emerging Markets or various dismal data-points. But none of these adequately explain what’s going on.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
How to Prevent Costly Losses During Big Market Panics / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Sunday, September 13, 2015
FED Induced Sharp Drop in Stock Market Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The planets are coming together for the perfect storm on September 17th. First we have Mercury Retrograde, which often occurs at a top for the precious metals sector (and even the stock market). Then we have Jupiter opposing Neptune while Saturn enters into the sign of Sagittarius. Exaggerated hysteria or panic would be the best way to explain this astrological set up. My best guess is: the FED won't raise rates this time, but will hint strongly for the need to do so very soon (China may have nipped a September hike in the bud by devaluing the yuan). Everyone is expecting a retest of the August 24-25 lows anyway, so this is the perfect excuse to take it down. It also fits the pattern of an X wave of [B] bottom within an IMP (Irregular Megaphone Pattern -- discussed a few weeks ago). The big question is: will we fall just below the SPX cash price of 1867 near 1850 or below the SPY or S&P 500 futures price set the morning of August 24, 2015?
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The holiday shortened week started at SPX 1921. After a Tuesday morning, and Wednesday morning, gap up opening the SPX hit 1989. The market then declined to SPX 1937 by Thursday morning. Then the market rallied again to end the week at SPX 1961. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.05%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.15%, and the DJ World index was +2.05%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the WLEI, export/import prices, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and long term investor sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC, Industrial production, and Options expiration.
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Waiting On The Fed... What The Stock Market Likely Wants... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market seems to have found some stability after the big push lower that saw the market flash crash one day, and even though it recovered some, it saw some real technical damage, once the heavy selling episode was over. We moved from one long-term base into a new base that's actually larger than the one that saw us go nowhere for eight months.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
QE Forever Continues Unabated / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
It is a fraud to borrow what we are unable to pay. Publilius SyrusCorporations are using share buyback programs to manipulate earnings, by reducing the float of outstanding shares. This ploy was not as ubiquitous before, but today it is being used rather indiscriminately by companies as a way to boost EPS. This modern form of alchemy turns would-be losses into profits or can be utilized to make modest profits appear to be impressive in nature. We are now in the paradigm of lies and deceit. In these conditions, the truth does not thrive.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Pay Your Fair Share (to the Teachers’ Union) / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By Justin Spittler
Taxpayers take note…you could get a much bigger tax bill than you expect.
The California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) recently announced that it may move 12% of its assets, or $20 billion, out of stocks and bonds.
CalSTRS is the second-largest public pension fund in the U.S. It manages roughly $191 billion for 868,000 teachers in California.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Brace Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - Last month, the multi-month trading range on Wall Street ended with an abrupt break to the downside and once key support levels were violated, we witnessed an epic swoon! Thereafter, due to direct stock buying by the Chinese policymakers, the stock markets stabilised somewhat and we got a sharp relief rally.
As things stand today, we have already had the initial plunge from the multi-month distribution pattern and after the bounce; the S&P500 Index is now trading just beneath an area of overhead resistance (Figure 1). Going forwards, we are of the view that the bellwether index will struggle to get past the two zones of overhead resistance depicted on the chart. Even if it does surpass those levels, the now declining 200-day moving average (red line on chart) should keep the festivities in check.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
The Stocks Bear Makes a Welcome Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The S&P 500 Index had its worst August since 2001, while the Dow’s 6.6 percent drop was its biggest since declining 15 percent in August 1998. Most investors consider the September-October period to be the witching months for equities, but the past month was a painful reminder to many of them just how bad August can sometimes be.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Rebounds from Crash Low Amidst Extreme Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market indices had a very volatile, difficult day today. The day started out with a move up. They continued upward in a 5-wave advance until early afternoon when they spiked. At that point, they completed the 5-wave advance near resistance, and then pulled back in a 5-wave decline, only to snapback into the close and finish with a positive day.
It was a tough session to trade stocks today.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Volatility Drops Ahead of Q4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Following the September 2, 2015 Market Minute titled "Likely bottom for the S&P 500", the key volatility indexes continue to crest ahead of the bullish Q4 period.
The volatility indexes for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ all appear to have peaked over the last week.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Buy Gold, Sell the S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Buy low, sell high! As of today, September 3, 2015, the better choices are buying gold and selling the S&P 500 Index and relevant stocks.
Why?
Examine the graph of the ratio of Gold to S&P 500 Index for the past 25 years. The ratio is low now and likely will correct higher. I think gold will move higher and the S&P will move lower.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Sentiment Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
In the last 2 NFTRH editions, we noted extremely over bearish market sentiment conditions in Rydex bull/bear fund allocations and in Small Speculators’ net short positions. These sentiment indicators have been reset to traditional correction-ending, even bear market-ending levels. That’s the reality.
The latter especially, has been a reliable contrary indicator. Basically, the Small Specs have never been right at important market turns. For instance, they were heavily net short in the late 1990’s but by the time the market topped in 2000, they had covered and become net long. They have reliably been a contrary indicator all along the current bull market as well, going net short at each correction bottom, post 2009.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Something Happened This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
Prior to 6:00 am, the SPX futures were up to 1960.00, a near-50% retracement of yesterday’s decline. Then something happened. “S&P 500 e-mini futures have been halted twice (0551ET and 0612ET) in what one market observer exclaimed "looks like manipulation to me." So what exactly happened at 6:12am?”
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Daily Charts Show A Strong Reversal Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last night there was some actions taken by the heads in Japan. Their stock market rocked higher, which naturally caused Europe's futures to rock higher, and finally gave our futures a massive life higher. The intervention has to limit, it seems. One leader after another from all over the world are coming out with drastic actions to ensure good times for their economies. Every time the market tries to fall for a week, or so, we get the Government's kicking in to save mode. They won't allow those bears any love. No wonder markets usually go higher. It's just not an even playing field, but we have known that for more years than we can count, unfortunately. Regardless of how much the intervention may be inappropriate for the long term, action will be taken. They'll deal with the consequences later. Let someone else deal with it.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Amid Stock Market Turmoil, Investors Cling to Hope. Why? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
History shows that many investors will hold stocks all the way down
I was watching financial television as the Dow Industrials fell 400-plus points on Sept. 1.
Two market professionals were interviewed: Both said the big decline in recent weeks represented a buying opportunity.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Following Pandemonium in the Stock Market, What You Should Know Now ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dear Investor,
With the chaotic market action that began in August, a lot of advice and theories about its "cause" have been floating around the financial media:
"Buy the dip!"
"Sell and fold!"
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