Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Stock Market Bears Pulverised by BOJ Knock Out Punch, Non Technical Take Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Stock market ended Friday sharply higher, up 396 points or 2.5% on the day at Dow 16,466, continuing its recovery towards the middle of a 6 month long trading range. Whilst my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for 2016 remains pending, however here is my non technical take of Januarys crazy price action that garnered much bearish doom and gloom commentary for much of the month, with the bears literally on the receiving end of a BOJ knockout punch on the months last trading day -

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Stock Market, BOJ Negative Rates...Poor GDP...Up We Go...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Many bear markets in the past have gotten oversold, but one thing did not happen. The daily MACD's didn't cross back up from those oversold conditions. They met and kissed off back down, but today we saw crosses from those deeply compressed levels, which tells you we're likely to stay up for a while, although that level of up and how high is truly unpredictable. Will it only be a test of the 20-day exponential moving average, or will it get through the lost uptrend line, or beyond that, will it get back up to the 50-day exponential moving average? No way to know, but the uptrend line is at 1940. The 50's are all the way up at 1977. With the MACD crosses getting to the 50's is not out of the question.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Stock Market Volatility Index Funny Business / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The volatility index, or the VIX, is commonly thought to be an index that gauges index volatility. Actually, the VIX is an index that gauges the expense of put options. Put options of course are designed to gain advantage when the underlying asset declines in price. In this case, the VIX is a measure of the expense of buying put options on the S&P 500 index. Normally, prices are set by buyers and sellers. More buyers than sellers generally leads to higher prices and fewer buyers than sellers generally leads to lower prices. Normally.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Be Prepared for Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX overshot its mid-cycle resistance, which is not unusual. The retracement lasted exactly 51.6 hours (12 X 4.3), which was longer than I had expected. The retracement amount was 116.43 points, which amounted to a 43.2% bounce from the low.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Market Friendly BoJ Action Means more Unfriendly CNY Devaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The BoJ's decision to cut the interest rate on current account balances to -0.10% highlights the beginning of the end of Japan's asset purchase program due to insufficient bonds held by banks, pension funds and insurance companies.

The fact that the BoJ voted 5-4 in favour of negative rates and 8-1 to keep monthly assets purchases unchanged exposes the controversial nature of the decision to re-enter negative rates and the unfeasibility of adding fresh QE.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

What a night in the futures and forex markets! The Premarket is up, but this is to be expected in the final ramp of Wave (v) of [c] within a Broadening formation. So the Premarket is higher, but still under the previous high. Whether it makes a higher point 5 in the 5-point reversal is yet to be known. Either way, the reversal may be abrupt and strong. It is likely that the reversal into Wave 3 may begin by the end of the day.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Steve Forbes Speaks Out on the Presidential Race, Fed Recklessness, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Forbes Pulls No Punches in Exclusive Interview with Money Metals Exchange

Mike Gleason, Director, Money Metals Exchange: It is my great privilege to welcome Steve Forbes, Editor-in-Chief of Forbes Magazine, CEO of Forbes, Inc. to our Money Metals Exchange podcast.  Steve is also author of many fabulous books, including Flat Tax Revolution, How Capitalism Will Save Us, and his latest work, Reviving America: How Repealing Obamacare, Replacing the Tax Code and Reforming the Fed Will Restore Hope and Prosperity. He's also a two-time Presidential candidate, having run in the Republican primaries in both 1996 and 2000. It's a tremendous honor to have him with us today. Mr. Forbes, thank you so much for joining us and welcome.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Stock Market Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

Sharply lower global equity markets since last August reflect years of Fed-led central banks’ money printing madness, running headlong into economic contraction and instability.

China when thriving is a key engine of world economic growth, a depressant when declining. Official numbers conceal how much, at best a small fraction of its earlier annual double-digit increases.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Market Technicals Update: Can We Trust This Stock Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The stock rally of the last few days has investors wondering if the bottom is in.

Unfortunately, it very likely is not.

High Yield bonds have lead stocks to the upside. They are now leading to the downside, and the High Yield bond market indicates we have further to fall. The stock rally looks out of place here.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Stock Market Broadening Formation May be in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX ramped this morning from the Premarket and is carrying over into the open. We may be seeing a Broadening formation in motion. If so, the trendline top is near 1920.00 and the mid-Cycle resistance is 1929.79. All of this action is meant to punish both sides as stops are run again in both directions.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

FOMC Announcement Sends Stock Market Indices South... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today, coming down hard in the morning, back up midday, they backed off until the FOMC, and then spiked right after the news for a few minutes, reversed very sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4218 down to 4112, more than 100 points. The S&P 500 then dropped from 1915 to 1872, a total of 43 points. It was a very nasty slide indeed. They managed to bounce, but really formed nothing more than bear flags, and closed down on the day.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).

Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.

The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Crash: Is the Dow headed for a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines:

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Italian Bank Panic & Bail-In - The Next Domino To Fall / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

On January 1st of this year the European Union passed into law an official “bank bail-in” clause.  The bail-in legislation put into law, across Europe, what was done in Cyprus in 2013 where bank account holders had their funds seized to “save” the bank.  To us, and anyone who is paying half-attention, this was a clarion call to get your funds out of European banks.

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Top May Have Been Made on Friday.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Shortly after 2:20 pm, SPX made its intra-day high at 1906.73.  From a Cyclical view, last Friday’s high at 1908.85 was the high, consuming exactly 17.2 hours from bottom to top. 

Today’s high counts well as an Elliott Wave [c] of 2, but it appears truncated.  Short-term resistance is at 1900.28, with SPX now below it.  The daily Cycle Bottom resistance is at 1898.86.  These resistances are somewhat elastic, but they appear to be holding. 

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Forecast for February 1st High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

A bottom for the January sell-off appears to be behind us. It fell three trading days after the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low in the period January 12-15. This should be a good week for the bulls. The next forecast for a high is for Monday, February 1. That forecast is detailed below.

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Stock Market Bear Raid Over or the Last Bull Standing? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Its not just the Eastern United States that's been paralysed by freezing temperatures and a huge blizzard, as the stocks bull market also remains frozen in a trading range, which has most recently seen the Dow bounce off the icy cold extreme low end of the range, which according to the bear market doom and gloom growing consensus just marks the first bear market counter-trend rally of 2016.

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Capital Controls Are Coming / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The carnage always comes by surprise, often on an otherwise ordinary Saturday morning…

The government declares a surprise bank holiday. It shuts all the banks. It imposes capital controls to stop citizens from taking their money out of the country. Cash-sniffing dogs, which make drug-sniffing dogs look friendly, show up at airports.