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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Thursday, February 28, 2019

Pakistan India Conflict over Kashmir Risks Nuclear Winter, but Gold Goes Down / Politics / Nuclear Weapons

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Many important things happened yesterday. Cohen testified before the Congress, the US-North Korea Summit took place, while tensions between India and Pakistan escalated. Will these developments boost gold?

India and Pakistan Engage in Another Conflict over Kashmir

India and Pakistan are once again squaring off over the disputed region of Kashmir. It began with the suicide attack in Indian-administered Kashmir, which killed more than 40 people. As the Pakistan-based militant group Jaish-e-Mohammed claimed responsibility for the bombing, India retaliated and launched air strikes inside Pakistan, the first aerial attacks across the Line of Control dividing both countries since 1971. The results of these strikes are not confirmed. However, we know that two Indian jets were shot down and Pakistan army captured one pilot.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, February 28, 2019

The European Health Insurance Card: The Facts that Matter / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Dylan_Moran

Good quality healthcare is still a huge issue being tackled by many countries around the world. But for residents in European Union member countries, quality healthcare is now made more accessible through the European Health Insurance Card. This card is granted to citizens either free of charge or at a reduced cost where card holders will get access to medical treatment in 31 EU and EEA countries during a temporary stay. The card replaced the E111 card after it was discontinued in 2005.

The EHIC, however, is taking the spotlight again but this time, due to concerns over its validity after the UK exits the EU. This means that the EHIC will only work for UK citizens until March 29, 2019. But while the decision whether EU health card holders from the UK can continue to use its privileges or not, let’s take a closer look at all the facts that matter when it comes to the European Health Insurance Card:

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Commodities

Thursday, February 28, 2019

Peak Gold Is Not Bullish For Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

For over a year now, the South African mining industry has experienced a measurably significant decline in the amount of gold produced.  Statistics reported by South Africa last week show that the amount of gold produced by South African mines has declined for fifteen consecutive months. In December, gold output dropped thirty-one percent from the year before.

All mines, including gold, have a useful life which is determined by the ‘extraction period’ – the period of time during which recovery of the desired mineral deposit is procured. The output over time tends to grow at first, reach a peak, and then decline. 

As the decline in output for a particular mine grows, the extraction process eventually proves unprofitable. After a certain point, it is no longer feasible to pursue the activity.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 28, 2019

US Dollar Set to Rally and Gold Collapse? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Dollar is poised to rally back to near $97.50 as this recent downside price swing ends.  We believe the US/China trade talks and North Korea deal with result in a strong upside potential for the US Dollar and the US stock market as time progresses.

A certain number of industry analysts are starting to announce the recent December 24th lows and subsequent rally as a “new bull market”.  We have been suggesting to our followers that this market has lots of room to run as a continued global capital shift takes place.  We do expect some price rotation over the next 3~5+ weeks in certain sectors – including the US stock market and Gold.  We believe the US Dollar strength will continue to push higher, above $97, with the potential to reach near $99 before the end of this year.

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Companies

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Harley Davidson Looking at Electric Bikes to Save the Day / Companies / Electric Cars

By: Rodney_Johnson

My father had a Harley in the mid-1980s, which I would ride from time to time. It was an ’83 Sportster, and it leaked oil, and the electrical system would cut off when you turned a corner.

Back then that was called “character.” Today, we’d call it sloppy workmanship.

Insiders bought the company from conglomerate AMF in the early 1980s, and by the end of the decade they’d returned the storied brand to its historical place – a well-made American icon.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

The Next Big Stock Market Indicator: Unemployment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Harry_Dent

I’m always on the lookout for leading indicators that can give us an edge over erratic, irrational markets.

There are a lot of them.

Some are complicated, like the popular composite index from the Conference Board. It includes average weekly hours by manufacturing workers, initial applications for unemployment, new manufacturing orders for consumer goods, speed of delivery from suppliers to vendors, new orders for capital goods, new residential building permits, S&P 500 stock index, inflation-adjusted money supply (M2), spread between long- and short-term rates, and consumer sentiment.
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Commodities

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

The $32 Trillion Push To Disrupt The Entire Oil Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Global oil and gas companies are increasingly facing an uphill battle as global warming policies are taking their toll. Most analysts and market watchers are focusing on peak oil demand scenarios, but the reality could be much darker. International oil companies (IOCs) are likely to face a Black Swan scenario, which could end up being a boon for state-owned oil companies (NOCs).

Increased shareholder activism, combined with global warming policies of institutional investors and NGOs, are pushing IOCs in a corner, constricting financing options for oil companies.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Bullish Sentiment Won’t Prevent a Breakout in Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Back in 2013 I recall having a bearish view on the stock market due to extremely bullish sentiment readings. The market completely ignored that, made a major breakout through 13 year resistance and continued running for years.

Lesson learned.

Turning to Gold, we find something similar during major breakouts in 2005, 2007 and 2009. In the chart below we plot Gold along with its net speculative position (as a percentage of open interest) and the widely followed daily sentiment index.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Stock Market Beware of Confirmation Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

Albert Einstein once said: “Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions."

To Mr. Einstein, it was quite clear that people have their biases, and it is extremely rare that they are able to disassociate themselves from those biases, if ever. It is for this reason that investor seek out analysts who provide support to their pre-determined biases. We call this bias confirmation. And, almost every investor you speak to is afflicted with this condition.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Slowing Stock Market Rally, What's Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

For the first time since the stock market’s bottom in December 2018, the S&P has closed in the bottom 1/3 of its daily range for 2 consecutive days. In other words, the stock market’s rally is slowing down.

Meanwhile, the housing market continues to deteriorate. Housing is a key leading indicator for the economy and stock market.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Gold and Silver Prepare For A Momentum Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today we warn of a potential downside price rotation in precious metals that may last 3~5+ weeks as metals set up for a massive breakout rally which we believe will start in late April or early May. Our custom indicators are suggesting that precious metals, and the general US stock markets, may be setting up for a bit of a reprieve rotation after a very impressive recovery. Be patient as we believe this pullback in prices will provide an excellent buying opportunity for the eventual momentum rally setting up in about 30+ days.​

Let’s start by looking at our Custom Market Volatility indicators.  The Weekly chart below highlights the recent recovery in the US stock market since the December 24th, 2018 lows and also shows that the current recovery level is sitting right at a 61.8% Fibonacci level.  It is our belief that a period of general price weakness will begin to unfold over the next 10~15+ days in the US stock market.  This rotation is very healthy for the next leg higher – the momentum rally we have been suggesting will take place in the near future.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

The Green New Art of the Deal / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

There are lots of people talking about how they much disagree with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, how silly she is, how dumb and impossible and irresponsible her Green New Deal is, but I think they’re missing a point or two. First of all: what’s the alternative? Who would you trade her for? Hillary? Feinstein? Pelosi? Bernie Sanders? Cory Booker?

Would you rather things stay the same? I can see that from the Hillary Pelosi camp, but not from any other Democrats – nor, obviously, Republicans. Three quarters of America must be dead sick of that cabal, the 50% that are GOP, plus the half of Democrats that would also prefer to vote for someone below 75 years old because 90% are themselves younger than that.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Home Equity Release Market Expands to Meet Growing Demand / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The equity release market has evolved significantly over the past five years, so much so that the number of deals available has expanded enormously. This increase in choice has been driven by growing demand from consumers searching for options to release cash from their homes.

Indeed, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that there are now over 200 lifetime equity release deals available on the market today, five times more than that seen in 2014, when there were just 40. Not only this, but the market has grown by more than 50% since a year ago, when there were 131 deals available.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Examining Trading Platforms: Features to Watch For / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems

By: Umer_Mahmood

...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

What Do You Want, Mr. Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Barrick wants to buy Newmont. Trump wants a deal with China. Palladium wants to fly into space. And what does gold want?

Will Barrick and Newmont Create Gold Monster?

Do you remember our January 24, 2019 edition of the Gold News Monitor? We analyzed in that report the historic transaction in the bullion industry, i.e. the Newmont Mining’s purchase of Goldcorp, which will create the world’s largest gold miner. Forget it!

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

Credit Card 0% Deals Cut Down to Combat Debt Crisis / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring

By: MoneyFacts

Customers looking to switch their debts from one interest-free balance transfer deal to another will now have less time to repay their debt before interest applies compared to a year ago. In February 2018, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) introduced new rules to tackle the issues surrounding persistent debt and gave providers until September to adhere.

Since then, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the longest deal available today on 0% introductory balance transfers is 32 months, down by five months since this time a year ago, when the longest was 37 months. This is a steady decline in lengthy deals and seems set to continue.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

The Coming Bitcoin Ambush / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: readtheticker

If you are accurate drawing your trading channels you will see this ambush setup on bitcoin.

All charts of bitcoin are in USD terms.

The big boys (and some late to the party) want to accumulate hard to get coins, therefore the only way they can do this is scare them out of the weak hand wallets. Those who brought above $1000 on the way up to $20000. Of course (and lets hope for the bulls) the big boys do not want to break the chart completely and force a panic sell off beyond critical levels of massive support (say BTC $1000 USD).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

Stock Traders Must Stay Optimistic – The End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This, the final segment of our multi-part research post regarding the potential future market direction as well as to identify if there is any real concern for traders regarding a “total market collapse” as some Doomsayers are predicting should help you understand what our researchers believe is the most likely outcome.  In the previous segments of this research post, we’ve covered everything from the globalization of markets and economies to key elements of core pricing levels and valuation levels of economies, equities markets and more.  The data is out there if you know where to find it and how to read it.  All one has to do is step back from the shorter term charts and see the bigger picture for a bit.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

This is the Stock Market’s Biggest 2 month Rally Since 2009. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

It has been exactly 2 months since the stock market’s bottom on Christmas Eve 2018. Since then, the S&P has rallied more than 18%, which makes this one of the biggest 2 month rallies of all time.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

Momentum Stock Trading Strategy For Optionable Stocks / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It been a great couple weeks for members of our newsletter as we start to provide more of our MRM – Momentum Reversal Method Stock Picks.

As technical traders, we specialize in trading price action and momentum. We don’t follow the news or media because it has zero predictiveness in price action.

Take a look at our most recent closed trades.

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