Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, July 18, 2019
SPX Consolidating, GBP and CAD Could be in Focus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
SPX may now be consolidating at 3000 levels for some time. If the market does not selloff aggressively at these levels, then we will melt higher.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Financial Crisis Stocks Bear Market Is Scary Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Everyone knows something bad is brewing not just in tnhe USA but globally within the financial systems. Most countries are bankrupt, and almost all currencies have been losing value for the past year. Everyone is playing the game of musical chairs and getting creative with how they borrow, lend, create, and steal money in hopes the world does not catch on to just how corrupt and bad things really are.
It’s just a matter of time before we see another financial market meltdown and what I show you here today gives you an idea of just how close we could be to a market collapse.
The financial markets rarely repeat the same type of crisis, but most crisis’ cause the stock market to sell off and crash in the same way. Human nature and emotions do not change, and because traders and investors drive the price action of stocks we are able to profit from bear markets.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Will Fed Easing Turn Out Like 1995 or 2007? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Michael_Pento
You should completely understand that the market is dangerously overvalued and that global economic growth has slowed to a crawl along with S&P 500 earnings. However, you must also be wondering when the massive overhang of unprecedented debt levels, artificial market manipulations, and the anemic economy will finally shock Wall Street to a brutal reality.
Artificially-low bond yields are prolonging the life of this terminally-ill market. In fact, record-low borrowing costs have been the lynchpin for perpetuating the illusion. Therefore, what will finally pull the plug on this market’s life support system is spiking corporate bond yields, which will manifest from the bursting of the $5.4 trillion BBB, Junk bond and leveraged loan markets. And, for that to occur, you will first need an outright US recession and/or a bonafide inflation scare.
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Monday, July 15, 2019
Top Equity Mutual Funds That Offer Best Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ruchi_Mahajan
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Monday, July 15, 2019
Financial Markets, Iran, U.S. Global Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Raymond_Matison
Are you still in the market? Markets for equities and bonds have been struggling over the last one and a half years. Few real gains have been made – and it has taken an important policy reversal by the FED just to keep the markets levitated at current levels. Neither earnings reports nor financial statistics seem to matter; charts have not mattered; the state of our domestic economy does not seem to matter either, as global trade, tariffs and sanctions are ignored in market valuations which remain scandalously unrealistic. Negative earnings guidance is at record levels, but that too does not matter. Both market fundamentals and charts continue to be completely ignored. Every money manager simply follows announced guidance action of the Federal Reserve, and evaluates their statements to the point of analyzing missing or modified words from previous FED press releases.
During the Cold War, its belligerents developed a theory and practice to deal with the very real risk of a nuclear conflagration. The resulting adopted strategy was called Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD. The operating theory was that neither nuclear power, Russia nor the United States, would initiate a nuclear attack while remaining vulnerable, because of the presumption of a vigorous response in kind, destroying both countries and perhaps making life impossible on the whole planet from radiation fallout.
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Monday, July 15, 2019
U.S Bond Yields Point to a 40% Rise in SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Donald_W_Dony
Over the last 10 years, the yields on the benchmark U.S. 10 year Treasury bond have foretold the path of the S&P 500.
Money flow trends between the bond market and the equity market, over the past decade, have given investors a heads-up on the trading direction of the S&P 500.
The swings toward fixed income (2011 to mid-2012, 2014 to mid-2016, Q4 2018 to mid-2019) have produced higher bond prices and lower yields as money managers balance safety and risk.
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Monday, July 15, 2019
Corporate Earnings may Surprise the Stock Market – Watch Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I believe the outcome of the past 6+ months with regards to global trade, currency devaluations, and consumer sentiment will result in weaker US earnings in Q2 than at any time over the past 3+ years. We believe US stocks, after recently breaching key psychological price levels ($300 SPY and $3000 ES) are poised to set up a sideways Pennant price pattern formation headed into a key price breakdown near the middle of August 2019.
Our cycle indicator tools and predictive modeling suggests that August 19, 2019, is the date to watch out for and after that date, we believe the US and global stock markets may begin a new downward price phase that could lead to a dramatic price decline. Read our August 19 Top warning here
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Monday, July 15, 2019
Stock Market Interest Rate Cut Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The continued strength has muddied the water and we may have to wait until August/September before the intermediate trend becomes more clear.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 15, 2019
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State July 2019 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Most market commentators remain confused, flirting between being bearish or bullish usually AFTER the fact, AFTER the market has risen or fallen. Take when I last looked at the Dow and the market was in a downtrend eyeing an assault on Dow 25,000. At the time the reasoning was 'surprise' failure to resolve the US China trade war for why stocks had fallen. All without understanding the underlying mega-trend drivers that remain constant regardless of what Trump announces or tweets or threatens, which are the trends towards war with China, Climate Change, the Inflation mega-trend (money printing), AI mega-trend and Africa's population explosion amongst others that come to mind. All of which were in motion BEFORE Trump came to office and will remain so for decades after Trump leaves office.
Sunday, July 14, 2019
Mid-August Is A Critical Turning Point For US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our cycle and predictive modeling solutions have been suggesting that Mid-August 2019 will likely prompt a major inflection point in the US stock markets and we have been attempting to warn our followers about this for months. Our continued efforts to identify this big breakdown price move in term of timing and expected range have led us to believe the outcome could be at least a -10% to -13% downside price collapse – possibly larger.
Post 1: NEXT BULL AND BEAR MARKETS ARE NOW SET UP
Post 2: TECHNICALS SHOWS AUG/SEPT MARKET TOP PATTERN SHOULD FORM
Our research team now believes that August 19 ( 5 days) will likely be the critical price inflection point/price apex that we have been searching for. Our cycle and other predictive modeling tools are suggesting that this date will become critical for the markets future price trends and current support/resistance levels. We believe that some type of new event or price event will take place sometime between August 14 and August 19 and that this event will lead to a new bearish price trend setup to break current support levels as well as begin a downside price move that should attempt a minim of -10% to -13% before attempting to find support.
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Saturday, July 13, 2019
Stocks Market Investors Worried About the Fed? Don't Be -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Achieving and maintaining success as a stock market investor is a tall order.
You, like many others, probably watch financial TV networks, read analysis and talk to fellow investors, trying to understand what's next for the stock market.
One popular stock market "indicator" is interest rates. Mainstream analysts parse every word from the Fed, hoping they hear a clue about interest rates. They assume that falling rates mean higher stock prices, while rising rates mean lower stock prices.
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Saturday, July 13, 2019
Stock Market SPX and Dow in BREAKOUT but this is the worrying part / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
SPX and Dow are in BREAKOUT mode. There are things that are worrying even as markets climb to new highs. The new highs need to be confirmed via volume and market internals. We take a look at some of them.
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Fed Chair Jerome Powell testified before Congress yesterday and effectively communicated that the Fed would lower rates at the end of this month. However with data not yet supportive of a rate cut and inflation starting to rear its head again, capital outflows remain a key risk for the US in case of a rate cut. Sensing the dilema, bond markets have started
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Friday, July 12, 2019
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Most market commentators remain confused, flirting between being bearish or bullish usually AFTER the fact, AFTER the market has risen or fallen. Take when I last looked at the Dow and the market was in a downtrend eyeing an assault on Dow 25,000. At the time the reasoning was 'surprise' failure to resolve the US China trade war for why stocks had fallen. All without understanding the underlying mega-trend drivers that remain constant regardless of what Trump announces or tweets or threatens, which are the trends towards war with China, Climate Change, the Inflation mega-trend (money printing), AI mega-trend and Africa's population explosion amongst others that come to mind. All of which were in motion BEFORE Trump came to office and will remain so for decades after Trump leaves office.
Friday, July 12, 2019
Stock Investors Buckle Up, the Trade War is About to EXPLODE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
And when it does, smart investors will lock in TRIPLE DIGIT… and possibly even QUADRUPLE DIGIT RETURNS.
Stocks performed a backtest of the broken rising wedge formation (red lines in the chart below) yesterday.
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Thursday, July 11, 2019
Stock Market Major Index Top In 3 to 5 Weeks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our researchers rely on a number of proprietary tools and cycle forecasting technology. Additionally, we use custom index charts to help measure price cycles, trends, support & resistance and many other aspects of the markets. Recently, we posted an article relating to the US Dollar and foreign currencies using custom index techniques. In the past, we’ve highlighted our Custom Price Cycle index that we use to gauge market sentiment, topping and bottoming setups. All of these tools are essential for our team of researchers while they attempt to identify trade setups and larger market events.
Currently, we are highlighting a number of our custom index chart that suggest a market top may only be 3 to 5 weeks away and the setup of this market top may surprise many traders. We posted a good forecast chart here also.
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Thursday, July 11, 2019
Stock Market Fundamentals are Weakening: 3000 on SPX Means Nothing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
Even as markets climbed above to 3000 on SPX, we are fairly bearish on equities for the forseeable future. Algo continue to trip the stops higher. The levels to watch are mentioned below on where you could position your stops.
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Wednesday, July 10, 2019
US Dollar Strength Will Drive Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Almost counter to current institutional thinking, the strength in the US Dollar will likely continue to push the US stock market higher over the next few weeks/months and act as a supporting price bias in any event of a short term global/us stock market price collapse. Many traders/investors fail to understand the capacity of the US Dollar to wreak havoc on foreign markets as well as to act as a support level for US equities and US investments.
The support level near $96 is currently acting as a solid price floor. Our researchers believe an attempt to breach the $99 level will happen soon and this continued strength will put further pressures on foreign currencies, commodities, metals and trade issues.
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Wednesday, July 10, 2019
Stock Market SPX 3000 Dream is Pushed Away: Pullback of 5-10% is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
US SPX came in touching distance of 3000 mark. However it again backed off and this time went over 20 handles lower. The lack of conviction at the top is suggestive of a major pullback coming. We think US market could pull back by over 5% in next two months.
The 10-year Treasury note yield TMUBMUSD10Y, -0.68% fell 1.4 basis points to 2.030%, after staging its biggest daily climb in around seven months, while the 30-year bond yield TMUBMUSD30Y, -0.45% slipped by 2.9 basis points to 2.520%. The 2-year note rate TMUBMUSD02Y, -1.26% was up 0.5 basis point to 1.875%, its highest level in around a month. Debt prices move in the opposite direction of yields.
DB Job cut: Tip of iceberg A dark day for Germany’s biggest lender, as Deutsche Bank DB, -6.10% unveiled the biggest restructuring probably of any bank since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crash. The troubled German giant—which once hoped to be Europe’s answer to Wall Street titans like J.P. Morgan or Goldman Sachs—is to reduce head count by 18,000 and call time on a big chunk of its global investment banking ambitions. This earnings season, zero is the number to beat. Expectations couldn’t be much lower, reports Barron’s.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market and the Global Debt Crisis To Be Reborn 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This final portion of our multiple part research post regarding the future of a crisis-like price revaluation event will focus on two components that we want to highlight for every trader, investor, and reader. It does not matter if you are invested in anything at this point – you need to read this last portion of our research because you need to plan for and prepare for this next event.
On March 31, 2019, we published this research post regarding our cycle analysis predictions and the belief that a major price cycle top would likely form in July 2019.
On June 11, 2019, we updated our research and published this post regarding our belief that current cycle forecasting suggested the top in the market would now be set up for some time in late August or early September 2019.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market Cycle Top and Fearless Vix Signal Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Everything in the world goes through cycles including investors level of fear, and stock prices. In this report, I want to show you how you can identify short-term and longer-term market tops and bottoms using technical analysis that focuses on the most active time cycles in the stock market today.
Before we get into the details here I would like to touch on two myths that you as a trader need to know in terms of average profit per trade and the number of trades needed to be highly profitable. It’s not what you may think.
Myth #1: You Must Always Be In A Trade and Trading You don’t need to trade every week, or need to always be in a position. This is a huge misconception and something that most traders struggle with grasping. The reality is, the fewer the trades you make less likely you are to lose money. For example, over the past 17 months, I have placed 53 trades which works out to only 3 trades a month, not many. With those 53 trades, our entire portfolio is up 74.9%. Ya, a whopping 75% with only a few simple trades a month and if you calculate what the average percent return is then you get a taste of trading reality, which brings us to the topic 2.
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