Tuesday, March 19, 2019
Stock Market VIX Volaility Analysis / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's my quick look at the VIX
VIX
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Tuesday, March 19, 2019
FREE Access to Stock and Finanacial Markets Trading Analysis Worth $1229! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to their entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,229.
Starting Wednesday, March 20, you get a week of free access to every forecast, every chart, every piece of expert analysis for 50+ markets -- stocks, forex, cryptos, gold, oil and more.
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Tuesday, March 19, 2019
US Stock Markets Price Anomaly Setup Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This research post highlights what we believe to be a unique price anomaly setup in many of the US major markets this week. Our research
suggests that April 21, or near this date, will be an important price inflection point base level for the US stock markets. We believe a unique price base will begin to form near this date and a bigger price move in May/June 2019 will unfold.
Our Advanced Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system is suggesting the rotation in the US stock market may stay somewhat muted before this move on April 21 begins. The ADL predictive modeling system is one of our proprietary price modeling utilities that our research uses to identify key levels of future support and resistance as well as to watch for “price anomalies” that setup. Price anomalies are where the current price level of any symbol is greatly diverted from the ADL predictive price level. When this happens, the price will usually “revert” back to near the ADL levels at some point in the immediate future – sometimes setting up a great trading opportunity.
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Tuesday, March 19, 2019
British Car Maker Aston Martin License to Thrill No More / Companies / Auto Sector
By: EWI
By Murray Gunn
The luxury British car maker Aston Martin has learned a hard lesson; namely, diamonds may be forever, but the market for $400,000 cars is not. A February 28 Guardian article confirms that since going public on the London Stock Exchange last October, Aston Martin's shares have plummeted 40% amidst billions of dollars in losses. To be fair, some of the loss can be attributed to the company's IPO costs, but we believe that where there's smoke, there's fire. The IPO, in and of itself, is a splendid signal that the credit cycle, and the positive social mood which fueled a massive expansion of credit and rising stock values, is undergoing a bearish shift. A fall in Aston Martin's fortunes equally represents a fall out of favor of one of the most recognizable bull market icons -- Bond, James Bond.
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Tuesday, March 19, 2019
The Coming Stocks Bear Market Will Be Especially Painful for the Boomers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
My back-of-the-napkin math says retirement accounts are at least 50% invested in equity index funds.
Some of you are now asking, “What’s the problem? All those index funds have come back. Everybody is back to where they started.”
Not so fast, Jack.
Monday, March 18, 2019
Gold Price Confirmation of the Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
After gold’s plunge on Thursday, it made a comeback attempt on Friday. But that erased only half of Thursday’s vigorous decline. The situation in silver and gold miners doesn’t provide much ground for optimism either. The silent scream we wrote about in the Wednesday’s Alert for our subscribers brought serious repercussions. Both immediately and step-by-step as in a trainwreck in slow motion. Either way you look at it, just in time for our subscribers to reap the benefits. Today, we will devote extraordinary attention to the USD Index and the 2012-2013 – today link in gold.
In Thursday’s Part I, we shared with you the short-term check on precious metals sector health. In Friday’s Part II, we examined whether the most recent developments changed the long-term view anyhow. Those articles were a limited sample of exclusive care our subscribers get on an everyday basis. Today, we will follow up with even more of such a peek under the hood - another sample of what our subscribers already enjoyed on Thursday. Whether you are reading this article on our website or elsewhere on the Internet, we will now share today’s full picture with you, the visitor, on the USD Index including the Brexit tremors. On top, we will update you on the short-term implications of the 2012-2013 – today analogy. That will be the cherry on the cake. We’ll also treat you to Thursday’s summary that remains up-to-date also today.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Development Should Guide US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty Review / Politics / Phillippines
By: Dan_Steinbock
In times of great uncertainty, strategic ambiguity offers little clarity. The review of the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty should be guided by the quest for sovereignty and economic development.During his recent visit in the Philippines, Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad met Murad Ebrahim, the Filipino Muslim rebel leader who became a regional governor under the Malaysian-brokered peace deal. In the course of the meeting, Mahathir told to Murad that “it’s easy to shoot and kill, but it’s difficult to develop. If there is peace, then everything will come.”
Mahathir’s words offer guidance in intra-country divides, but also in inter-country friction, including the review of the decades-old Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT) with the United States.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Is The Stock Market Finally Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
Many investors maintain beliefs about the stock market which often have them looking the wrong way at the market turns. In fact, I can no longer count how many comments I see about how the Fed is what directs our stock market action, and it just makes me scratch my head.
The main argument by Fed watchers is that the Fed’s easy money drives the stock market. Yet, the Fed's balance sheet peaked at $4.52 trillion in January of 2015 and is down over 12% from that peak. Yet, the stock market has added over 40% since the Fed’s balance sheet peaked. Remember how often we were told by the Fed watchers that a shrinking Fed balance sheet would lead to a stock market crash? Well, it certainly did, but not in the direction most expected.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Split Stock Market Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave? Too early to tell!
Intermediate trend – Warning from leading indexes. Top of B-wave possible.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Best Precious Metals Investment and Trades for 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It’s been years since the gold and silver topped out in 2011. We have been waiting for a new bottom form and a new bull market to emerge for nearly 8 years. In this article, I’m going to compare palladium, gold, platinum, and silver and show you which of these precious metals I feel is the best long-term investment and also the best trade for 2019.
The analysis presented below is based on technical analysis using previous significant highs, and Fibonacci extensions. Both of these techniques work exceptionally well for predicting price targets both to the upside and also price corrections to the downside. If you have never used Fibonacci retracement or extensions in your trading I highly recommend learning more about them. I have no doubt it will improve your market price projection targets for your investments. I have found this technique to be the number one best trading tool for projecting future price movements in all asset classes.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Argentina's Peso, Nothing But Trouble / Currencies / Argentina
By: Steve_H_Hanke
This week, Argentina released its February inflation statistics. Inflation spiked, again. Indeed, the official annual inflation rate jumped to 51.3%/yr.
While this spike caught most observers off balance, it didn’t surprise me. Each day, I accurately measure Argentina’s inflation using high-frequency data and Purchasing Power Parity theory. By my measure, Argentina’s annual inflation rate is 100%/yr (see the accompanying chart). That’s nearly double the official rate reported for the end of February.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Chinese Data Has Delayed Effect on Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In the previous two segments of this research post PART I, PART II, we’ve hypothesized that the recent Chinese economic data and the resulting global shift to re-evaluate risk factors within China/Asia are prompting global traders/investors to seek protective alternative investment sources. Our primary concern is that a credit/debt economic contraction event may be on the cusp of unfolding over the next 12~24 months in China/Asia. It appears that all of the fundamental components are in place and, unless China is able to skillfully navigate through this credit contraction event, further economic fallout may begin to affect other global markets.
Monday, March 18, 2019
Hurdles for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
One problem for the gold stock sector was highlighted here and here evidently a little too obnoxiously for the liking of some bugs. The problem was the aggressive bullhorn sounds emanating from every orifice of the gold community the minute the charts broke upward into an obviously bullish technical state.
But while the HUI/Gold ratio has been a distinctly positive technical indicator and many bullish gold stock charts populated the sector, we had noted back in December that gold’s hysterically overbought performance vs. broad stocks was due to pull back, hopefully in an orderly consolidation. Well, the relief has dragged on and the ratio of gold to SPX and its global fellows has been consolidating alright.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Pento: Coming QE & Low Rates Will Be ‘Rocket Fuel for Gold’ / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for a must-hear conversation on why he believes central bankers must perpetually keep interest rates near zero -- and the massive inflationary bubble economy that will likely result. Also, find out how Michael is approaching gold and gold related investments for his clients right now. Don’t miss a tremendous interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals markets are trading mixed this week as gold struggles to regain the $1,300 level. Gold prices pushed higher mid week but got pulled back down on Thursday. As of this Friday recording, the yellow metal comes in just above that key physiological level at $1,303 an ounce, up a very slight 0.3% for the week.
Silver looks lower by just a couple cents or 0.3% this week to bring spot prices to $15.36 an ounce. The platinum market shows a weekly gain of 1.6% to trade at $834. And finally, palladium is leading the precious metals pack once again – advancing 2.4% this week to trade at $1,559 per ounce.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
Stock Market Trend Analysis 2019 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is my sixth video in a series to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Stock Market Dow Stocks Index covering the period from March 2019 to September 2019.
December 2018 saw panic hit the stock market on the failure of the Santa rally to materialise, as those who had bet on such a widely anticipated rally (including myself) were forced to sell out which sent the Dow plunging below support of 23,400 to a low of 21,700. Which is a reminder that we are dealing with the FUTURE, which is UNWRITTEN. So there is always a risk that the market is not going to resolve in the anticipated direction no matter how confident one is at the time that it will.
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Monday, March 18, 2019
"This is for Tommy Robinson" Shouts Knife Wielding White Supremacist Terrorist in London / Politics / UK Politics
By: John_York
UKIP's embrace of Tommy Robinson has fuelled one of Britain's foremost hate preacher to reach a broad audience many of whom have been radicalised into committing acts of violence, thank fully nothing on the scale of last weeks New Zealand terror attack. However, copy cat attacks are taking place right across the UK that Britains' tough gun laws have prevented resulting in carnage on anywhere near the same scale as that witnessed in New Zealand.
One such attack that is being widely reported on by the mainstream media was in London on Saturday near Heathrow airport where a white male after an near hour of hurling racist and white supremacist abuse on the street at passers by including "death to all muslims","I want to kill muslims", and "this is for Tommy Robinson" as reported on by witnesses, eventually went and stabbed an asian teenager in a nearby Tesco car park.
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Sunday, March 17, 2019
This Is How You Create the Biggest Credit Bubble in History / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2019
By: John_Mauldin
Last week, the ECB announced it would keep record-low interest rates for longer. The news comes shortly after the Fed gave in to the market and held off on further rate hikes.
While investors celebrate the policy reversal, they might soon regret it.
This stimulus may indeed buy the market an additional year or two. But postponing the inevitable downturn with artificially low rates will come at a cost.
The cost is a massive credit bubble that is already of biblical proportions. Its implications chill me to the bone.
Sunday, March 17, 2019
Crude Oil Bulls - For Whom the Bell Tolls / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
The oil bull still managed to score another day of gains yesterday. A meager advance but still an advance, one could say. And be forgiven, as they would not have had examined the full picture. Are we just teasing you now? Come on, there can’t be possibly more to the story... There is. The scenario that we wrote about exactly to the day two weeks ago, has come to fruition. The implications are far-reaching. Time to share.
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Sunday, March 17, 2019
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The major gold miners are grinding higher in a solid upleg, fueling growing interest in this small contrarian sector. They’ve mostly finished reporting their fourth-quarter results, revealing how they are really faring fundamentally. Collectively the world’s biggest gold miners continue to face serious challenges, which often stem from declining production. That makes stock picking more important than ever for investment success.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs and 10-Ks contain the best fundamental data available to traders. They dispel all the sentiment distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing corporations’ underlying hard fundamental realities.
While 10-Qs with filing deadlines of 40 days after quarter-ends are required for normal quarters, 10-K annual reports are instead mandated after quarters ending fiscal years. Most gold miners logically run their accounting on calendar years, so they issue 10-Ks after Q4s. Since these annual reports are larger and must be audited by independent CPAs, their filing deadlines are extended to 60 days after quarter-ends.
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Sunday, March 17, 2019
Why Buy a Land Rover - Range Rover vs Huge Tree Branch Falling on its Roof / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: HGR
One of the attractions of buying a Land Rover tends to be their robust build, i.e. they tend to be tougher than most of the cars on the road, able to cope with ruggard terrains and offer increased safety in terms of accidents. We'll in this video we found out what happens when a Big Tree drops a huge branch onto a Range Rover's roof. Find out what damage a branch does to the Land Rover that would tend to crush most other cars.
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