Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Stock Market 50-day Sell Signal May be Activated Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is finishing its Intermediate Wave (2) this early afternoon.  It succeeded in overcoming the 50-day on the third attempt, but cannot hold above it at 1417.71.  This is your sell signal if you have gone neutral or long in the past two weeks. 

Monday, December 10, 2012

The Twitter Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: PhilStockWorld

The Downside Hedge Twitter Sentiment indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is confirming the current uptrend. Both daily and smoothed sentiment are showing very strong readings that reflect the optimism of market participant’s tweets. We saw a good number of tweets early last week predicting the market would hold support and that any dip should be bought. This proved to be true as the dip to 1400 on SPX was bought aggressively. Later in the week traders were tweeting about trading the current range, but still wanting to be buyers to levels as low as the 1385 on SPX (near the 200 day moving average).

Monday, December 10, 2012

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis of Blow off Tops, Apple Stock Example / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

SPX Long Term

My preferred wave count is similar to the idea I posted some weeks back on the DAX and that I suspect the SPX is inside a 5^th wave for an ending diagonal so likely to chop higher into Jan-Feb period next year before a meaningful high. It would need a seriously strong break below the 200DMA on the SPX before I would switch to an alternative bearish idea, whilst this market continues higher I still prefer the bullish option over the bearish option.

Monday, December 10, 2012

Dow Complex Points to Higher Stock Market This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has made a top at 1474. A mid-correction rally is underway.

Monday, December 10, 2012

Stocks Bull / Bear Market Inflection Point Nears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

A choppy market this week in the US which ended quite mixed. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.55%, but the NDX/NAZ were -1.15%. Asian markets gained 0.8%, European markets gained 1.0%, and the DJ World index was +0.6%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 8 to 5. On the uptick: construction spending, productivity, factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP index, nonfarm payrolls, consumer sentiment, and investor sentiment. Next week the FED meets tuesday/wednesday, plus we get reports on retail sales, the CPI/PPI, and industrial production. Best to your week!

Sunday, December 09, 2012

Stock Market PANIC Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Darah_Bazargan

The TV pundits all contribute their fair share to the conditioning process by clouding thoughts of any market player. To the extent that all ambiguities presented will bait investors to thinking IRRATIONALLY! Like, waiting for a 1000 point rally to emerge once the fiscal cliff is resolved.

Saturday, December 08, 2012

Good Jobs...Bad Jobs.... Stock Market Still Lateral..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The Government came out with their bag of tricks this morning pre-market, telling us that jobs increased by 146,000, which was much better than expected. What they failed to tell you was that the jobs market lost 122,000 people when their claims ran out with the Government--the new math, apparently. So in the end the report was actually worse than expected, but they want you to believe that things are actually improving.

Friday, December 07, 2012

"If I Could Put All My Money in Myanmar, I Would" / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: DailyWealth

Chris Mayer writes:

Friday, December 07, 2012

Will Fiscal Cliff Uncertainty Defeat Stock Market’s Favorable Seasonality? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

It’s no secret that the stock market makes most of its gains in the winter months, and if it’s going to have problems they usually take place in the summer months.

The pattern is so consistent that academic studies prove that over the long-term betting on the pattern even with a strategy as simplistic as the venerable old ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ dictum, outperforms the benchmark S&P 500 by a wide margin, while taking only 50% of market risk.

Friday, December 07, 2012

What the Stock Market VIX is Saying About the Fiscal Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: J_W_Jones

The past few weeks have been full of a constant barrage of press conferences and public statements from the charlatans in Washington D.C. Politicians cannot pass up a chance to get in front of the cameras and the media has used the “fiscal cliff” as a mechanism to scare average Americans further about their future.

Friday, December 07, 2012

Stock Market Dam is Ready to Burst / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We finally caught the break we have been waiting for in the Euro. It broke its Bearish Wedge today, leaving no doubt of its destination. This is the first major “crack in the dam.” With the Euro uptrend broken, the rest of the markets will follow. Those who are long will be like the people living beneath the dam burst. They won’t even have time to make for higher ground.

Friday, December 07, 2012

Investor Profit & Protect Despite Bogus Official Data & The Coming Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Set by Uncontained Fiscal Malfeasance, and Exacerbated by Still-Unfolding Effects of the 2008 Systemic Panic and Near-Collapse, U.S. Hyperinflation Looms by End of 2014.  After decades of U.S. government fiscal mismanagement, by 2004, the U.S. budget deficit was so out of control that it had become both unsustainable and uncontainable.  Using generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP-accounting), the deficit for just the fiscal-year 2004 exploded to $11.0 trillion&h 

Thursday, December 06, 2012

How German DAX on 3 Dec Confirmed a long term bull market– MAP WAVE Analysis / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Marc_Horn

Of the Indices I follow on the 3rd of December at 11:24 the DAX broke the high shown in the purple circle shown below!

Thursday, December 06, 2012

Stock Market Yo Yo....Boring...Nothing Good/Nothing Bad...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

That's the story, and I know it's a very boring one. You are all bored of me telling you this stuff every day. I totally get it. I'm bored of not being able to change things up. Shaking it up some would be nice but, sadly, that's not the way it is right now. The market simply whipsaws around giving no one any satisfaction. The more you trade the more you lose. We saw classic bifurcation today as the Nasdaq was very red thanks to Apple Inc. (AAPL) being down $38, but at the same time the S&P 500 was up a drop and the Dow was up decently. Healthy markets run to froth, not run away from it.

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

Fiscal Cliff Could Trigger Stock Market Collapse Like 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

I’m going to lay out everything you need to know about the fiscal cliff negotiations. After reading this, you can ignore all of the media’s coverage of this topic as well as various politicians’ announcements pertaining to this subject.

All you need to know consists of just one sentence.

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

The Coming Derivatives Panic That Will Destroy Global Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Rolls

John Rolls Submits, Michael Snyder writes: When financial markets in the United States crash, so does the U.S. economy.  Just remember what happened back in 2008.  The financial markets crashed, the credit markets froze up, and suddenly the economy went into cardiac arrest.  Well, there are very few things that could cause the financial markets to crash harder or farther than a derivatives panic.  Sadly, most Americans don't even understand what derivatives are.  Unlike stocks and bonds, a derivative is not an investment in anything real.  Rather, a derivative is a legal bet on the future value or performance of something else.  Just like you can go to Las Vegas and bet on who will win the football games this weekend, bankers on Wall Street make trillions of dollars of bets about how interest rates will perform in the future and about what credit instruments are likely to default.  Wall Street has been transformed into a gigantic casino where people are betting on just about anything that you can imagine.  This works fine as long as there are not any wild swings in the economy and risk is managed with strict discipline, but as we have seen, there have been times when derivatives have caused massive problems in recent years. 

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

Stock Market Heading Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

After an impulsive decline, SPX bounced back to the Bearish Wedge trendline and Intermediate-term support/resistance for a quick challenge before turning back down.  There may be some brief support at the Orthodox Broadening Top trendline at 1390.00, but I don’t expect it to last.  The next support is the 200-day moving average at 1385.34.  Final support is at the Cycle Bottom channel line at 1351.90.  I don’t know how fast these support may be taken out.  It appears that the decline should be over in two weeks or less, since options expiration comes on December 21. 

Tuesday, December 04, 2012

Stock Market Pop and Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 popped at the open and hit its intraday high, up 0.53%, in the first two minutes of trading. The rest of the day was a slide, with occasional bumps to a closing loss of 0.47%. The opening selloff accelerated at 10 AM with the release of the November ISM Manufacturing report, which registered a 2.2 percent drop into contraction territory for the headline index. Of course, the financial press mentions the ongoing “Cliff” anxieties, which were brought to the forefront by a GOP letter to the White House rejecting the president’s Cliff fix and countering with a no-tax-increase rejoinder.

Tuesday, December 04, 2012

ISM Stock Market Knockout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had a nice bid underneath it this morning pre-market. S&P 500 futures were up nearly seven points with the Nasdaq up double digits. The S&P 500 had a double top of horizontal resistance at 1434/1435. It looked as if the S&P 500 was going up to test as it waited for the ISM Manufacturing Report to come out. Thirty minutes into the trading day we got the number. Anything above 50.0 shows economic expansion, while anything below 50.0 shows contraction. The market was expecting a number a bit over 50.0. It was nothing to get excited about or celebrate, but a number over 50.0 nonetheless. The market wanted to see economic growth, no matter how slight it was. 49.5 was the number that came in. Not good.

Monday, December 03, 2012

Stock Market SP500 at a CRUCIAL Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: David_Banister

We had an interesting 131 point SP 500 decline from the summer-fall highs of 1474 to the recent 1344 lows. Interesting because in the work that I do, we focus on crowd behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave Theory. There is no one technical analysis methodology that works all the time, so it’s important to incorporate other elements into your work to help with some clues. Let’s examine the crossroad we are at right now around 1420 on the SP 500 and why the next move may be a “tell” as they say in poker.