Gold / Silver Ratio

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021 Nov 23, 2021 - 03:16 PM GMT

The chart shows that Silver is in a long-term losing battle against Gold, basically Silver is mostly not a precious metal anymore, it really is an industrial metal, well that's what the chart implies for at the time of panic when everything was crashing which commodity did people turn to? It was GOLD! NOT SIlver! So maybe it is time for the Silver bugs to ditch the alternative to fiat currency mantra and realise that it may have been true at one point many, many years ago but not for some time.

So the long-term trend is for Silver to become LESS of a precious metal and thus be marked lower against Gold and subject to industrial factors. Where the long-term trend suggest fair value for Silver should currently be around 95th the price of Gold. Whilst Silver is currently trading at 78, so Silver is over valued against Gold. Of course we should expect a great deal of volatility. However Silver at X55 earlier this year which so happens to have been my target of where silver would trade to as per my analysis of Jan 2020. However 55 was the best that Silver could ever hope of achieving which it did, now it is reverting to its long-term trend channel. which confirms my trend analysis that suggests Silver is heading lower to $18.

This is an another example of where looking at what was true in the past is probably not going to work going forward. Everyone can dream of Silver being a precious metal that is soon going rise along with the Gold price all of the way to $100 per ounce which clearly is not looking probable. In fact any rise beyond $30 is going to be tough to be maintained given the long-term dynamics. Still volatility is high enough for events to deliver sizeable 'temporary' moves out side of the primary trend channel.

The current Gold price of $1758 implies a fair Silver price of about $18.50. Of course if the Gold price takes off then so will Silver price rise by hanging onto Gold's coat tails, desperately trying to have some of Gold's shine rub off on the grey metal. Conversely if Silver is expensive relative to Gold then that implies Gold is cheap!

The rest of this extensive analysis that maps out a trend of the Silver Price into Mid 2022 has first been made available to Patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Silver Price Trend Forecast October 2021 to May 2022, CHINOBLE! AI Stocks Buying Plan

UK Inflation Soaring into the Stratosphere, Real rate Probably 20% Per Annum
The 2% Inflation SCAM, Millions of Workers take the Red Pill
Silver Previous Forecast Recap
Gold Price Trend Implications for Silver
Silver Supply and Demand
Silver vs US Dollar
Gold / Silver Ratio
SILVER Trend Analysis
Long-term Trend Analysis
Formulating a Trend Forecast
Silver Price Trend Forecast October 2021 to May 2022
Silver Investing Strategy
SIL ETF - What About Silver Mining Stocks?
Gold Price Trend Brief
Why the CCP is Living on Borrowed Time and Needs a War
Understanding the Chinese Regime and What it is Capable Of
Guanxi
Chinese People do NOT Eat Dogs Newspeak
CHINOBLE! Evergrande Reality Exposes China Fiction!
AI Stocks Portfolio Investing Strategy
AI Stocks Portfolio Amendments
AI Stocks Portfolio Current State
October Investing Plan
HIGH RISK STOCKS INVEST AND FORGET PORTFOLIO
Why China Could Crash Bitcoin / Crypto's!
My Next Analysis

Including access to my most recent extensive analysis updating AI stocks buying levels as we head into the year end stock market rally .

AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Updated Buying Levels and Zones as Financial Crisis 2.0 Continues Brewing

Contents:
Financial Crisis 2.0 Checklist
The China Syndrome
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally
Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
INVESTING LESSON - BUYING VALUE
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock
INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space
How Stagflation Effects Stocks
INTEL Bargain - 15.5% Discount Sale
Why Intel stock price dropped 15%?
FACEBOOK - 10% DIscount
IBM - 20% Discount
Amazon - 5% Discount
APPLE 4% Discount
AMD $136 on Route to $200
TSMC - $117
Microsoft $336
Google $2980, PE 28.7, EC 30.
Nvidia Leaves planet Earth - $299, PE of 106
Heads Up on NEW Potential Tech Stocks
AI Stocks Portfolio Updated Buying Levels
AI Stocks Buying Plan B
FREE TRADE the Perfect Stocks and Shares ISA?
FREE SHARE FROM FREETRADE
High Risk Stocks Brief
Crypto's 20% Discount Event
Bitcoin Trend
Palladium Brief

Also access to my recent analysis that maps out what I expect to happen during the next big crypto bull market is only just beginning for most crypto's

Bitcoin NEW All time High is TRIGGER for Future Alt Coins Price Explosion

Contents:

Bitcoin & Ethereum 2021 Trend
Crypto Portfolio Current State
The BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING!
Ravencoin to the MOON!
What am I doing?
How to Invest in Crypto's
Bitcoin 2022 Price Target
Ethereum 2022 Price Target
Ravencoin 2022 Price Target
Cardano (ADA) 2022 Price Target
Chainlink 2022 Price Target
Pokadot 2022 Price Target
Solano 2022 Price Target
Litecoin 2022 Price Target
Arweave 2022 Price Target
Stellar Lumens - XLM 2022 Price Target
Eth Classic 2022 Price Target
Vechain 2022 Price Target
EOS 2022 Price Target
Earnings Noise Delivers INTEL And IBM Buy Opps
Facebook and Google Could CRASH 10% Post Earnings Day
High Risk Stocks Swings and Roundabouts

For crypto trading and investing see Binance for 10% discount on trading fees - Discount Code LZ728VLZ

For managing your crypto's see Coinbase

For GPU mining check out Nicehash (affiliate links).

And access to why inflation will be far from transitory, batten down the hatches for what's to come-

Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation

Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
Worst Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years
The INFLATION MEGA-TREND
Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation!
Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
US Dollar - Stocks Correlation
US Dollar vs Yields vs Dow
Stock Market Conclusion
34th Anniversary of the Greatest Crash in Stock Market History - 1987
Key Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets
AI Stocks Portfolio Current State
October Investing Plan
HIGH RISK STOCKS INVEST AND FORGET PORTFOLIO
Can US Save Taiwan From China?

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

My analysis schedule includes:

UK House Prices Trend Analysis, including an update for the US and a quick look at Canada and China - 15% done
How to Get Rich! - 90% done - This is a good 6 month work in progress nearing completion.

US Dollar and British Pound analysis
Gold Price Trend Analysis - 10%

Again for immediate access to all my work do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month that is soon set to increase to $4 per month for new Patrons, so a short window of opportunity exists to lock in at $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

And ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE newsletter for my next in-depth analysis.

Your AI data preprocessing analyst.

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.