It’s starting to look more and more likely that the counter trend bounce in oil (and commodities) may be over. If so then my expectation is that oil will test $35 at some point before the 3 year cycle low is complete.

I was expecting a little more out of the bear market rally. Possibly a move to the mid 60’s before heading back down, but it’s looking more and more likely that oil is going to come up short of my original expectation and traders should probably now start looking for lower prices than hoping for one more pop higher.

Gary Savage
The Smart Money Tracker

Gary Savage authors the Smart Money Tracker and daily financial newsletter tracking the stock & commodity markets with special emphasis on the precious metals market.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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