Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 05, 2012
Fiscal Cliff Could Trigger Stock Market Collapse Like 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
I’m going to lay out everything you need to know about the fiscal cliff negotiations. After reading this, you can ignore all of the media’s coverage of this topic as well as various politicians’ announcements pertaining to this subject.
All you need to know consists of just one sentence.
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Wednesday, December 05, 2012
The Coming Derivatives Panic That Will Destroy Global Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: John_Rolls
John Rolls Submits, Michael Snyder writes: When financial markets in the United States crash, so does the U.S. economy. Just remember what happened back in 2008. The financial markets crashed, the credit markets froze up, and suddenly the economy went into cardiac arrest. Well, there are very few things that could cause the financial markets to crash harder or farther than a derivatives panic. Sadly, most Americans don't even understand what derivatives are. Unlike stocks and bonds, a derivative is not an investment in anything real. Rather, a derivative is a legal bet on the future value or performance of something else. Just like you can go to Las Vegas and bet on who will win the football games this weekend, bankers on Wall Street make trillions of dollars of bets about how interest rates will perform in the future and about what credit instruments are likely to default. Wall Street has been transformed into a gigantic casino where people are betting on just about anything that you can imagine. This works fine as long as there are not any wild swings in the economy and risk is managed with strict discipline, but as we have seen, there have been times when derivatives have caused massive problems in recent years.
Wednesday, December 05, 2012
Stock Market Heading Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After an impulsive decline, SPX bounced back to the Bearish Wedge trendline and Intermediate-term support/resistance for a quick challenge before turning back down. There may be some brief support at the Orthodox Broadening Top trendline at 1390.00, but I don’t expect it to last. The next support is the 200-day moving average at 1385.34. Final support is at the Cycle Bottom channel line at 1351.90. I don’t know how fast these support may be taken out. It appears that the decline should be over in two weeks or less, since options expiration comes on December 21.
Tuesday, December 04, 2012
Stock Market Pop and Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 popped at the open and hit its intraday high, up 0.53%, in the first two minutes of trading. The rest of the day was a slide, with occasional bumps to a closing loss of 0.47%. The opening selloff accelerated at 10 AM with the release of the November ISM Manufacturing report, which registered a 2.2 percent drop into contraction territory for the headline index. Of course, the financial press mentions the ongoing “Cliff” anxieties, which were brought to the forefront by a GOP letter to the White House rejecting the president’s Cliff fix and countering with a no-tax-increase rejoinder.
Tuesday, December 04, 2012
ISM Stock Market Knockout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had a nice bid underneath it this morning pre-market. S&P 500 futures were up nearly seven points with the Nasdaq up double digits. The S&P 500 had a double top of horizontal resistance at 1434/1435. It looked as if the S&P 500 was going up to test as it waited for the ISM Manufacturing Report to come out. Thirty minutes into the trading day we got the number. Anything above 50.0 shows economic expansion, while anything below 50.0 shows contraction. The market was expecting a number a bit over 50.0. It was nothing to get excited about or celebrate, but a number over 50.0 nonetheless. The market wanted to see economic growth, no matter how slight it was. 49.5 was the number that came in. Not good.
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Monday, December 03, 2012
Stock Market SP500 at a CRUCIAL Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: David_Banister
We had an interesting 131 point SP 500 decline from the summer-fall highs of 1474 to the recent 1344 lows. Interesting because in the work that I do, we focus on crowd behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave Theory. There is no one technical analysis methodology that works all the time, so it’s important to incorporate other elements into your work to help with some clues. Let’s examine the crossroad we are at right now around 1420 on the SP 500 and why the next move may be a “tell” as they say in poker.
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Monday, December 03, 2012
Stock Market On the Verge of Entering Euphoria Stage / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Toby_Connor
I think we are on the verge of entering the euphoria stage of this cyclical bull market.
Monday, December 03, 2012
Stock Market S&P 1424 Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – SPX has made a top at 1474. A mid-correction rally is underway.
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Sunday, December 02, 2012
Global Financial System Big Turning Point Has Finally Hit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Graham_Summers
I believe we are at a major turning point for the financial system.
For nearly four years, the entire financial system has been held together (just barely) by extraordinary interventions on the part of the world’s Central Banks.
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Sunday, December 02, 2012
US Stock Market Nearing Bull/bear Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
The rally from the SPX 1343 low, two weeks ago friday, continued this week as the SPX hit 1420 on thursday. Thus far the advance looks impulsive and is riding a WROC buy signal. Which usually precedes an uptrend confirmation. Which, btw, is not all that far away. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ rose 1.5%. Asian markets gained 1.0% European markets gained 0.3%, and the DJ World index gained 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports marginally outpaced negative reports eight to seven. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, FHFA housing prices, pending home sales, PCE prices, the Chicago PMI and weekly jobless claimed improved. On the downtick: durable goods orders, new homes sales/prices, personal income/spending, the WLEI, and the Monetary base. Next week we will get the Payrolls report, ISM and monthly Auto sales.
Saturday, December 01, 2012
Popular Delusions, The Bull Case for Safe Havens / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: John_Mauldin
A month ago in Outside the Box, Dylan Grice made the case for the need for safe havens, due to expansive monetary policy. But what is a safe haven anymore?
In today’s piece, a follow-up to last month’s, Dylan gives us a very good rundown on the historical relationship between equities and government bonds, in order to point out the very atypical current negative correlation between them. He then observes that
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Saturday, December 01, 2012
Political Banter...... Stock Market Whipped...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was whipped around all week as each and every word out of the mouth of a political leader was used to move the markets up or down in a big way in a matter of moments. We saw the S&P 500 move up and down a 10 handle in literally minutes when the right or wrong thing was ushered out to the public. Sometimes the boys from both sides were arm in arm saying all the right things one day only to have them shoot negative statements against the other side the very next day, the market reacting each time without it making much sense as the technicals are being whipped around. They can look bullish one day and then not so the next. They're not as reliable as we'd like them to be as they're hostage to our political leaders like the rest of us are. Makes trading tougher for you can't trust what you see as much as you normally would.
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Thursday, November 29, 2012
Back to Basics: A Planned Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: DeviantInvestor
Franklin D. Roosevelt, the 32nd president of the United States said, “In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way.”
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Stock Elliott DAX Index Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
From the March 2009 lows we can clearly see that the market resembles a 3 wave advance, this is a key component to Elliotticians as it suggests the advance is a corrective move against the decline from 2007-2009.If you look closer you can clearly see what looks like a wedge shape. I am currently working an idea on the SPX to see a new yearly high around 1480-1500SPX either into the yearend or the start of next year.
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Thursday, November 29, 2012
The Boehner Obama One-Two Stock Market Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short : The S&P 500 opened lower and fell to its intraday low, off 0.97%, shortly after 10 AM. That was when Speaker of the House John Boehner triggered a rally with another of his vague expressions of optimism about bulldozing the Fiscal Cliff. In separate remarks President Obama spoke of a deal within the next four weeks. The market responded with a pair of bounces. The index closed the day near its intraday high with a gain of 0.79%.
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Fed Bernanke...Boehner...Obama.... Stock Market Reversal Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
, and talk up how they would find a solution to the fiscal cliff. That both sides would make concessions and that a good solution was in the cards. The market rallied hard. The market topped and started falling again with the Dow down over 100 points today. Out of the blue, and my guess from Mr. Bernanke, who always watches the market, Boehner came out again today and said he and Obama were working closely together, and that a solution would be found between the two sides. Again, in days of market distress they come out.
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Wednesday, November 28, 2012
US Dollar and Stock Market Relationships Near Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: David_Banister
The SP 500 is likely to pullback from a 66 point rally off the 1343 pivots. Those pivots were right at a Fibonacci fractal retracement of 61.8% of the Summer rally. That rally ran from 1267-1474 as we all know in hindsight, and the correction was a normal correction within a bull cycle.
Tuesday, November 27, 2012
Nas/AAPL Won't Fall.... Dow/S&P 500 Small Pullback... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The bid is back in for this market after the weekly charts printed outside sticks last week when compared to the action from the previous week. That normally tells the worst of the selling is over, but that does not preclude one more move lower over time to double bottom. That's unclear for now. The market tried selling today, but, sadly, it's now all about Apple Inc. (AAPL), which had a strong day to the up side, meaning the Nasdaq out performed, closing in the green while the S&P 500 and Dow were down a little bit. In reality a nothing-from-nothing day. However, with the Nasdaq hanging tough, it allowed its short-term chart RSI to remain in the upper 70's. Not a good reading for buying new plays.
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Monday, November 26, 2012
The "Fiscal Cliff" Story You're Not Hearing from the Mainstream Press / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DailyWealth
Dan Ferris writes: Investors are scared...
In fact, they're even more scared today than they were in late 2008.
That's hard to believe... In 2008, the market was down close to 50% from its late-2007 highs. The housing market was crushed. Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, and AIG had all gone out of business in one way or another. Officials from the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury were running around like chickens with their heads cut off... bailing out losers in the financial industry.
Monday, November 26, 2012
Stock Market New Uptrend Probably Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
Last friday’s optimism for a quick resolution to the potential fiscal cliff, continued this week as US equity markets rallied. In fact, US stock market indices had their best week since June. For the week the SPX/DOW were +3.5%, and the NDX/NAZ were +4.1%. Asian markets gained 1.7%, European market gained 4.9%, and the DJ World index rose 3.8%. On the economic front, reports swung back to positive after one week with a negative bias. For the week positive reports outnumbered negative ones five to three. On the downtick: building permits, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. On the uptick: existing homes sales, housing starts, the NAHB index, leading indicators, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week we get to review the FED’s Beige book, Q3 GDP, PCE prices and additional housing reports. Best to your week!