Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 23, 2018
Are Stocks About to Start the Next Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
A key issue to note if you want to time market turns is that stocks are always the last asset class to “get it.”
Consider that high yield credit or Junk Bonds (HYG) have lead stocks from the January ’16 lows.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
How to Trade Stock Index Price Spikes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last night the stock market flashed us a quick price spike on the SP500 index and we sent this out to our members as soon as we saw it. Price spikes are the markets way to tipping its hand for us to see where the big player’s should move in the next 1-3 trading sessions. Most spikes trade targets are hit within 12 hours. Last night spike provided trades with a $300. $550, or $1050 profit per ES mini contract they traded. But with that said, spikes can be traded with SP500 index ETF’s as well as long as your broker allows you to trade Pre/Post market hours, which most brokers do allow.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stock Market Bounce May be Over... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has met its 50-day Moving Average at 2729.61 and the 61.8 Fib retracement level at 2730.00. Its high was 2731.26.
ZeroHedge comments, “Sigh...
Cash markets are open!! Buy 'em!!!”
JPM’s head quant, Marko Kolanovic now thinks it’s time to start buying.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Are These Stock Market Bear Patterns Unfolding Before Us Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
Last week, markets fell out of bed. Yesterday, they got up and dusted themselves off.I’ve been warning for months now that U.S. markets are in a rising bearish wedge. This pattern tends to be the last move in a long bull market.
Stocks go up in a last orgasmic move in a narrowing channel – or wedge – with little volatility. And then, suddenly, the music stops.
It was thanks to me identifying this wedge that I called the May 2013 top in the junk bond market – to the day!
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stock Market SPX Probable Pop-n-drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX had a bearish outside reversal yesterday. There is a slight difference between an outside and key reversal. The key reversal happens at the peak of the rally, while an outside reversal may have a lower high. Both appears to be equally bearish in these circumstances.
SPX futures bounced in overnight trading, suggesting a possible retracement as far as the 50-day Moving Average at 2729.78. Short-term support/resistance has performed a death cross with the mid-Cycle and 50-day. You can see that a violation of Short-term support is like opening the trap door.
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Thursday, February 22, 2018
Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
The first part of yesterday's trading session was controlled by the bulls and the S&P 500 index was gaining ahead of the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. Then the uptrend reversed and stocks fell below Tuesday's closing prices. Investors continued taking short-term profits off the table after week-long move up from previous Friday's lows. The market trades around 6% below its late January all-time high. Stocks are expected to open slightly higher today, but will they extend their yesterday's late session sell-off or bounce and continue trading within three-day-long consolidation?
The U.S stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.7% on Wednesday, as investors continued taking profits after week-long rally from February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term fluctuations along the level of 2,700-2,750. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off. However, it bounced off that resistance level again and reversed its intraday uptrend following the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. The broad stock market index currently trades 6% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Wednesday.
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Wednesday, February 21, 2018
How to Anticipate Stock Market Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
See one forecasting method that gave ample warning of the recent dramatic volatilityEvery active stock market investor wants to know: Where are prices headed next?
Most will scour the financial headlines, tune into financial television and talk to their broker or financial advisor in hopes of finding the answer. But, alas, this quest for market insight often leaves investors just as uncertain as before.
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Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Stock Market Waiting for the Fed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are flat with little overnight activity as I write. The theme seems to be “Waiting for the Fed.”
Bill Blain comments in Blain’s Morning Porridge, “Back on Planet Sensible, I was asking round the trading desks this morning for any particular themes or issues they’ve been picking up from clients. Nobody seems to be enjoying February.
You must understand my colleagues and crew are a hard-bitten crowd of former investment bankers, traders and other financial desperados who’ve spent careers up to their eyeballs in financial mayhem and gore… “Last chance to sell,” was the answer from one particular cynic.”
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Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Buckle Up: Stocks Are About to Begin “The Next Leg Down.” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Major declines follow a distinct pattern:
1) The initial drop.
2) The bounce.
3) The final collapse.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Stock Market End Is Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near?
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Stock Market Breakout Rally will Squeeze Shorts In March / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our proprietary price modeling systems are showing us that our expected price basing, which we have been warning our members of for near 3 months, has altered in range and scope. What we did expect to happen near February 21 is now expected to START sometime between February 21 and February 26. In other words, we are warning our clients that a moderate downside move is expected in the US majors through most of this current week ending near the end of February before a strong rally in prices is likely to begin.
Monday, February 19, 2018
Stock Market Decision Point! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – An intermediate correction from 2872 is currently underway.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 18, 2018
Will the Stock Market Make a Double Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Submissions
Troy Bombardia writes:The S&P 500 has already fallen more than -10% (-11.8% to be precise). A brief study using VIX suggested that the stock market would retest its lows in the next few weeks. Let’s expand that study.
Read full article... Read full article...What happens when the S&P falls at least -10% and then retraces 50% of the decline? Is the bottom in? Or does the S&P at least retest its lows?
Saturday, February 17, 2018
1 Week Later, Stock, Bond Market Risk Remains ‘On’ as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatility, Palladium (cyclical) got hammered vs. Gold (counter-cyclical), but only to test its major uptrend. Now the ratio is bouncing with the market relief that is so predictably taking hold (here’s a public post where we effectively called bullish, in-day on that Friday).
As for the bigger macro indicators, the middle one, Amigo #2 (long-term interest rates) has that funny look on his face because he is bracing for something.
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Friday, February 16, 2018
How to Trade as We Near March Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our focus is to provide you with updated and accurate market price predictions for all of 2018, we believe we are entering a period that will be fantastic for traders and active investors. We believe this recent volatility has shaken out the low volatility expectations and will allow the markets to start moving in a more normal rotational mode going forward. This means we’ll have lots of trading opportunities to profit from.
For those of you who have not been following our research over the past 2 to 3 months, we urge you to visit our Technical Traders Ltd. website to read our published research and to learn how we’ve been calling these moves in the markets for our members. We called the early 2018 market rally weeks before it started. We called the lower price rotation over a month before it happened. We called the bottom in this price correction almost to the day and told our members that we believed a very quick Pennant price formation was set up that will drive prices higher which we have seen this week.
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Friday, February 16, 2018
IS Today Thee Stock Market Turn Day? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures were higher overnight, but appear to be coming back down as the cash open approaches. The total retracement was 58.5%, an overshoot that was carried by the all-pervading enthusiasm to buy the dip coupled with a stop hunt to remove any timid short sellers who thought they could protect themselves with stop-losses.
.ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks were set to post their best week of gains in six years on Friday after two consecutive weeks spent in the red, shrugging off a rise in global borrowing costs while the dollar hit its lowest level since 2014. The MSCI world index rose 0.4% after European bourses opened. .After suffering its biggest weekly drop since August 2015 last week, this week’s recovery puts the index on track for its best weekly showing since early December 2011.”
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Friday, February 16, 2018
Have You Been Getting Run Over By This Stock Market Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
"Stocks are going down because the economy is too good?"
How many times did you hear something like that quote over the last two weeks on television? And, it was accompanied by the barrage of reports proclaiming the demise of the bull market which began in 2009. But, if you are a thinking person, clearly you had to have been scratching your head.
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Thursday, February 15, 2018
Stock Market Final Word... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A final word this afternoon…
It appears that this rally will last between 3:00 and 4:00 today. The reason I say that is because sometime after 3:00 the rally will have taken 30.1 hours or 4.3 days. So, as well as reaching its Fibonacci levels, the 50-day MA and Wave relationships, SPX will have made a half-Cycle of 4.3 days from bottom to top.
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Thursday, February 15, 2018
Big Conflict Ahead in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX futures are in focus this morning as yields creep ever higher. The overnight high was 29.44, and while the 150% Fib level is at 29.66. Since then it has pulled back, but there does not seem to be an end to higher rates, yet. There may possibly be one more probe higher to the top. Possible targets range from 30.18 to 31.36.
As Northman Trader pointed out yesterday, there is a Cup with Handle formation with the Lip at 27.00 that suggests a probable target for Wave 5 near 37.00. However, the Cycles Model suggests a probable retracement to the neckline may occur first.
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Thursday, February 15, 2018
Stocks Extend Rally Off Friday's Low, But Short-Term Exhaustion Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
S&P 500 index gained 1.3% on Wednesday, following lower opening of the trading session. The market has extended its rally from Friday's low. But will it continue higher today? We can see some short-term overbought conditions. Was this two-week-long sell-off the beginning of a new medium-term downtrend or just downward correction before another leg up? It's hard to say, but this move down set the negative tone for weeks or months to come.
The U.S. stock market extended its short-term uptrend on Wednesday. The main indexes gained 1.0-1.9% following lower opening of the trading session. The S&P 500 index broke above its Monday-Tuesday trading range. The broad stock market gauge retraced most of its last week's Wednesday-Friday's sell-off, as it got close to 2,700 mark again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.9% yesterday.
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