Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 24, 2013
Timing the Silver Price Final Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
We would like to start with a question from one of our subscribers today, as we believe that it is a good way to show the distinction between tools that help you spot what direction the market is about to move and those that are better suited to time the exact reversal point, which is – in current circumstances – the final bottom in gold, silver and the whole precious metals sector.
Q: (…) One thing that I do is to look for price divergence with RSI and MACD and that is evident in the charts. Price has hit a lower low and RSI and MACD have hit a higher high/low. To me that indicates a possible good time to buy GDX, GDXJ and mining stocks. This is a volatile time so it would be difficult to hold through this period. (…) Also $BPGDM is at zero and can't go any lower. (…)
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Friday, May 24, 2013
Gold Price Trying to Build Base / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
The GOLD PRICE fell $10 per ounce after reaching almost $1400 for the 5th time this week in London trade Friday morning.
Silver held tight around $22.50 per ounce, managing only one-third of gold's 2.0% gain for the week.
After yesterday's 7% plunge Japan's stock market bounced, but other Asian equities fell, as did European stocks.
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Friday, May 24, 2013
Silver Mining, Sentiment and the Confidence Game / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
In terms of silver’s investment demand, the bullish metric at Sentimenttrader.com is currently at 39 percent. This is a low point that has not been seen since the mid-1990's.
Furthermore, The Hulbert Gold Stock Newsletter Index or HGNSI recently fell to a new low of 43.8 percent, which is a record by a longshot. What that low reading indicates is that, of the stock newsletters that include coverage of mining stocks, 43.8 percent of them are now recommending short positions in gold stocks.
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Friday, May 24, 2013
Platinum and Palladium: A Fundamental Shift / Commodities / Platinum
By: Jeff_Clark
Platinum is a precious metal, as is palladium, though to a lesser degree. However, like silver, both are also industrial metals. Unlike silver, it's their industrial use that is the primary price driver for both platinum and palladium – and that use is undergoing a fundamental shift.
The largest source of demand for platinum and palladium is the automotive industry, for use in autocatalysts. In turn, the fortunes of the auto industry are sensitive to the health of the world's major economies. We've been bearish on platinum-group metals for years, primarily because we weren't convinced a healthy – much less roaring – world economy could be sustained when so many governments continue spending beyond their means.
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Friday, May 24, 2013
Robert Prechter's Big 5 Gold Warnings for Bulls and Bears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: EWI
Dear Trader,
Volatile price action is a surprise to most investors most of the time.
That's definitely true of precious metals in the past 30 days. But, the real story is far bigger than just one month. In fact, gold and silver have seen declines of more than 30% and 50%, respectively, since 2011. Now that's news!
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Thursday, May 23, 2013
Gold Bugs Army - Dollar Indices Pricing Research Rubbish? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Investors rely on indices to help understand how a market is moving, and perhaps even how it might move in the future. Technical analysis of a market, for example, is only possible due to market indices. How else would we assess what might be happening in a market? If an index is not properly constructed, that whole effort may prove fruitless.
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Gold Bullion Rallies Despite "Losing US Fed Prop" as Stock Markets Sink / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
BOTH gold and silver rose in Asian and London trade Thursday morning, defying a sharp slide in global stock markets to gain 3.0% rally from yesterday's sharp sell-off.
Commodity prices fell as major government bonds rose but weaker Eurozone debt slipped, pushing interest rates higher.
Tokyo's Nikkei index – up by 85% from November – dumped more than 7% after new data showed a surprise contraction in China's manufacturing sector.
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Thursday, May 23, 2013
Gold Rallies as Stock Markets Crash, Nikkei Falls 7.3% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,386.00, EUR 1,074.92 and GBP 919.16 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,385.25, EUR 1,071.43 and GBP 917.75 per ounce.
Gold fell $10.20 or 0.74% yesterday to $1,367.60/oz and silver finished up 0.07%.
Gold is up today while stock indices globally are sharply down after the Nikkei crashed 7.3%. The stock crash in Japan is leading to weakness in European equities and will lead to losses when U.S. markets open.
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Thursday, May 23, 2013
Are Gold Prices Near a Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Money_Morning
Diane Alter writes: It's been a tumultuous couple of months for the yellow metal, which has investors asking: Are gold prices near a bottom?
There's hope this price plunge is ending.
Year-to-date, gold is lower by 17%. But after seven trading sessions where gold prices slumped, on Monday June gold futures gained 1.4%, or $19.40, to $1,384.10. Contract prices bounced as much as 2.4% after sliding 2.1%.
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Thursday, May 23, 2013
Unveiling the Gold Market’s Working Parts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Jan_Skoyles
Why this happened is something which is open to much analysis and theorising. For the mainstream media it was down to an improving global economy and the need to hold gold no longer existed, for those in the world of gold investment this was perhaps down to more of the politics behind the gold-market than the economics.
On April 12th 3.4 million ounces (100 tonnes) of gold was sold in the US futures markets. This was just for starters, the main, side and dessert appeared over the following hours and the next session on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (COMEX).
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Thursday, May 23, 2013
Silver Price Plunge Looks Set to Continue to $18.00 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Bob_Kirtley
As far as we can ascertain the demand for physical silver is alive and well with reports of people queuing to buy it while a number of suppliers, including the mints have been selling all that they could produce of the popular coins and bars. And yet the price of silver falls in the paper market which highlights the disparity between the physical and paper markets.
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Bullish on Silver, Gold and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: The_Gold_Report
Sprott Silver Equities Class Co-Manager Maria Smirnova understands the power of leverage. She has seen the big impact even a slight increase in the silver price can have on silver producers. Every cent is multiplied and goes right to the investor's bottom line, giving the equities more upside than possible in a coin. That is why Eric Sprott increased holdings of silver equities in certain Sprott funds. Smirnova discusses five of these companies in this interview with The Gold Report.
The Gold Report: Maria, in April Eric Sprott sold more than $45 million ($45M) worth of units in the Sprott Silver Physical Trust. A spokesperson told Canada'sGlobe and Mail that the sale was needed to cover charitable obligations and to buy shares in silver mining companies because Mr. Sprott believes silver equities will outperform the metal in the next rally. Can you fill in the details on that thesis?
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Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Asian Gold Premiums Hit New Highs as Europe Urged to Start "Agressive QE" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
BULLION prices rose throughout Asian and early London trade on Wednesday morning, touching $1398 per ounce for the third time this week and recovering 4.4% from Monday's one-month low.
Silver rose more steadily, and was capped below $22.80 as energy prices slipped and agricultural commodities held flat.
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Wednesday, May 22, 2013
The Macro Economic Story as Told by Gold, Copper and Oil / Commodities / Global Economy
By: EconMatters
Gold’s been on a wild ride. After reaching a peak of $1,920 an ounce in September 2011, gold has tumbled 28% to the current ~$1,380 level forcing John Paulson to take a 47% loss in his gold fund during the first four months of this year, according to Bloomberg.
Unlike Paulson who maintained his positions in gold, other big players like George Soros and BlackRock cut their gold ETF holdings, while Goldman Sachs issued a sell recommendation on gold right before the yellow metal plunged 13% through April 15, the biggest drop in three decades. And by looking at the futures curve (chart below), market does not seem to expect gold to come back roaring any time soon.
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Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Crude Oil Price Manipulation Awakens Libor, Enron Ghosts / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: Last July, we warned you that oil prices could potentially be manipulated in similar fashion to the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor), and now a recent raid of major oil companies highlights this growing danger to the $3.4 trillion-a-year crude market.
The European Commission last week stormed the offices of Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE ADR: RDS.A, RDS.B), BP PLC ( NYSE ADR: BP), and Statoil ASA (NYSE ADR: STO) as part of the ongoing investigation to find out whether companies are manipulating oil prices and, if so, how long it has been going on and the possible ramifications.
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Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Why Crude Oil Is the New "Gold Standard" / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Something very interesting just happened at the 2013 MoneyShow in Las Vegas.
The purveyors of doom and gloom were all still hawking their services there. But the primary solution they offer - a cure-all elixir for everything that ails markets - was beginning to wear thin.
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Wednesday, May 22, 2013
First-Quarter Demand for Gold Jumps 19% in China, 27% in India / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: This doesn’t make it easy to understand for investors who bought gold stocks and have now seen them go down in price…
But while the prices of gold stocks have pulled back significantly this year, demand for physical gold bullion has gone through the proverbial roof.
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Gold, Silver Prices and Mining Stocks Powerful Reversal Off Multiyear Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Jeb_Handwerger
I wrote nearly a month ago that "The Worse Things Were For The Mining Sector, The Better They Will Get". This was after the first downward plunge in gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) in April due to the Goldman short.
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Mining Deep for Gold: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
In my February 15, 2013, Mining Deep for Gold, I concluded by writing “I suspect far greater losses are in store for gold before a bottom is seen.” Since that commentary gold has lost another $250/oz. The question in the minds of many today must be ‘when will this decline end?’
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Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Gold Stocks Investors Its Time To Be BRAVE! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
By: David_Banister
I used to half joke with some of my investing friends that the best time to buy stocks is during or right after a crash. Think 1987, 2000-2002, 2008-09, and now perhaps Gold Miners?? Well, before we get too far ahead of ourselves, lets examine evidence of a “Crash”: I like to use crowd behavioral, empirical, and technical evidence in combination.