Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, April 26, 2008
How to Survive a Recession and Make Profits / Stock-Markets / Recession
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Despite frantic efforts by the US Government and central bank to avoid a recession during a Presidential election year, the US is heading for a protracted recessionary period that is expected to be worse than the last two recessions as the credit crisis and housing bust continue.
The focus for investors now should be to realise that what worked during the 2003 to 2007 stocks bull market is expected to and actually is unraveling as the boom sectors such as financial's are in a bear market.
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Friday, April 25, 2008
Looking for Russell 2000 Index Breakout to Kick In / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
know what some of you must be thinking: why am I wasting my time in the IWM? Aside from the fact that I really like the upside potential of its 4 month base-like pattern, I also think that if Fed stimulus is going to "kick in" during Q3 and Q4, and if the narrowing of some of the credit spreads recently is any indication that fears of market risk are subsiding, then the small cap sector will benefit, although it has been lagging a bit.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 25, 2008
Chinese Government Intervention Sends Shanghai Stocks Soaring / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Jason_Simpkins
Stock prices soared in China yesterday (Thursday) after the government announced Wednesday night that a tax on stock trades would be reduced. Beijing's decision to lower the trade tax from 0.3% to 0.1% was motivated by a steep drop in many mainland indices over the past six months.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 25, 2008
Why Utilities Stocks Beat Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / US Utilities
By: Money_and_Markets
Nilus Mattive writes:I recently read an article on Forbes' website that attempted to help income investors compare the merits of utility stocks and U.S. Treasury bonds.
On the bad news side, the column noted that the yields on both utility shares and 10-year Treasuries are down about 50% since the beginning of 1995. Ouch!
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Thursday, April 24, 2008
Stock Market on Route to Recovery / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
By now it should be abundantly clear to even the most recalcitrant pessimists that the stock market is well along its route to recovery. The internal momentum structure hasn't looked this promising in weeks if not months. When it comes to evaluating the stock market's potential, internal momentum always precedes future price momentum and takes precedence over nearly every other consideration. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 24, 2008
Retail Stocks ETF Punches Through Resistance / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Mike_Paulenoff
This is what I wrote for subscribers yesterday about the Retail HLDRs ETF (AMEX: RTH), and there is no change in my outlook right now: The RTH appears to me to have ratcheted up into a higher trading plateau between 93.00 and 96.00 from 92.00 to 96.00, as the price structure pushes towards a confrontation with a cluster of resistance that is represented by its 9-month down trendline, the declining 200-day moving average, and a 5-month plateau of prior failed rally peaks at 96.00/65.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Look Poised to Reach Next Upside Target / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
All of the action from Monday's high in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) at 47.08 appears to be carving out some sort of rest-digestion pattern that exhibits a double-peak at 47.08-47.06 juxtaposed against a series of higher lows off of yesterday's low at 45.93. Based on the developing near-term pattern, the Q's remain above 46.50 into the closing bell, and either thrust towards my next optimal target within the final 40 minutes of trading or in reaction to AAPL earnings in the aftermarket.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Buy China Stocks Instead of ETF's on the Stock Market Dips / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: When it comes to China, the media has been focused on the riots in Tibet and the protests following the Olympic torch around the globe.
For emerging market investors, getting swept away by newspaper headlines is a huge, not to mention costly, mistake.
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Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Russell 2000 To Test Support and then Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Thus far, the iShares Russell 2000 Small-Cap ETF (AMEX: IWM) has retraced 62% of its prior upmove from 68.16 to 72.27 and although the intensity of the sell-off is pressing the hourly RSI into oversold territory, my sense from the way the pattern is unfolding is that the IWM will test the March-April support line, now in the vicinity of 69.40/35 -- prior to my expectation of a potent upside pivot reversal that initiates a new upleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Japanese Yen Vs US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Black_Swan
We can say with confidence that we anticipated the recent weakness of the Japanese yen. But at current levels, it makes sense to reevaluate the situation.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 21, 2008
Stock Market Update: Hitting on All Cylinders / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
In a period that had many traders guessing about earnings and the economy, TTC canceled out the noise last week and booked steady gains by doing what we always do: trading the charts. As the headlines raised the specter of economic depression and an earnings recession, the tape was hinting all along that the market wanted higher. And just as the majority of traders were fooled, the market screamed up to where it's been saying it was going all along.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 21, 2008
Commercial Banks Heading for Huge Derivatives Losses- Credit Crisis Turning into Credit Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
While most investors are focused on the latest stock market rally, hidden from view is a monumental change that few recognize and fewer understand: Unprecedented amounts of old debts are coming due in America, and many are not getting refinanced.
Even worse, borrowers are going into default, lenders are taking huge losses, and outstanding loans are turning to dust.
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Monday, April 21, 2008
The Next Credit Crisis Disaster Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Jennifer_Yousfi
In the first quarter, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ( GS ) packed another $27 billion worth of illiquid assets onto its balance sheet - a 39% increase that brought the total to $96 billion.
And Goldman wasn't alone. Morgan Stanley ( MS ) reported that these hard-to-value/hard-to-sell assets soared 45%, reaching $32 billion. For Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ( LEH ), the first-quarter increase was $500 million, bringing its total to $42.5 billion.
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Sunday, April 20, 2008
Stock Markets Continue Rally into Intermediate Short-term Top / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could also play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
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Sunday, April 20, 2008
Global Stock Markets Recieve Earnings Boost Amidst Bearish Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
It's Earnings, Stupid! Or so it seemed during the past week as the stock market took its cue from a host of better-than-feared earnings reports, propelling the S&P 500 Index 4.3% higher – a bigger gain than for the entire 2007. And what a swift turnaround it was after the market got “GE'd” and was in sackcloth and ashes by the close of the previous week! Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 19, 2008
Stock Market Trading Amid Travesty- Facts are Stubborn Things Part III / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Addressing the Cause and Effect of the Credit Crisis- Facts are Stubborn Things Part I
Central Banks' in Tatters- Facts are Stubborn Things Part II
Nothing new under the sun comes to mind when pondering whether financial markets are truly free. Beyond all related conjecture, it remains a stubborn fact that markets have always behaved in a way to perplex the majority of participants.
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Saturday, April 19, 2008
Stocks Bull and Bear Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
Obviously, the definitions of Bull and Bear markets differ from person to person. My definition is based on the works of the great Dow theorists, Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. As a result of my study of Dow theory combined with my study of cycles, which are not a part of Dow theory, I have drawn some very obvious conclusions about the nature of Bull and Bear markets. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 19, 2008
Stocks Rally Towards Resistance as Money Fly's out of Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Workers getting fewer hours
The gradual erosion of the paycheck has become a stealth force driving the American economic downturn. Most of the attention has focused on the loss of jobs and the risk of layoffs. But the less-noticeable shrinking of hours and pay for millions of workers around the country appears to be a bigger contributor to the decline, which has already spread from housing and finance to other important areas of the economy.
Saturday, April 19, 2008
Unanimous Bullish Stock Market Patterns / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
The chart patterns in the following three scenarios are unanimous: The industrial markets will rise back to (but not yet break above) their previous highs:
The April 18th buy signal on the traditional Point & Figure chart of the Wilshire 5000 is calling for a move to 15,400.
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Friday, April 18, 2008
US Subprime Crisis Bottom, Bullish Stock Market and Gold as New Money / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Lee
I just returned from sunny Calgary where I spoke at the Cambridge Conference (See more details at my Travel Diary here: http://www.goldmau.com/content/diary/08-04-18.php). It is surprising to me how many gold analysts predict the complete of fallout of US housing and how that will crash the stock market, world growth and commodities.
Subprime Securities Firesale finished:
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