Wednesday, June 13, 2018
What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
The Fed is expected to hike interest rates today. As I’ve demonstrated in a previous study, the U.S. stock market has a tendency to fall a little after rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Gold Extreme Bearish Sentiment – A Huge Opportunity! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
One simple chart for tonights intro,
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Gold and Silver Price Setting Up for A Sleeper Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
As the world continues to see economic improvements, specifically within the US and major global markets, Gold and Silver are relegated to an after-thought by investors. Why consider Gold or Silver when the NASDAQ or S&P leaders are rallying 2%+ per week?
Well, the recent G7 meeting and President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jung Un in Singapore may spark a little interest in these shiny metals as they setup a “rope-a-dope breakout” for those not paying attention.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Tesla Stock Analysis / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
About three or four weeks ago TSLA was getting a lot of negative feedback from the fundamentals perspective so I showed some charts from the Chartology perspective to see how things would play. Would the fundamentals win out or would the Chartology win.
This first chart is a short term daily look which shows the rectangle that was building out with price action trading at the bottom rail when I posted this chart. I gave two price objectives based on the height of the rectangle. If the rectangle broke to the downside the minimum price objective we could expect would be 246 and if the rectangle was going to be consolidation pattern to the upside the minimum price objective we could expect was at 345 which was hit today.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
The Dangers of Investing Based on Phony Government Statistics / Economics / Economic Statistics
President Donald Trump recently took to Twitter to boast, “The U.S. has an increased economic value of more than 7 Trillion Dollars since the Election. May be the best economy in the history of our country. Record Jobs numbers. Nice!”
“We ran out of words to describe how good the jobs numbers are,” reported Neil Irwin of the New York Times, amplified in a Trump retweet.
If you believe the headline numbers, joblessness is at a generational low with the economy booming.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Time is Precious When Choosing a Car Insurance Policy / Personal_Finance / Insurance
• More than half of consumers used a comparison site to pick their car insurance plan
• Over a third (38%) spent less than an hour hunting for a new deal
• 10% of respondents automatically renewed their policy without any extra research
• Only a quarter of consumers added breakdown cover to their car insurance policy
• Windscreen cover proves most popular as 76% of consumers included it in their plan
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
What Happens Next to Stocks when Russell Goes up 6 Weeks in a Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) continues to lead the stock market higher.
As I demonstrated in a study last week, the Russell leading the S&P 500 is a medium term bullish sign for the stock market.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Gold vs. Stocks: Ratios Do Not Imply Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
There is considerable extensive research and lots of articles written about gold vs. stocks. Sometimes, that is done in order to support or justify the argument that stocks are a better, long-term investment than gold. And the results seem to indicate that.
Except that gold is not an investment.
Gold is real money and a ‘store of value’. Its fundamentals have nothing to do with the fundamentals for stocks or any other investments. When gold is analyzed as an investment, it gets compared to other investments. And then the analysts start looking for correlations.
Some say that an ‘investment’ in gold is correlated inversely to stocks. But there have been periods of time when both stocks and gold went up or down simultaneously.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
G7 Globalist Fear Trump Trade Reset / Politics / Protectionism
President Trump has announced that the U.S. piggy bank will no longer subsidize or be sucked dry to finance a pack of ungrateful allies. Keeping the Socialist EU afloat and putting up with backstabbers like Canada or allowing Japan to roll up massive trade surpluses must stop. The latest rumblings out of the UK are that all efforts are working overtime to nix the will of the Brit public from the Brexit vote. As for corporatists within the United States, the bulwark of opposition to Trump's push to demand reciprocal treatment from "so called" trading partners means an end to the gravy train of plundering American workers and ripping off a viable domestic economy.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Stock Market Eying Extension Into March Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
High Odds that Low of Year Confirmed
The first week of June was fairly easy to navigate and trade as the bullish pattern took a couple extra weeks of high level consolidation to finally complete its course. It really started with the breakout on Monday June 4 above the key 2742 level to confirm that the bull train is ready for the immediate breakout to accelerate above the prior two weeks’ worth of consolidation range (2742 vs.2700/2675). On the next day, the bull train grinded up a little and held above the 2742 breakout level to trap in more market participants for the high odds of a trend week.
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Silver’s Not-so-subtle Outperformance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Silver soared recently and white metal’s rally was accompanied by a huge volume. Those who are new to the precious metals market will probably immediately view this as bullish as that’s what the classic technical analysis would imply. Silver is not a classic asset, though, and classic measures often don’t apply to it. One way to check the real implications of a given development is to examine the previous cases and see what kind of action followed. That’s what we’re going to do in today’s free analysis. Let’s start with silver’s daily chart.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Extrapolating current trends into the future leave many people unprepared for major societal shifts
The one thing you can count on in financial markets, and society at large, is change.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me examine what’s happening beneath the surface in the markets right now, and why we should all be very leery of putting too much stock into what we’re hearing from the mainstream financial media these days regarding the economy. Don’t miss another sensational interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Gold prices see-sawed around the $1,300 level this week as silver prices advanced to 7-week highs. As of this Friday recording, gold trades at $1,298 an ounce, up 0.2% for the week. Silver prices come in at $16.75, good for a 1.8% weekly gain.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stocks traded within a short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors took some profits off the table following the recent advance. The broad stock market accelerated its uptrend after breaking above three-week-long consolidation a week ago. Will it continue its uptrend or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Friday, as they fluctuated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remained close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday.
Monday, June 11, 2018
Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018
The Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio was very low last Tuesday, falling below 0.5 for the first time since January 2018. This is commonly seen as a bearish sign. It isn’t. Here’s the data to prove it.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
UK Average Two-year Tracker Mortgage Interest Rates Fall / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data (not yet published) shows that the average two-year tracker rate has fallen for the third consecutive month to reach 1.92%, the lowest it has been since the base rate rise back in November
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Monday, June 11, 2018
G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
After last weeks closing bell for stocks and the early signs of the Capital Market Shift which we mentioned previously was taking place are now clearly evident. We wanted to alert all of our followers that this week could be very dramatic with a number of key events playing into global expectations.
Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been combing through the charts trying to find hints of what may happen and what to expect in terms of price volatility next week. We know our ADL price modeling system is telling us that certain price weakness will continue in certain sectors and strength in others – but we are searching for the next opportunities for great trades.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.
It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?
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Monday, June 11, 2018
SPX Unshackled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and a new intermediate uptrend has started with the bottoming of the 40-wk cycle on 5/29.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
When Trump Met Fibonacci And Won / Politics / GeoPolitics
Something curious happened during the Trump love fest at the G7 over the weekend. And I don’t think many people would have got it. In fact the entire western press, far as I could see, were blaming Trump for the dissolution of the treaties and whatall that the political class had worked so hard on for 50+ years.
But when you look at the whole thing from an energy level, Trump obviously won hands down. Merkel, Macron and Trudeau had no idea what to do with such a disruptive figure -though it could hardly have been a surprise to them- and so they sort of cowered back into a defensive posture as a group, saying Trump shouldn’t rock their boat. But that’s what he came there to do.
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