Category: Gold & Silver 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, February 03, 2009
The Long-Run Real Value of Gold, Part II / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
"Gold-backed money retained its real value for 350 years in the United States and Great Britain. It's only just clawed back to that level for investors today..."
BY THE TIME the War of the Spanish Succession was finished in 1715, the French King – who admitted that he "loved war too much" – owed the equivalent of £300 million.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Gold Being Driven to New Highs by Obama Pork Stimulus Plan / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Last week the U.S. Congress did us all a favor. $Gold rose by about $40 due to their efforts. What did they do? Well, the U.S. Congress voted to risk another depression by including a “Buy American” clause in what is mistakenly referred to as an economic stimulus plan. That clause bars the purchase of imported iron and steel. If the U.S. Senate persists in the “Buy American” requirements, and also bars the purchase of manufactured goods, in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2008 that risk of a depression will rise further. If ultimately signed into law, the Obama Depression looks like a betting man's risk.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Gold Investment Demand Jumps as Governments Pump Fresh Billions into Bankrupt Banks / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD held in a $10 range during Asian and London trade Tuesday morning, bouncing from a 3-session low of $896 an ounce as world stock markets capped their losses for 2009 to date at 10% and more.
Crude oil crept back above $40 per barrel on rumors the Opec oil cartel cut January production to reduce the global supply-glut.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Gold Manipulation and How Deflation Creates Hyperinflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We've All Been Had - As world leaders gathered over this past week for their annual wine-and-cheese ski-fest in Davos, Switzerland – perhaps we, the little people, should all take-stock [or a forensic account, perhaps?] of the cards we've been dealt.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
The Gold Silver Ratio Analysis Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
How has the Gold Silver Ratio (GSR) been doing recently and how does this stand up against the price action of gold and silver over the past years?
Now I don't personally use this ratio to trade in and out of silver. Some people swear by it and use it as a useful tool to swap between silver and gold when one becomes undervalued relative to the other. Where I come from in Britain with the high sales tax and spreads on silver, such a pursuit is not very profitable but I know it is for others.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Gold Bounces as Protectionism and Money Printing Spreads / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE WHOLESALE PRICE of gold bullion sank 2.3% in early London trade on Monday, bouncing off $905 an ounce as world stock markets also tumbled.German and French equities dropped more than 2% by lunchtime after losing one-tenth of their value in January.
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Monday, February 02, 2009
Will the Gold Uptrend Continue? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Two weeks ago, I opined that Gold may be in a position to move higher . Since that time, gold has indeed broken out (see chart below) and looks set to continue climbing-at least for the time being. Current market conditions have helped the commodity. As earning continue to disappoint and the economy shrink, traders have flocked to the precious metal.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 01, 2009
Will Gold Push Above $900 Break its Downtrend? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Financial Times: Gold pushes above $900 in buying spree“Strong investor buying on Monday pushed the price of gold above $900 a troy ounce, hitting a 3½-month high in dollar terms and posting all-time highs in euro and sterling, in a stark sign of money seeking refuge from equities and bond markets.
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Sunday, February 01, 2009
Gold and Silver Trade Higher Within Technical Trend Channel / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Speculation is on the rise. Gambling stocks are on the move. PHLX Gold & Silver Sector Index weekly loss 1.5%. Merv's Gamb-Gold Index weekly gain 10.8%. Are we getting a little over heated here?
GOLD : LONG TERM - Since turning long term bullish in November the long term Point and Figure (P&F) chart has stayed on the bull side and continues its climb. The initial projection to the $930 level was reached this past week. What next? Well, going back a few years I still have that $1600 projection which has not yet been met.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Gold Bullion and ETF Investment Demand Stampede / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
On December 17th 2008 the combined gold holdings of the World Gold Council gold Exchange Traded Funds and Barclays Gold Trust stood at 985.59 tonnes. By the 16th January 2009 this had risen to 1009.92. By 30th January early in London time they had grown to 1079.83 a growth of almost 70 tonnes in two weeks. To give one perspective, the Central Bank Gold Agreement signatories [European central banks only] sold only 3.5 tonnes in the last two weeks. There are many other gold bullion-holding funds in the developed world from Canada to Switzerland that are not included in this total. If they were the total would be approaching 1200+ tonnes. Clearly we are seeing a stampede of institutional fund management into gold at present!Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Gold New Target of $980 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In the January 25 report titled "The return of commodities", I indicated that gold is the leader among the commodity groups and that the target for this metal was $925 in February. As gold has already reached this first target earlier than expected, the new target has been raised to $980. Models continue to suggest that the US Dollar Index will see lower price levels in February and March. This action should move gold upward toward its new higher target. Equally as important to note is that gold leads the other commodity groups. Agriculture, oil and base metal are anticipated to follow gold's lead in the months to come.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Gold and U.S. Dollar Rise in Tandem on Global Risk Aversion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE of wholesale gold bullion leapt 2.2% at the start of London dealing on Friday, driven higher by strong institutional buying even as the US Dollar rose on the currency market.New US data showed the world's largest single economy contracting by 3.8% on an annualized basis at the end of 2008 – better than the 5.4% contraction forecast by private-sector economists, but still a sharp acceleration from the summer's 0.5% rate and the worst pace since 1982.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
U.S. Dollar Gold Link: Trading Note / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
So far in 2009, gold and the US Dollar have both shot higher in tandem. Why...?
"A STRONGER DOLLAR typically weighs on gold," according to Reuters. But that's not what's been happening so far in 2009. Not by a long stretch.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Silver- It's the Pits / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Throughout my association in the mining industry I have heard almost every story you can imagine. For instance, there is more gold in seawater than can be measured and some company is supposed to have some super technology that can extract it profitably.
Another one that pops up is, “Our gold does not assay by normal methods but believe me we have a lot of it and our super extraction process will make us all rich.”
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
Gold GLD Unfinished on the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
My pattern work is "warning" me that the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has unfinished business on the upside -- into new high ground above 90.19 (target 92.00). This morning's pullback low at 86.27 has the right look of the completion of a correction off of the high, and this morning's upside pivot so far suggests strongly that a new upleg has started. The GLD must hurdle and sustain above 88.90 to confirm that a run at 92.00 is in progress.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Exploding Gold Demand as Governments Print Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Larry Edelson writes: I haven't always been bullish on it. In fact, for about 20 years between 1980 and 2000, I was mostly bearish on this investment.
I believed the end of the Cold War had largely done it in from a geo-political perspective. I also believed that a new wave of technological innovation and stock market performance was going to give way to a slew of IPOs and a stock market boom in just about every asset but this one.
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
Bailouts and Low Interest Rates to Inflate Gold Price Bubble / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE gold bullion slipped to a four-session low early in London on Thursday, dropping more than 4% from Monday's 3-month high to bounce off $875 an ounce.Crude oil meantime slid back towards $41 per barrel, and European stocks stood 1.2% lower on average by lunchtime in Paris, where hundreds of thousands of workers and students joined street demonstrations to "sound a cry of anger" at the global financial crisis.
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Thursday, January 29, 2009
Gold, the Real Long-Run Value / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
WHAT'S IN A NUMBER...? Ignoring the day-to-day noise, more than a handful of gold dealers and analysts reckon gold will hit $2,200 an ounce before this bull market is done.
Why? Because that's the peak of 1980 revisited and re-priced in today's US dollars.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Today's Interest Rates are Unreal! / Interest-Rates / Gold & Silver 2009
I'm often asked the question if rising interest rates will cause downward pressure on gold prices. The answer is yes, but only if those rates are rising in real terms and not in nominal terms only. But an even more important question that needs to be asked is whether or not the Fed will be able to allow rates to rise to a level that provides the market with a positive real return. The answer, unfortunately, is no.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Gold Bounces as Bundesbank "Not the Time to Sell" the Ultimate Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE SPOT BULLION bounced from an early 2% drop in London on Wednesday, picking up to $889 per ounce after the German Bundesbank denied rumors it was selling bullion to help fund the federal government's new €50 billion economic stimulus package.The US Dollar also fell, slipping to $1.33 per Euro and $1.43 per British Pound and helping knock the Gold Price in Euros and Sterling to €666 and £620 per ounce respectively – more than a 5% discount to the all-time record highs hit on Monday.
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