Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 28, 2009
Longer-Term Interest Rates, TBT, Climb with Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As persistent as the upside march of the stock indices has been since mid-December, so has the climb in longer-term interest rates (3.25% to 3.85% in 10 year YIELD). At what point higher interest rates and a sharply steepening yield curve negatively impact the attractiveness of equities is anyone's guess at this point. The only thing that is certain is that such an inflection point is getting closer by the day.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
Emerging Markets Beating the Dow Six to One! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin here with a brief review of global markets for 2009 and some basic thoughts regarding the risks and opportunities in 2010.
As we have been writing for many years, and as we highlighted in our Weiss Global Forum this past summer (click here for transcript), key emerging markets are — and should continue to be — greatly outperforming the Dow across the board.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
Stock Market Seasonal Trend, Real or a Myth? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
What happened to the market’s seasonal patterns this year?
For many years I have touted the consistency and power of the stock market’s seasonality, the tendency of the market to make most of its gains between November and April, and to experience most of its corrections, bear market losses, and crashes between May and October.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
John Cassidy Fails in His Critique of the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
While driving my son to school one morning, I heard a National Public Radio interview with John Cassidy, author of the new book How Markets Fail. Fortunately, we got to the front of the line before Cassidy let out the zingers. A few minutes earlier, and my son would have seen Daddy lose his temper.
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Monday, December 28, 2009
Stock Index Analysis for S&P and Nasdaq / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Hope you all had a Merry Christmas, and are en route to a wonderful New Year.
In a post of December 11, I said: In June, index looked heading for a good drop, or correction, but it turned around without giving much and rallied. In November, Index looked very weak internally and cyclically, it looked ready to break, but it recovered without giving much. It has been my proposition for months that the bears of the last drop (before March) have been little significance to the market action (other than providing timely squeezes for rallies), and I think they are totally out of the game at this point. Market needs new bears with capital and conviction.
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Sunday, December 27, 2009
S&P500 Stock Market Rally and Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last October’s reviews we wrote : ” There is a larger support and resistance zone we expect the S&P500 is heading towards. This point in time is also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high. We expect the market to continue it’s uptrend towards this point in time. Our dynamic market timing cycle model following the longterm cycles from the past also supports the larger trend will continue to move upwards until the end of 2009. Earlier in October we mentioned the probable price target of 1121. On the short term we expect the dominant cycle to bottom early to mid November 2009.”
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Friday, December 25, 2009
2009 The Year of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
For stock market Investors and traders there were two key events during the year.
1. The Stocks Bear Market Bottom of early March 2009 (Dow 6470).
2. The birth of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market that saw many indices soar by more than 60% over the next 9 months.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Motley Fool Says Ignore Stock Market Forecasts and Predictions for 2010, But... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A recent email titled "3 Reasons You Should Ignore Predictions for 2010" from the popular UK personal finance website Motley Fool perked my interest. My immediate thought was wow are they going to state that the real secret of successful trading is to react to price movements in real time, and if so what are the other 2 reasons?
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Broad Social Trends Driving Global Financial Crisis and Economy 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In order to fully grasp the enormity of what is unfolding and to understand the upcoming Tedbits 2010 Outlook, I have penned two essays which will be presented over the next two weeks. Beginning in January, I am going to be doing a tour-de-force 2010 Outlook, spanning what you can expect in 2010 both fundamentally and technically.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Stuff Your Stocks Portfolio Stocking With Micro-Cap ETFs / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Do you remember the childhood wonder of looking at all the colorfully wrapped packages under the Christmas tree, trying to guess what fun was inside? If you were like me, your eyes were drawn to the biggest presents. And if they were too big to wrap, sometimes Santa would just leave them out in the open for us to find in the morning.
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts 2010, Recovery or More Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Experts offer differing views, with some predicting 2010 to be a difficult year and others saying it will see recovery continuing
PANELLISTS
Eisuke Sakakibara: Former Japanese vice-finance minister for international affairs, now professor at Waseda University, Tokyo
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
10 Days of Stock Indexes and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It’s been a great year as we head into the final few trading sessions. The past several weeks the indexes have not done much of anything which is why we are now in cash.
I feel as though the market is about to change direction abruptly in the coming days or weeks. I feel this way for several reasons:
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Thursday, December 24, 2009
Stock Markets on Hold for Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We had a small gap up today that was sold thirty minutes in to the trading day when the new home sales report for November was announced. It was well below expectations. A real blow to the theory of a growing or an improving economy. In the real world, with unemployment at 17% and climbing, finding too many home buyers on a consistent basis still doesn't appear to be a realistic expectation. The news wasn't just a little below expectations either. It was one of those truly scary misses which makes you wonder about things.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
‘Tis the Season for Gold’s (False) Hope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
On December 4th, Investophoria wrote '... we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era'. This was demonstrated by quantifiable measurements of investor complacency. We also noted that this market is most certainly on less footing than in '07.
That footing has gotten even more slippery, the bullish gas powering this motor reduced to near fumes. Since December 4th, when we last posted an update on our market thoughts, the market has done this:
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Geithner Says There Will be No Second Wave To Financial Crisis 2010 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
One sure way we know a second wave to the crisis is likely coming is the preemptive denial of it by those who never saw it coming. Please consider Geithner: There Will Be No 'Second Wave' Crisis.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Stock Market Hanging Tough.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Seasonality probably has something to do with it but no matter how you slice it the bottom line is the market is holding up well with little resistance from the bears. What is most interesting is how many key sectors are breaking out ahead of the S&P 500, due mostly to financials.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Stock Market Starts Week with Solid Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices started the week with solid gains, the majority of which were gotten in the morning, when the indices gapped up and staged a 5-wave advance, taking the Nasdaq 100 to new 2009 highs, reaching 1835. However, at that point the S&P 500, reaching 1118, fell a couple points short of its high, failed to confirm, and they moved back down in a 3-wave decline to test lower levels of support, but held, and in the last hour bounced again.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Nasdaq Takes The Plunge..Dow/S&P 500 Need To Follow.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It's best when the Nasdaq leads as it shows there is a real desire for higher beta or to put it a different way, higher risk. Strong markets are always led by higher beta as lower risk and the like are left alone as it is believed the market will move higher. People basically thirsting for froth. They want those 50 and 60 P/E’s and don't care why they're buying it. They just want to own it.
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Is Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber Wrong on the Economic Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber on Indian TV revising his forecast for economic collapse following the his September Doom Report. Now he forecasts economic collapse in either 3 years time, 5 years time, 10 years time or 12 years time, this way he will never be wrong!
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Marc Faber on Economic Armageddon and the Collapse of Capitalism / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber Says Run for Your Lives!
"The Future will be a total disaster with a collapse of our capitalistic system as we know it today, wars, massive government debt defaults and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society."
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