Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, January 11, 2010
Stock Market SPY Index Trading Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning: SPY: Short 75%
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Monday, January 11, 2010
Why Most Investors and Traders Fail, Market Barometers Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Welcome to the biweekly stock barometer. This article comes out every 2 weeks and gives our big picture view of the market. If you're interested in following our signals and learning more about our system, then I invite you to click here and subscribe to the daily service - since the market can turn on a dime and so too can our interpretation as the market gives its daily clues to the future. Also sign up for our free weekly newsletter, where we provide Alerts from our various traders.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Reasons Why This Stock Market Bubble Will Continue to Grow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Rallies and bubbles tend to last far longer and grow much larger than most anyone expects.
Given what has happened in the past two years and the way things are starting out this year, there’s no reason to expect this time around to be any different.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Uptrend Remains Intact According to Leading Economic Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What’s the first quarter of 2010 going to look like for the economy and stock market? How can you trade some of the macro trends? In this week’s newsletter, I going to answer these questions using my “Always a Winner” forecasting model.
This model is described in my book of the same title, and it uses 11 leading economic indicators and reports to forecast economic growth as measured by the gross domestic product and its four major components -- consumption, investment, net exports, and government spending.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Quarterly Stock Market Outlook and RDSA Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market is currently trying to find its bearings after the spectacular run up since March 2009.
On a weekly chart the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports both indicate a definite technical consolidation line being formed. The longer the averages remain in their respective November and December ranges the more the the market will discount the March rise and focus on the new support point.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stocks Bull Market New 2010 High, Weeks Featured Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Britain is again on the brink of economic and social collapse as the country faces its greatest crisis. well since last year, the new crisis is the Salt Crisis! As the country runs out of salt to grit the roads, with government ministers in a state of panic sending their dominions out into the lands supermarkets to buy up stock. The Royal Navy on the high sea's has been sent instructions to intercept salt shipments to other European countries with the army also being placed on high alert as mobs mass outside supermarkets attempting to get hold of the last few packets of salt. Okay so a slight exaggeration but it must be amusing to the peoples of north eastern europe of how a few snow flakes can bring Britain to a shuddering halt in a matter of days.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Indices Shrug Off Payrolls and Push to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Back from the festive season break, traders pushed stock market indices to new highs for the rally, logging a full house of five up-days for the S&P 500 Index and pushing the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index - also referred to as the “fear gauge” of the US stock markets - down to levels last seen pre-Lehman in 2008.
Pundits shrugged off Friday’s unexpected decline in non-farm payrolls, as well as mixed economic data earlier in the week, focusing instead on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) communiqué for its December 15-16 meeting which maintained its “extended period” stance for easy monetary policy, i.e. more “juice” for risky assets.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Jobless Data Shock and Stocks Diamond Formation Signals Imminent Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The U.S. unexpectedly lost 85,000 jobs in December and revisions showed payrolls increased the prior month for the first time in almost two years, indicating improvement in the labor market will be halting. Payrolls decreased last month after a November gain of 4,000, figures from the Labor Department showed today in Washington. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected no change in December employment. The jobless rate held at 10 percent.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Holds Well...Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market had every excuse on planet earth today to just fall out of bed. A very bad jobless report hit the street when there was a loss of 85,000 jobs. Expectations were for a loss of 10,000 jobs. The market didn't like the news initially as the futures took a pretty hard hit although not nearly as hard as I expected once the news actually came out. If the Dow futures had fallen one hundred points, I don't think there's a bull around who would have said that doesn't make sense.
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Sunday, January 10, 2010
Stock Market Final Trading Hour Price Action Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Once upon a midnight dreary, while I pondered, weak and weary,
Over many a quaint and curious volume of forgotten lore--
While I nodded, nearly napping, suddenly there came a tapping,
Saturday, January 09, 2010
Is the Stock Market Rigged? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I received an interesting comment from my previous commentary, “Prospects for Economic Recovery in 2010.” The basis of my claim that 2010 will witness some economic recovery was the “6-9 Month Rule” of Dow Theory fame. Simply stated, this rule says that a 6-to-9 month stock market recovery that follows a market decline and economic recession bodes well for an economic turnaround.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 09, 2010
U.S. Dollar Against Stocks Correlation Still Exists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As you all know, there has been a tight correlation between the US Dollar Index and equities for the better part of 9 months. If the Dollar goes down, then equities go up. Even if there is a hint that the Dollar might go down - let's say, a bad employment report suggesting that the Fed will keep its foot on the monetary pedal even longer- stocks go up. We all have the drill down. The Fed throws us a biscuit, and we all stand up and bark!
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Bernanke Making Greenspans Financial Crisis Mess Worse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
If there is one man in the nation's capitol who maybe isn't too unhappy about Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner being in the news today, it's probably Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke who delivered a speech titled Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble over the weekend, a topic that continues to generate a lot of discussion at mid-week, little of it positive.
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Stock and Commodity Investors Profiting in "the whipsaw year" 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The U.S. Economy faces a “significant chance” of contracting again after emerging from its worst recession since the 1930s, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said.
“It’s not clear that the U.S. is recovering in a sustainable way,” Stiglitz, a Columbia University professor, told reporters in New York…He said the crisis of the past year was made worse by lax regulation that allowed some financial firms to grow so large that the system couldn’t handle a failure of any of them.”
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Could the Fed Be Manufacturing Another Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A week ago, I wrote an essay titled Bonds, Not Stocks, Will be the Big Story in 2010. In it, I detailed how the US Treasury is now facing a debt spiral: a situation where it needs to issue roughly $150 billion of new debt per month WHILE rolling over TRILLIONS in existing debt at a time when investors are willing to lend to it for shorter and shorter periods of time.
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Stock Market Top? Gold to Rise? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Summary: For some weeks this analyst has been unwaveringly bearish flowing from the in-your-face disconnect between the weak underlying fundamentals of the US economy and the short term technical bullishness of the US equity markets. He has consistently argued that what we were witnessing was an upside bounce within a Primary Bear Market – aided and abetted by a Federal Reserve which some analysts have been arguing has been meddling in the markets via its plunge protection team. This view – that we are in a Primary Bear Market – is now being validated.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 08, 2010
Diamonds are not a Stock Trader’s Best Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As a follow-up on the Not-So-Orthodox Broadening Top, I would like to present the idea of yet another extension in the rally that may not be totally unexpected. The saying that, “The markets may remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” comes to mind as traders have thrown in the towel multiple times after expecting an end to this rally.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Money Sector Rotating...Not Leaving The Stock Market... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is maybe the single most important aspect of what's been happening with the stock market. Take a moment to reflect on the past many months. For a very long time the bears could not understand why the market was holding up with the banks and the rest of the financial stocks doing so poorly. Day after day we saw major stock leaders in that area of the market losing its 50-day exponential moving average.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Bernanke, the Wonderful Wizard of USD, Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The same day President Richard Nixon closed the "gold window” Ron Paul entered politics. Dr. Paul has been fighting to end the Federal Reserve ever since - he has been supporting a bill to audit the Fed since 1976. In 2009 Congressman Ron Paul’s bill to audit the Fed was included in the Wall Street reform bill and passed by the House. Only the Senate* stands in front of Congressman Paul’s heroic battle to audit the secretive act of the central bank wizards.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
The Chinese OBESSION with Video Games Offers Investment Opportunities 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
My sister calls them Asian nerds. She is talking about some of our single Asian male friends who spend most of their spare time playing games, like golf and video games, instead of meeting girls.
My three boys have a little bit of that nerd in them, too. They are great kids, but one of the things that we regularly butt heads over is how much time they spend playing video games. They’d play all day long if I let them.
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