Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Stock Market Eighth Year Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.
And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Dent
Oil can’t seem to get a break. After falling just below $27 last week, oil finally rallied back to $32 before falling back to just under $31 on Tuesday. An oversold bounce was naturally due, with perhaps a bit more to come. But the oil market’s doing exactly what I said it would – cratering!Meanwhile, in la-la land, stocks have been so focused on the decline in oil prices that they just ignored the other big trigger for a stock decline.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Coming Stock Market Decline May be a Monster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging yesterday’s low at 1920.30.
ZeroHedge reports, “It certainly does feel like groundhog day today because while last week's near record oil surge is long forgotten, and one can debate the impact the result of last night's Iowa primary which saw Trump disappoint to an ascendant Ted Cruz while Hillary and Bernie were practically tied, one thing is certain: today's continued decline in crude, which has seen Brent and WTI both tumble by over 3% has once again pushed global stocks and US equity futures lower, offsetting the euphoria from last night's earnings beat by Google which made Alphabet the largest company in the world by market cap.”
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
S&P 500 Has Likely Entered a New Bear Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 has now more than likely entered a new bear phase which could well last for most of 2017 the monthly close signalled the probability that a multi month decline is underway. Since 2008 the S & P 500 has enjoyed one of its largest and longest and rises in modern times, our long term chart below shows this Bull Run in context. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Bad GDP...Bad ISM....Bad AMZN.....Good Japan....Japan Wins.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had a lot of bad news to deal with as of late. Two of the worst are the GDP, and the awful news out of the ISM Manufacturing Report this morning. The number 48.2 is showing contraction for our economy and further contraction from the prior month. Things are going the wrong way for our economy. The market should have gotten annihilated today. It decided not to because it can. The market seemingly wants to retrace higher for reasons that make literally no sense to me. We should have stopped before this level, but the MACD's are crossed, and, thus, the market tries.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
SPX Making a Last Stand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be stalling at 1947.29, very close to a 50% Fib retracement (1946.92). That also comes out to nearly an exact 8.6 days of rally after 13.5 days of decline. If my Cycles Model is accurate, it anticipates 8.6 days of decline, suggesting a low on Thursday morning, February 11.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
How and Why To Move Your Assets Offshore Before the Financial Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
[The following is by Paul Seymour, Managing Partner of TDV Offshore]
I worked for several years with Big 4 CPA firms in both the US and Saudi Arabia, and then spent many years as a multi-national corporate Controller and CFO in places like Florida, Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Cairo, and Medellín. In my second, more free life, I’ve found satisfaction helping others better position themselves to avoid the onrushing financial catastrophe via variety of international strategies.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
The Davos Confetti Club / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
The Keynesian elite gathered in Davos Switzerland this past week to pontificate on global economic issues and to strategize the engineering of The Fourth Industrial Revolution. This new so called “revolution” includes a discussion on the future of Artificial Intelligence. Judging by the comments coming from most of the list of attendees, it seems obvious the intelligence on display was indeed faux. But the most important take away from this venue was that central bankers have made it clear to the markets that the level and duration of quantitative counterfeiting knows no bounds.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Great News! This Bull Market Is About to Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes:By now, I’m sure you’ve heard that the East Coast was hammered by a Godzilla-sized snowstorm last weekend.
Ignoring the milk, bread and toilet paper, my wife and I loaded up on liquor, cookie dough and junk food in preparation of being snowed in for a few days. We made a list of all the movies we missed in theaters that are now On Demand. We took video of our dog spazzing out in the backyard.
All things considered, it was a pretty great weekend.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
More Stock Market, Gold Selling Next Week? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The SPX should hold about 1943/44 Monday and then drop to around 1850 by Feb 3 or 4. The astro/fib CIT turns are Feb 1 and Feb 4. There is a Bradley turn due Feb 3-5. The 16 TD low is due Feb 3.
Astro-wise we have Venus conj Pluto as it translates the Uranus/Pluto square Feb 5-6. Mercury translates this same pair Jan 30/31. Normally, the stock market makes it low before the Venus Pluto conjunction suggesting Feb 3 to 4 for the low. This would agree more with the astro/fib turns, however, a bit of a stretch for the 16 TD low to meld with the 5 week low on Feb 25 if the low comes on the 4th, but not impossible.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
Elites Set to Wipe Out Stock Market Shorts Before Next Downwave... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clive_Maund
The recovery rally in the US stockmarket that we have been expecting for a week or two started on Friday with a robust advance that gathered strength into the close. The trigger was Japan's announcement that it is going into NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) in a big way, which means that as they slip deeper into the abyss of bankruptcy they are going to resort to robbing savers. This is real "endgame stuff" - another milestone on the road to ruin, and it looks like it was the result of the Japanese attendees at Davos being taken to one side and given their "marching orders". The US stockmarket reveled in this news of course, because it means that the Fed's proposed interest rate rises will never happen and instead they will get ready to launch a massive QE blitz, in concert with Central Banks around the world, in a desperate effort to fend off the gathering forces of deflation. The end result of this QE blitz will be hyperinflation and chaos. At some point the penny will drop with investors and there will be a stampede into gold and silver, although latest COTs suggest that this is still some way off.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Stock Market A-B-C Correction Unfolding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 31, 2016
As Goes January, So Goes the Year... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jesse
And so we say goodby to January 2016.
There is an old saying on Wall Street that as goes January, so goes the year. This is also known in some circles as the 'January barometer.'
If this is the case it is going to be a good year for precious metals and a very wild ride for stocks.
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Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week! The week started off at SPX 1907, traded down to 1876 on Monday, then rallied to 1917 on Wednesday before the FOMC statement. After the statement was released the market traded down to SPX 1873, retested that low on Thursday, then rocketed higher on Friday to end the week at SPX 1940. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%, and the DJ World index gained 2.10%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA, consumer confidence, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods, Q4 GDP, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on the PCE, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls.
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stock Market Bears Pulverised by BOJ Knock Out Punch, Non Technical Take Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Stock market ended Friday sharply higher, up 396 points or 2.5% on the day at Dow 16,466, continuing its recovery towards the middle of a 6 month long trading range. Whilst my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for 2016 remains pending, however here is my non technical take of Januarys crazy price action that garnered much bearish doom and gloom commentary for much of the month, with the bears literally on the receiving end of a BOJ knockout punch on the months last trading day -
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stock Market, BOJ Negative Rates...Poor GDP...Up We Go...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Many bear markets in the past have gotten oversold, but one thing did not happen. The daily MACD's didn't cross back up from those oversold conditions. They met and kissed off back down, but today we saw crosses from those deeply compressed levels, which tells you we're likely to stay up for a while, although that level of up and how high is truly unpredictable. Will it only be a test of the 20-day exponential moving average, or will it get through the lost uptrend line, or beyond that, will it get back up to the 50-day exponential moving average? No way to know, but the uptrend line is at 1940. The 50's are all the way up at 1977. With the MACD crosses getting to the 50's is not out of the question.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Volatility Index Funny Business / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The volatility index, or the VIX, is commonly thought to be an index that gauges index volatility. Actually, the VIX is an index that gauges the expense of put options. Put options of course are designed to gain advantage when the underlying asset declines in price. In this case, the VIX is a measure of the expense of buying put options on the S&P 500 index. Normally, prices are set by buyers and sellers. More buyers than sellers generally leads to higher prices and fewer buyers than sellers generally leads to lower prices. Normally.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Be Prepared for Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX overshot its mid-cycle resistance, which is not unusual. The retracement lasted exactly 51.6 hours (12 X 4.3), which was longer than I had expected. The retracement amount was 116.43 points, which amounted to a 43.2% bounce from the low.
Friday, January 29, 2016
Market Friendly BoJ Action Means more Unfriendly CNY Devaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The BoJ's decision to cut the interest rate on current account balances to -0.10% highlights the beginning of the end of Japan's asset purchase program due to insufficient bonds held by banks, pension funds and insurance companies.
The fact that the BoJ voted 5-4 in favour of negative rates and 8-1 to keep monthly assets purchases unchanged exposes the controversial nature of the decision to re-enter negative rates and the unfeasibility of adding fresh QE.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
What a night in the futures and forex markets! The Premarket is up, but this is to be expected in the final ramp of Wave (v) of [c] within a Broadening formation. So the Premarket is higher, but still under the previous high. Whether it makes a higher point 5 in the 5-point reversal is yet to be known. Either way, the reversal may be abrupt and strong. It is likely that the reversal into Wave 3 may begin by the end of the day.
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