Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
Sub-Prime Mortgage Collapse Crisis Over? - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Adrian_Ash
"...Goldman Sachs bucked the trend this summer and made money – pots of money – selling subprime bonds short. Funnily enough, GS also issued what might prove the most toxic of all subprime bonds back in 2006..."
PHEW! THAT WAS close. For a moment there, it looked like the collapse of the subprime mortgage market was going to wipe billions off financial earnings for years to come.
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Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Stock Markets Expected to Retreat from Fibonacci Retracement Level / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Fibonacci numbers are ignored by many investors and not understood. However, the Fibonacci retracement values of 38.2% and 61.8% are often very useful as we will see today.
Below is a chart, of how the "Core Holdings" held by Institutions have performed since 1998. In early 2000, the index peaked and started a huge, bear market retreat. The absolute low was reached in 2002.
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Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Why I Still Favor Investing in China / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes:The International Monetary Fund just updated its 2008 global economic forecast, cutting its expectations for global growth to 4.8% from 5.2%. The previous forecast was made in July before all the subprime bombs started blowing up.
The lion's share of the downward revision was because of the U.S. The IMF revised its growth forecast there from 2.8% to 1.9%!
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Wednesday, October 17, 2007
US Scheme to Rescue Banks from Bad Subprime Mortgage Debt / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
“ There is today an incredibly speculative financial sector hell bent on sustaining Credit and asset Bubbles – and perfectly content to adulterate our functional system of “money” in the process. The Federal Reserve is perceived to condone the whole affair and is openly willing to employ all measures to avoid bursting Bubbles. And in a contemporary world of acutely fragile finance structures, this ensures that bust avoidance translates briskly to bubble perpetuation and speculator delight.” Doug Noland “Credit Bubble Bulletin” Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Citicorp, Bank of America and JP Morgan Attempt at Halting Asset Liquidation with MLEC / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
The big news over the weekend is that Citigroup, Bank of America and JP Morgan were putting together a consortium of financial institutions to establish an entity, the Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit (MLEC), whose purpose would be to buy securities from structured investment vehicles (SIVs) that are having difficulties funding themselves (see Banks agree $75bn mortgage debt fund ).Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
US Banks $75 Billion SIVs Fund - You Call That A Bailout? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Brady_Willett
Imagine walking into a hospital with chest pains and the doctor telling you that he will do his best to treat you in a few months. Such is the latest development on the U.S. bailout/bust front.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Nasdaq Narrowing Range Suggests Downside Breakdown / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Do you believe the tight range in the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) today? One thing is for sure -- this narrow range should not last much longer prior to a spike in one direction or other. Meanwhile, the key support line off of the 9/20 low at 49.92, which cuts across the price axis now at 52.80, remains intact and is containing further price deterioration. A violation of 52.70 and downside follow-through are necessary to trigger more significant sell signals that point to 51.75/50 next. On the other hand, a climb above 53.28/30 is needed to trigger upside continuation to at least 53.50/60.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Dow Jones 22,000 vs Gold $1,500 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dudley_Baker
Remember a few years ago when several books were published with titles, like, Dow 40,000, Dow 22,000, Dow 36,000, Dow 39,000. This was in late 1999 and early 2000 at the then top of the internet bubble and with the Nasdaq and the Dow hitting highs. Exuberance was everywhere.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - 20th Anniversary for the 1987' Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Friday will mark the 20th anniversary of the crash of '87 (Saturday will mark the 10th anniversary of the crash of '97 – see an issue here?). We are not calling for an anniversary crash, but the media is (and will be throughout the week) playing up the day and noting some of the similarities to that bleak Monday not so long ago. To be sure, there are major differences, key among them is inflation running half of that in '87 and interest rates are not soaring to 10% as they were then. The main linkage between the two periods is the dollar, falling during both periods and well below historical ranges today. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Systematic Threat to Global Financial System - The Fingers of Instability, Part 9 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Ty_Andros
In This Issue – 3 Fingers of Instability
- Marking to Myths!
- Keeping the Illusions Front and Center
- Bodies Beginning to Float to the Surface…And They Are WHALES!
Series Introduction – Click Here
Things are unfolding in an interesting manner and it is the ebb and flow of the issues into and out of the financial Media's reporting of them that provide us with the true picture as it merges. This week several VERY INTERESTING articles allowed us a better picture on the enormity of this Systemic threat to the global financial systems of the G7. The enormous lengths the authorities are going to in order to keep the enormity of the problem from hitting “THE HEADLINES”. It is now becoming clear that new cockroaches are emerging in the biggest money center banks in the world and they are “STUCK” in the “ROACH MOTELS” (see Ted bits archives at www.TraderView.com ) of their own making.
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Stock Markets Give Ground to the Bears / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Last week the bulls finally gave some ground to the bears with the US markets hitting reverse gear on Thursday after making new record highs on the day. There was no obvious reason for the reversal other than the general feeling that things were getting a little ˜frothy'.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 15, 2007
Stock Markets Headed Lower As Near-term Low Is UltraShort S&P / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The big picture of the UltraShort SPY (AMEX: SDS) shows Thursday's counter-trend reversal, followed by Friday's dip, followed by today's upside continuation that has hurdled Thursday's reversal high. So far, the price action coupled with the rounded bottom pattern carved out by the RSI momentum gauge suggests strongly that a significant near-term (and possibly intermediate-term) low has been established in the SDS (a high in the major equity market ETFs).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 15, 2007
Brazil's Prominent Natural Resource Stocks Are Up 620%, 1,388% and 1,499% ... / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: I'm in the interior of Brazil right now, and I don't have to travel too far to see, first-hand, the vast natural resources that are helping to make investors rich.
Brazil's sugar cane industry is soaring, propelled by surging demand for ethanol.
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Monday, October 15, 2007
The Stock Markets October Panic Window Approaches / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Captain_Hook
Adding to the list of things that can go wrong from our last discussion , things that could cause a possible dislocation in the stock market during the possible panic window opening next month, we have an astute observation by Rick Ackerman. Then you have Gary North out further discussing Fed antics associated with a contracting monetary base , which he is suggesting will topple the equity complex, and possibly the system. Here, you can't blame the Fed for instituting such policy. Again, the idea behind constricting growth in the monetary base is to support the dollar ($) and curb the inflationary effects of easing rate policy. And while I agree with the conclusions of both these gentlemen, as stated in our last commentary the timing associated with when such factors will come home to roost is still very much up in the air however, not imminent by any means. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Stock Market Update: Niagara in a Barrel / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
By now, those of you who read this update regularly but aren't members must think what we say about what we do at TTC is just too good to be true. That we're just lucky bulls. I mean, week after week the market bucks some of the best traders and analysts out there, yet I continue to claim unbiased Elliott wave analysis produces consistently profitable trades and avoids all the traps. Go figure.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
CDO Bad Debt Bank Losses Yet to Be Reported as Stock Markets Form Topping Patterns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wall Street is already betting that next week's earnings at the nation's biggest banks will be dismal. What remains to be seen is just how bad they will be. Hundreds of billions of asset-backed paper has had to be disposed of. Yet so far the losses of banks that have already reported this quarter are less than $20 billion. Could they have gotten off so easily? The preponderance of evidence shows that much of the paper, which includes subprime mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt has not yet found buyers. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Equities Topping But Crude Oil Has Further Higher to Gush / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So far, Thursday's plunge in the Nasdaq, as gauged by the QQQQ's, represents only a "minor" pullback within the dominant August-Ocotber uptrend -- unless, of course, this recovery rally represents an impending secondary failure at the top of the Aug-Sept channel.
My work argues that it is the latter, and that the Q's will grind a bit higher on Monday, and then put in a second high coordinate within a near-term topping process in the 53.00-54.00 area.
Saturday, October 13, 2007
McHugh's London FTSE 100 Index , German DAX, and Australia Stock Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
The London FTSE, German DAX, and Australia's SPASX200 are all approaching a top. The FTSE looks to be finishing a wave b-up inside a wave a-down, b-up, c-down for a correction of the recent multiyear Bull market. It is completing a Rising Bearish Wedged for wave b-up. Prices have exceeded the upper Bolling Band, two standard deviations above its 20 day moving average. It has also reached the 10 day average of each day's highs. These are normally places where tops occur. The same is true of the German DAX. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 13, 2007
Semiconductor Tek stocks Gap Down Suggests More Downside / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Big gap down this morning has pressed the Semiconductor HLDRs (AMEX: SMH) below both its rising 200 DMA and its 15-month support line (36.40/30), which could trigger potentially significant technical damage to the intermediate-term chart structure -- if the weakness sticks for the remainder of today's session. Having said that, however, my pattern and momentum work (hourly and daily) are encouraging me to remain short even if the SMH manages to grind its way up to 37.00/20 again, largely because my primary scenario has morphed into a bearish one.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 12, 2007
Higher Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, we discussed why the NYA Index (New York Stock Exchange) is an important index to watch ... because most of all the program trading occurs on it, and the large Institutional trades are found here.Read full article... Read full article...