Tuesday, November 15, 2016
The news they're burying in "Trump Week" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Trump.Trumpety-trump.
Trump Trump Trump.
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Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Trump Won. Here’s what YOU should do next / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
A lot of people are in shock this morning…But the election of Donald Trump didn't shock me.
For the past few weeks, months even, I've had a feeling he would win.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Here's Why Stock Market Investors Should Ignore Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Shattering the myth about earnings and the stock market
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Commodities, Forex and Stocks Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Our forecast down phase for WTI continues and was largely unaffected by the volatility seen in some markets last week. We could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Delirium of Trump Mania Win's Mr BrExit US Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
So Donald Trump, Mr BrExit WON the US Presidential Election of 2016 despite the fact that right up until the polls closed the pollsters, the mainstream media journalists and paid pundits, the so called analysts, financial markets and even betting markets ALL had concluded that Hillary Clinton was going to win. How did he do it and why did nearly every analyst get it so badly wrong?
We'll find out why in my latest and last video analysis on the US Presidential election of 2016. One where the pollster number crunches were all looking in the wrong direction for as I repeatedly pointed out that the US polls would turn out to be just as wrong as they were for the UK's EU Referendum, this election was never about the numbers as I explain why -
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Average Five-year UK Fixed Rate Mortgage Falls Below 3.00% / Personal_Finance / Mortgages
The cost of the average five-year fixed rate mortgage has fallen significantly over the past year, with many providers launching the lowest ever rates. This competition has seen the average five-year fixed mortgage rate fall below 3.00% for the first time on Moneyfacts.co.uk records.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Gold Prices Have Overreacted To The US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
To say it has been a turbulent week in markets would be a dramatic understatement. The moves around the US election were nothing short of incredible. We wrote last week about fading a risk off move over the election, and whilst we expected market nerves to calm after an initial period of uncertainty, we were completely blindsided by the pace and magnitude of the reversal. Nowhere are we more surprised than in the yellow metal’s reaction to the result. Not only do we view it as an overreaction, but actually view the gold prices as significantly undervalued in the current environment.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Good Trump, Bad Trump – What’s Really Going On? / Politics / US Politics
We expected the Super Shemitah/Jubilee time period (which officially ends on November 20th with the end of the Catholic Jubilee) to be one of dramatic change and chaos.
And, did we ever get it!
Since the beginning of the Jubilee year, in October of last year, two massive events have happened. Brexit and Trump.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
This Past Week in Gold, Silver and Copper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts a break in copper, as well as recent movements in the gold and silver markets.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Crisis Is Coming: The Elites Plan To 'Steal' Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
I call it the 'Ice Nine Plan'...
And if I'm right, it could give the financial elite total and absolute control over you and every single penny you own during the next financial crisis.
Look, in my mind there is no doubt we're heading towards disaster...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Bond Market Bull Over or The Start of The Final Blow Off Top? / Interest-Rates / Bond Bubble
Over a Trillion dollars has been vaporized in the bond market in just one week. The phrase "blood bath" is an understatement as the widows and orphans have been routed. This isn't supposed to happen in the the bond market. So is the great 33 year bond bull finally over and the deluge that we knew would ultimately come upon us? Not so fast chipmunk, is my reply and this is why. All great bull markets go through three complete phases. Phase I is the accumulation or stealth phase, phase II is the mark-up phase which lasts the longest and phase III is the blow off or mania phase. The NASDAQ and the oil bull markets exhibit provide us clean examples of these three phases in their 10 year bull runs which ended in crashes. Phase III is characterized by violent and deep yet short term corrections which shakeout all but the strongest hands. That is what the government bond market is undergoing in this recent violent move. First let's review those two bull markets in the NASDAQ and oil.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Stock Market The Final Up-Phase? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX may be entering the final short-term phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, November 14, 2016
Memo to the Next US Administration: Defense Spending Must Be For Actual Defense / Politics / US Military
In a disturbing indication of how difficult it would be to bring military spending in line with actual threats overseas, House Armed Services Chairman Rep. Mac Thornberry (R – TX) told President Obama last week that his war funding request of $11.6 billion for the rest of the year was far too low. That figure for the last two months of 2016 is larger than Spain's budget for the entire year! And this is just a "war-fighting" supplemental, not actual "defense" spending! More US troops are being sent to Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, and elsewhere and the supplemental request is a way to pay for them without falling afoul of the "sequestration" limits.
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Sunday, November 13, 2016
Hillary Points Fingers the Wrong Way for Losing to Trump / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016
Hillary consistently blames others for her deplorable public record as first lady, US senator and secretary of state - serious wrongdoing enough to land ordinary people in prison longterm for committing any one of her numerous high crimes.
In a Saturday conference call to donors contributing $100,000 or more to her campaign, she was at it again, blaming FBI director James Comey for reopening his investigation into her email scandal in late October after 650,000 new ones were discovered.
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Sunday, November 13, 2016
Bonds, Commodities and Stocks / Commodities / Financial Markets 2016
Bonds – this past week saw one of the largest weekly selloffs in decades. After finally reaching negative rates in much of the world, has the 36 year bond bubble finally popped?
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Sunday, November 13, 2016
Trumpnomics – Reinventing Political Economy for America and Its Forgotten People and the World under Donald Trump / Politics / US Politics
The core of the economic policies of Donald Trump, on the basis of what he has said so far, is for rebuilding America and empowering its forgotten people. For the last twenty years American economy has been reduced into mere Corporate Economics centered on the Service Sector, ignoring the Primary Sector – Agriculture, Mining, Fishing, Diary and Rural America- and the Secondary or Industrial Sector that are the real backbone of America. As a result, America has acquired several characteristics of a Third World Country. Further, America has created a large number of the victims ,especially the rural people and the blue color workers , known as ‘ the forgotten people of America’ consisting of not only the white, but also the colored, including the Latinos, who made Donald Trump, the President of America.
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Sunday, November 13, 2016
Krugman Gets His Alien Invasion – And Gold Bugs Get Paradise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Nobel Prize winning economist and uber-liberal New York Times columnist Paul Krugman likes to illustrate his philosophy by noting that the threat of an alien invasion would help the economy by stimulating government spending.
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Saturday, November 12, 2016
Donald Trump’s March to the Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
The near-impossible has happened, and Donald Trump is three months from being President Trump. From local elections to the presidency, this general election may have been the most vicious since Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams in 1800. Both major candidates turned to attack ads to enhance their own campaigns.
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Saturday, November 12, 2016
Copper Price Forecast – Is Copper Ready To Start A New Bull Market In 2016? / Commodities / Copper
We have covered the copper market extensively in recent weeks. As the price of copper has truly gone balistic this week, it justifies another commentary with our view on where exactly copper stands, and where it can go from here. In other words, is the copper price forecast that bullish that it suggests a new bull market has started in 2016?
MarketWatch is one of the few media outlets that provided some (positive) coverage on copper today. Their article implicitly suggests a bullish copper price forecast for the remainder of 2016: “Copper futures, meanwhile, saw a weekly climb of nearly 11%, which was the largest in over five years, as traders bet that policies expected to be pursued by Republican Donald Trump’s administration could feed demand for industrial metals.” Though fundamental data, as brought forward in their piece, does not carry too much value in our opinion, we agree with their viewpoint.
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Saturday, November 12, 2016
Stock Market Outlook For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market is behaving quite volatile again. Moreover, an intermarket rotation has started recently: some underperformers start leading, and former leaders show first signs of suffering.
That said, did our stock market outlook for 2017 change compared to our previous bullish outlook?
First and foremost, in order to determine the answer to this question, we remain focused on key price levels on the chart(s), combined with sentiment, both fundamental components of our thesis. As outlined in a recent piece, we do not expect a stock market crash in 2017. On the contrary. But we should always be on the outlook for changes in trends; a bearish scenario would kick in if the S&P 500 would breach the 2000 level and, ultimately, the 1850 level. Moreover, a failed breakout to new highs in the coming few months would invalidate our bullish view for 2017.
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