Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
Stock Market Thoughts For the End of the Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
What a year this has been!
As you can see from Doug Short's S&P chart, we're now up 171% from our 2009 low of 666 but the mission is not yet accomplished at 1,833 – not with 1,850 so close and obtainable as a target for a 2013 finish that will put this year firmly in the history books – as well as in brochures that will be used to entice more people into the market next year.
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Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Secular Stock Market Cycles - Don't Accept Breakeven / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
For today's special Christmas Eve Outside the Box, my good friend Ed Easterling brings us pearls of wisdom on the subject of rowing vs. sailing. "Rowing?" you ask. "Sailing?" And, you're thinking, "I would surely prefer to be a sailor." Well, not so fast. Let Ed explain why putting your back into your investing process can pay off handsomely. A nice piece to think about as you are mashing the potatoes or icing the cake. You can see more of Ed’s marvelous work at www.crestmontresearch.com.
Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Stock Market Snapshot: Another Day, Another All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: This morning’s strong Durable Goods report set the stage for a continuation of the holiday rally. The S&P 500 opened fractionally above yesterday’s close and rose steadily to it modest intraday high at the closing bell, up 0.29%. The 0.29% intraday range in today’s abbreviated trading day was the second smallest of the year … second to the March 7th range of 0.28%.
Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Stock Market 2014 Party On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - Interest rates are near historic lows, credit is cheap and the prominent central banks are not planning to pursue tough monetary policies anytime soon. Consequently, the stock markets of the developed world are rallying and their property markets are recovering.
There can be no doubt that the world's business activity is mediocre, but the financial markets are primarily driven by monetary policy. Remember, the risk free rate of return determines the value of every asset and with near zero interest rates, it is hardly surprising that prices are appreciating.
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Tuesday, December 24, 2013
World Stocks Rally on Steroids - Except for China / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted substantial gains over the past week. The average of the six was an impressive 2.91%, with Germany’s DAXK as the top performer, up 4.37%. The two negative performers were the two China indexes. The Hang Seng fell 1.87% and the Shanghai Composite plunged a gut-wrenching 5.07%, its worst weekly loss since May 2011.
Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Stock Market Melt-up, Then Down in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Market events such as crashes and panics are thought by economists to be random, unpredictable events. To the contrary, such events are nothing if not predictable and often arrive with recognizable regularity. A cursory examination of the last few decades will prove this to be conclusive.Writing in Barron’s, Randall Forsyth pointed out that each cycle of 40-years plus “has been marked by blowups.” He cited the following debacles: Penn Central (1970), Herstatt Bank (1974), the Hunt Brothers (1980), the October 1987 crash, the S&L crash (1990), the mortgage securities and Mexican crises of 1994, the emerging-market debt crises of 1997-98, the dot-com crash of 2000, and the housing crash of 2007-08.
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Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Stock Market Crash Postponed, But Not Cancelled / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We’re dealing with a major ice storm here in mid-Michigan. We have a half inch of ice on everything, stripping branches from trees and bringing down powerlines and the weather is turning colder. Major swaths of the state are without electricity, much less phones & internet. I had to drain several peoples’ water pipes because with no heat, they will freeze. We are fortunate to have power, but many may not have electricity back on until after Christmas.
Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Merry Stock Markets – Apple Provides More Lift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
AAPL strikes again!
In last Wednesday's Webcast (Our Top Picks for 2014), I noted that AAPL was once again going to be my pick of the year (it was our top pick for 2013 too) because, once again, not only was it cheap but BECAUSE we could construct a ridiculously cheap option spread for it that can once again deliver a massive return of 500% or more.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Jim Rogers On “Buying Panic” And Investments Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, International Man
I am very pleased to have had the chance to speak with Jim Rogers, a legendary investor and true international man.
Jim and I spoke about some of the most exciting investments and stock markets around the world that pretty much nobody else is talking about.
You won't want to miss this fascinating discussion, which you'll find below.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Forecast 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now. A sixth such year has not happened before in history. A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years. Russell 2k rallies of similar size and duration to 2013′s (excluding accelerations from major bear lows) are shown below. In each case all the gains were given back the following year.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Overbought Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Day of Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
Thomson Reuters (This Week in Earnings, December 6, 2013) notes another New World Record. We are breaking plenty these days. This often foretells a Grand Finale. For the fourth quarter of 2013, 103 companies in the S&P 500 have announced negative earnings revisions. Only nine have disclosed positive profit assessments. The ratio of negative-to-positive, 11.4:1, exceeds the previous high (negative-to-positive ratio) of 6.8:1.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Top - Bear Market Forecast 2014 to 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It's been my theory for some time now that this QE driven bull market would top either in late 2013 or early 2014, followed by a multi-month stagnation process as liquidity leaked into the commodity markets.
Sunday, December 22, 2013
Stock Market E-Mini SP 500 Looking For 1825 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P 500 spiked down to 1753 on Monday from where we have seen a very strong reversal in the past few days. We see the current move up as part of a five wave rally in blue wave (v) that will be targeting new highs and possibly 1825 in days ahead. Trend is clearly in bullish mode as long as 1753 holds.
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Sunday, December 22, 2013
What Does QE Tapering Really Mean? What Will the Stock Market Do? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Now that we have begun tapering, we will soon see lots of analysis about whether QE has been effective. What will the stock market do? The US economy seems to be moving in the right direction, but the Fed has forecast Nirvana (seriously) – do we dare hope they can finally get a forecast right? Or have they jinxed us? This and a few other dark thoughts crossed my path on a beautiful day in San Diego; so in a very different Thoughts from the Frontline, I offer a number of small gifts rather than an overarching theme, and we will see if we can keep it short.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market QE3 End Date Meaning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
The market gapped up on Monday, rallied to SPX 1792 in the opening minutes, then pulled back until just after the FOMC statement at 2pm on Wednesday. After that the market soared right into late Friday afternoon reaching all time new highs. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.3%, and the DJ World gained 2.1%. Economic reports for the week were quite positive. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the CPI, NAHB housing, housing starts, leading indicators, Q3 GDP, and the current accounts deficit improved. On the downtick: building permits, existing home sales, the WLEI, the M1-multiplier and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is highlighted by Durable goods orders, the PCE and Consumer sentiment.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Manipulations Rule The Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
The Federal Reserve’s announcement on December 18 that beginning in January its monthly purchases of mortgage-backed financial instruments and US Treasury bonds would each be cut by $5 billion is puzzling, as is the financial press’s account of the market’s response.
The Federal Reserve conveys a contradictory message. The Fed says that improvements in employment and the economy justify cutting back on bond purchases.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market Fed....Overbought....Froth.......Still Heading Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
An interesting week to be sure. Wednesday when he tapered just enough to start the ball rolling, but not so much that folks are fearful of the entire liquidity pool being drained out too fast. He also let the world know that zero rates are with us for years to come. That was really the magic that sent the market flying higher throughout the afternoon on Wednesday after his announcement. After a pause Thursday, his magical wand got those buyers back in the game on Friday with the S&P 500 making a nice breakout over 1813.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Commodities and Financial Market Forecasts for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.
He created these charts – which cover markets like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, gold, and mutual funds – to explain where financial markets have been and where they are headed. These are not your typical price charts. They combine history and patterns to tell the story clearly, all from his distinctly different point of view. With this information, his Elliott Wave Theorist subscribers are now prepared for 2014. And you can be, too, because you can get the full 10-page issue, FREE.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Financial Market Storm Signals & Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Volatile oil and gasoline prices continued to dominate the monthly and annual swings in consumer inflation. Going forward, risks generally favor higher energy inflation driving the headline consumer inflation indices higher. Energy prices generally have an inverse relationship to U.S. dollar strength. For example, a weak U.S. dollar against other currencies tends to put upside pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Post-2008 bouts of dollar weakness generally have been triggered by the ongoing quantitative-easing (also known as dollar-debasement) policies of the Federal Reserve. …
“The U.S. dollar recently has seen some minimal selling pressure. That pressure likely will intensify sharply in the near future, with “tapering” (if any) by the Fed not likely to be of substance. Underlying systemic-liquidity and economic circumstances actually favor intensified quantitative easing. Combine that with the lack of a meaningful effort by the federal government to address fiscal imbalances and the long-term sovereign solvency issues of the United States; with shifting sentiments on the deteriorating political environment in Washington; and with a still-weakening economy; and circumstances are set for a rapidly intensifying sell-off of the U.S. dollar. Again, as the U.S. dollar comes under heavy selling pressure, the weakening U.S. currency rapidly should be translated into rising oil-price-related inflation. …”
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