Sunday, March 06, 2016
Donald Trump: A Problem Even for Conservatives / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
The bully of the playground continued to be in the media spotlight and charging ahead to the Republican nomination for president.
In the 11th Republican debate, Donald Trump, bold and arrogant as always, kept up the attack against his three remaining opponents. To the man who once delighted in being called The Donald, Sen. Ted Cruz was “Lyin’ Ted,” a reference he made more than just a few times. However, several political fact checkers over the past three months have dismissed Trump’s claims as little more than half-truths, exaggerations, and lies. Politifacts, which checks candidate statements, revealed that about three-fifths of what Trump said during the campaign are incorrect. Among some of the errors Trump has made are that some of the families of the 9/11 suicide crews were in the U.S. prior to taking the lives of almost 3,000; that five detainees at Guantanamo Base, Cuba, whom Obama released were back on the battle field attacking Americans; that Mexico sent its citizens, especially criminals, into the U.S.; that the U.S., under the nuclear ban treaty with Iran, would be required to defend that nation if there was an attack by Israel; and that several polls show him ahead of Hillary Rodham Clinton. Several times over the past two decades, Trump has flip-flopped on issues, and then later claimed he hadn’t.
Sunday, March 06, 2016
Top Tips for Winning Walkers Crisps UEFA Champions League Promotion Prizes / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
So far I have entered 350 codes off of walker’s crisp packets and won about 50 t-shirts, 20 footballs and 10 sharing balls. So here are my top tips for maximising the number of prizes won in the Walkers crisps UEFA champions’ league promotion.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Super Tuesday Exit Polls Showed Voters Want Revolutionary Change / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
America’s dysfunctional political system is too corrupted to fix. Ordinary Americans understand.
Half the electorate usually ops out, refusing to vote when no choices exist, no one for high office representing them.
Governance at all levels is unresponsive to their rights and needs. People want revolutionary change, yet remain unwilling to get actively involved.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Stocks Have Rallied Based on Hope (Nothing’s Changed) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
What a different four weeks makes.
Four weeks ago, the S&P 500 had just taken out critical support. Everyone was panicking that the market was about to implode.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
More and More Fed Officials Calling For NIRP / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
The Fed Vice-Chair has begun laying the groundwork for NIRP.
The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance.
An excellent example of this concerns the Fed’s decision to taper QE back in 2013.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Nearly Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The week started at SPX 1948. On Monday the market rallied to SPX 1958, then sold off to 1932 by the close. Tuesday, however, kicked off a rally with a gap up opening that carried the market to SPX 2009 by Friday afternoon. Then after a pullback to SPX 1993 the market closed 2000. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.45%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.50%, and the DJ World index gained 4.0%. On the economic front reports again came in negatively biased again. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, the ADP, factory orders, monthly payrolls and the GDPn. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, auto sales, ISM services, the WLEI, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week two FED speeches on tap Monday, then the ECB meets on Thursday.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Stock Market VIX Short-Term Bottoming Candle?....Bullish Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
So many questions. Not sure I have all the answers you're looking for, but we can do our best to try and understand what's taking place. The VIX has been in a stealth down trend off the top. Other than the occasional up day, it had not had the classic gap-down day that turned hollow at the end of the day.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Two weeks ago, regarding the miners we wrote:
If it (GDXJ) surpasses its 80-week moving average then its next target is $27-$28. Meanwhile, GDX is holding above previous resistance at $18. Its next strong resistance targets are $21 and $22.
Earlier today GDX and GDXJ came within pennies of $21 and $29 respectively while Gold touched $1280 before reversing. While Gold and gold stocks could continue a bit higher, their rebound may have ended Friday morning.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Financial Repression - Margin Rules Changes Force New Private Funding of Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long and Dan Amerman have an in-depth conversation covering various topics such as Financial Repression, Quantitative Easing, devious actions of the Fed and much more.
Read full article... Read full article...Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst, author, and speaker, with BSBA and MBA degrees in Finance, and over 30 years of professional financial experience. As an investment banking vice president in the 1980s he did groundbreaking work in the security originations and asset/liability management areas, including CMO/REMIC originations as part of portfolio restructurings for financial institutions, as well as the creation of synthetic securities for institutional clients. As an independent quantitative analyst in the 1990s and 2000s, he structured mortgage-backed bond financing and provided analytical services for real estate acquisitions by multifamily and commercial real estate owners, investment banks, and tax-exempt issuers.
Saturday, March 05, 2016
Gold Price and Gold Stocks Launch! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
While at near-term risk, the gold sector is launching, not blowing off
Okay, the title of the post is a bit of a joke at this late stage of the rally because it sounds like hype and we have actually been calling the move in the gold sector a potential launch for weeks now, since gold and HUI each busted through their bear market limiters, the EMA 75 and EMA 55, respectively.
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Saturday, March 05, 2016
Walkers Crisps UEFA Champions League Wins Prizes Delivery - Footballs and Sharing Bowls Unboxing / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
It's now just over 3 weeks since I first started entering the codes off of walkers crisps packets in their UEFA Champions League Game-Ready promotion and today I received my first delivery of prizes won, 6 footballs and 3 sharing bowls. Find out what they actually look like and what quality of the items is like in this video:
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Friday, March 04, 2016
US Jobs Report 242,000 Jobs: 304,000 Were Part-Time; Average Weekly Earnings Sank / Economics / Employment
Jobs came in well above expectations at 242,000 despite tax data collections that support a Job Growth estimate of 55,000 to 85,000 .
A quick dive into the details shows the report is a lot weaker than the headline number indicates. Of the 242,000 jobs added, 304,000 of them were part time. That means the economy actually shed 62,000 full-time jobs.
Average hours worked declined as did average weekly earnings despite minimum wage hikes in numerous states at the beginning of the year.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
This Is the Only Way to Buy Gold Without the Government Tracking You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By Justin SpittlerIn place of our regular daily market commentary, we’re going to warn you about an extremely dangerous trend in government surveillance.
E.B. Tucker, editor of The Casey Report, has found a unique way to protect yourself…but the window of opportunity is closing fast.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Massive Gold Investment Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold’s powerful surge in 2016 has been driven by utterly massive investment buying. This is a marked sea change from recent years, where investors relentlessly pulled capital out of gold. But with that dire sentiment reversing, they are rushing back in with a vengeance. Major investment capital inflows into gold are an exceedingly-bullish omen, as they are what transform a mere gold rally into a new bull market.
With gold enthusiasm growing, it’s easy to forget how radically different things looked just a few months ago. Back in mid-December the day after the Fed hiked rates for the first time in 9.5 years, gold dropped to a miserable 6.1-year secular low of $1051. The popular level of antipathy towards this asset class by investing professionals was mind-boggling. They universally believed it was doomed to keep spiraling lower.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Silver Price Buy Signal – 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The gold to silver ratio has been used for years to indicate buy and sell zones in both gold and silver. Why?
- At BOTTOMS in both gold and silver, based on 40 years of history, silver prices have fallen farther and faster than gold. Hence the gold/silver ratio reaches a relative high.
- At tops in both gold and silver the ratio is often low since silver rises more rapidly than gold. As Jim Sinclair says, “silver is gold on steroids.”
Friday, March 04, 2016
Lies, Damn Lies, & BLS Economic Statistics / Economics / Economic Statistics
“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.” ― Benjamin Disraeli
It’s my favorite day of the month. The Bureau of Lies & Scams issues their double seasonally adjusted, massaged to provide a happy ending, birth death adjusted unemployment propaganda, designed to keep the masses in the dark about their own dire financial circumstances. Even though the equally manipulated GDP is at 1% or below, retail sales are plunging, corporate profits plummeted by 15% in the 4th quarter and Challenger & Grey corporate layoff announcements were up 42% in January versus last year, our fraudulent friends at the BLS announced glorious employment figures this morning.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Gold Special Update… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Last week I showed you a daily line chart for GLD which I called a coiling triangle as the price action was getting more compressed as it traded toward the apex. This daily line chart shows the breakout and backtest. Most technicians are aware of the triangle consolidation pattern but its implications may not be understood by most.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-drop is Probable...or Maybe just a Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
As mentioned last night, the algos took the SPX futures to 2002.50 before rolling over. This appears to be the final probe of the rally. Although the Premarket may currently show a positive number, chances are that the market may open in the red.
The only reason that I can give for this final surge is that the 61.8% retracement level is 1999.44.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Gold Has Surged 24% In Sterling Year To Date on Brexit and Sterling Concerns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold has surged another 4% this week to bring year to date gains to 20% in dollar terms, 19% in euro terms and 24% in sterling terms. We were interviewed by PickingAlpha.com yesterday afternoon and looked at what is currently driving gold prices higher in all currencies.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Stock Market Technicals Stay Strong Despite Early Morning Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a really good session, even though they were down in the morning, and looked like they could be breaking, especially the Nasdaq 100. Both the advance-decline and up/down volume were very strong, even during the down part of the session. It led me to believe we would get a rally, and we did, taking the S&P 500 to new highs, but the Nasdaq 100 closed down on the day.
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