Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 02, 2012
The Acquisition of Gold Mining Stocks is a Question of Timing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In an attempt to maximize the profits on our investments we consider that the timing of any purchase of precious metals mining stocks to be of paramount importance. To that end we have not increased our exposure to this sector since our last purchase, which was in February 2011 and on reflection we are pleased with our decision to keep our powder dry until the opportunity presents itself whereby we bag a jolly good bargain.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
The Gold Inflation Trade is On: Bernanke Has Broken the U.S. Dollar Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
It may not seem like much happened yesterday, but a very important event occurred. Yesterday the dollar index breached 78.65. The reason that is significant is because 78.65 marked the intraday low of the prior daily cycle. A penetration of that level indicates that the current daily cycle has now topped in a left translated manner and a new pattern of lower lows and lower highs has begun. Any time a daily cycle tops in a left translated manner it almost always indicates that the intermediate cycle has also topped.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
Potash Stocks Offer Investor Profits Ahead of Summer Doldrums / Commodities / Energy Resources
China and India have returned to the potash markets, stabilizing current prices as long-term demand continues to grow. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Corey Dias, who covers the industry for MGI Securities, brings us up to date on industry developments and shares why Brazil-based companies offer huge potential for prudent investors.
The Energy Report: Have there been any significant developments in the potash industry since you last spoke with us in January?
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
The Central Bankers' Gold Price Manipulation Footprints or "Fat Fingers"? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There has been a great deal of talk about intervention in the currency markets and especially in gold and silver of late. Zero Hedge has done a great job investigating the central banks' banker called the Bank for International Settlements or the B.I.S.. Yeasterday gold dropped almost $15 out of the blue and many in the mainstream are saying that it was a "fat finger" which happens when a trader or a broker input the wrong price and/or amount onto their trading systems thereby causing unusual price movements
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Manipulative Gold ‘Fat Finger’ Or Algo Trade Worth 1.24 Billion USD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,661.25, EUR 1,253.02, and GBP 1,024.70 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,662.50, EUR 1,256.61 and GBP 1,021.44 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $30.85/oz, €23.37/oz and £19.10/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,570.00/oz, palladium at $677.60/oz and rhodium at $1,350/oz.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Crude Oil Supply & Demand Outlook Remains Favorable for Producers / Commodities / Crude Oil
My outlook for crude oil prices remains relatively unchanged since the beginning of 2012. Potential demand destruction brought on by persistently high oil prices should limit upside for oil prices.That being said, don’t assume that US oil demand is collapsing because of elevated oil prices and sluggish economic growth.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Canola, the New Canadian Gold / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
When last we visited on Agri-Foods, 2012 was declared Year of the Soybean. That certainly seems to be the way prices are acting. Since the beginning of 2012 the U.S. dollar price of soybeans has risen by near 28%, more than twice the performance of the S&P 500's 12%. Seems some farmers, particularly in the Midwestern U.S. soybean region, are beating the Street again. Importantly, such results are not an aberration. Since early 2007, a little more than five years ago, soybean prices are up more than a 100%, a quite favorable comparison to the S&P 500 being off by ~3%. Little wonder that Agri-Land prices have been so strong.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Physical Gold Bullion Demand Giving "No Support" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices held above $1660 an ounce during Monday's morning trading London – holding on to gains from last week of 1.1% – while stock markets ticked lower, commodities were broadly flat and US and German government bonds gained as Spain continued to generate headlines.
"On the physical front [however] things were looking not as one might have hoped for [last week]", says a note from Swiss bullion refiner MKS.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Funds Cut Gold Positions to 3 Year Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,662.50, EUR 1,256.61, and GBP 1,021.44 per ounce. Friday's AM fix was USD 1,654.00, EUR 1,250.28 and GBP 1,019.60 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $31.24/oz, €23.73/oz and £19.29/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,577.75/oz, palladium at $680.30/oz and rhodium at $1,350/oz.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Critical Factors that will Impact Silver Market Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The fundamentals for silver today are even better than they were last year when its price and sentiment were higher. Nevertheless, consumer affinity for precious metals has turned rather pessimistic presently. This may be indicated by those who see a rise in the COMEX silver inventories as well as a drop-off in Silver Eagle purchases. Furthermore, our favorite so-called precious metals analysts (more like Bears in a Bull’s skin) have come out of the woodwork to rub it in that the “GOLD BULL MARKET IS NOW OVER.”
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Do Central Banks Still Love Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Despite experiencing a sharp sell-off on Wednesday, gold and silver prices fully recovered and gold even posted its best weekly gain since February. Both precious metals received support and climbed higher as more disappointing economic data hit the market, fueling speculation for additional Federal Reserve easing. Furthermore, central banks around the world continue to purchase safe-haven metals.
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Sunday, April 29, 2012
Return to the Gold Standard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There are times, my friends Michael Lewitt and Dr. Lacy Hunt agreed today at lunch, when the study of economics is best informed by a sound knowledge of history. Indeed, Michael's son wants to follow his father into the finance world, and Michael is starting him off in history. I have spent hours listening to Lacy stroll through economic history, detailing the path of economic thought from Fisher to Kindleberger to Minsky. The last few days have been one of those times when I realized how much I don't know and how much more there is to learn. Not only Lacy and Michael are here in Florida, but a long list of bright minds to learn from. James Rickards, who has recently written the tour de force book Currency Wars, Harry Dent, Doug Casey, Porter Stansberry, Greg Weldon, and John Williams of Shadow Stats, with whom I look forward to meeting (do I have questions for him!). And so many more.
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Sunday, April 29, 2012
Gold COT Report, Speculators Can Win Against Producers By... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Commercials bought 3,264 longs and covered a whopping -5,590 2,669 shorts to end the week with 58.83% of all open interest and now stand as a group at 16,723,700 ounces net short, a decrease of close to -1,000,000 net short from the previous week.
Large speculators were absolutely trounced and gave up -3,697 longs and picked up a whopping 3,314 shorts for a net long position of 13,499,400 ounces, a decrease of about 700,00 ounces from the prior week.
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Sunday, April 29, 2012
Silver COT Report, Only Way to Beat Commercials is to Go Long and Stay Long / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Commercials added 3,821 long contracts and covered 323 shorts to end the week with 48.66% of all open interest -111,765,000 ounces net short, a huge decrease of over 20,000 ounces.
Large speculators netted added 862 contract longs and covered -2,798 shorts for a net long position of 82,355,000 ounces, a dramatic reduction of almost 10,000 from the previous week.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Mad Cow Futures and Silver Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The U.S. Department of Agriculture recently confirmed the country’s fourth known case of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy or BSE, which is popularly known as Mad Cow Disease.
The highly publicized BSE case was discovered during a random test of a dairy cow carcass that was located at an animal rendering facility owned by Baker Commodities Inc., a business which removes dead animals from farms for processing into animal byproducts.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Dismal Gold and Silver Market Sentiment — Just What Dr. Bernanke Ordered / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Since the dramatic drops the silver market saw in May and September of last year, prices in the precious metals market have been suffering from an excess of negative sentiment. This adverse perception is weighing on metal prices and keeping investor demand at bay.
Furthermore, although investors have continued to buy physical silver, the overall quantity being purchased has declined significantly, resulting in reduced support for the metal’s price.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Invest in Africa Gold Stocks Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Last year, Africa was the region that witnessed the strongest growth in gold-mining operations. In an exclusive interview with The Gold Report,Nana Sangmuah, managing director of research with Toronto-based Clarus Securities, expects that trend to continue and suggests some immediate smart investments in Ghana, Mali, Liberia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
The Gold Report: Gold consultancy GFMS, which is now owned by Thomson Reuters, recently published its 2012 Gold Survey. GFMS predicts that before the end of 2012, the yellow metal will likely reach above its all-time nominal high of $1,920/ounce (oz) in September 2011. The catalysts include inflation concerns and sovereign debt problems in Europe, especially Spain. What are your thoughts on these predictions and conclusions?
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Global Gold Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Ever since the beginning of gold’s bull market, this metal’s economic balance has come under intense scrutiny. Demand has been on the rise as more and more investors have embraced gold as a store of wealth. And the supply chain has done its best to meet this growing demand.
However considering gold’s sharply rising price over the last decade, it is clear that this market has been experiencing a major structural imbalance. And the supply side of the equation has proven to be a fascinatingly volatile realm, making it quite difficult to set the scale.
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Friday, April 27, 2012
Impending Gold and Silver Price Launch / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
“The Fed is transferring immense wealth from the middle class to the most affluent, from the least privileged to the most privileged.”Mark Spitznagel, Universa Investments L.P., 4/19/12
Since late February, 2012, The Cartel* has ground Gold and Silver Bullion and the Mining Shares Prices Down. This is especially frustrating for those invested in Mining Shares, because they have been Technically “Due” for a Powerful Breakout for weeks. (As “Paper” Securities, Mining Shares are especially susceptible to Cartel Price Suppression.)
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Friday, April 27, 2012
Gold takes a Spring Break / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There has been a range of intelligent analytical opinions recently espoused, seeking to explain the action in the gold price this last six months. Whilst we have found articulations focused on consolidation most conducive, quality analysis has not just been found this side of the debate. Outside of lazy assertions that the gold bubble has burst, the debate has been heated but useful. It is always as such for gold. In the office we call the gold market the fox-hunting debate of the financial markets; very few participate but many have strong and at times heated opinions on the matter.
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