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Stock Market Strong as a Bull, or Overbought?

Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading May 07, 2009 - 06:21 AM GMT

By: Marty_Chenard

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you look back 22 months, to July 2007, there have been 4 occasions where the 30 day Relative Strength has been 58 or higher.

Those occasions are on the chart below.


Start at the left and observe the first three occasions where I drew the vertical white lines with arrows.

What do you notice?

If you say that the market peaked at each of those occasions, you would be correct.

So now, it is May 7th. and yesterday, the RSI closed at 60, the same level as July 2007. The NYA (New York Stock Exchange Index) has been charging up as if on steroids during the past few days. But still, it is now at an overbought level where market peaks were found in the past few years. That sounds more like caution is the prudent thing right now. Overbought conditions can often last longer than some investors expect, but one thing is clear ... risks levels are now elevated.

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By Marty Chenard
http://www.stocktiming.com/

Please Note: We do not issue Buy or Sell timing recommendations on these Free daily update pages . I hope you understand, that in fairness, our Buy/Sell recommendations and advanced market Models are only available to our paid subscribers on a password required basis. Membership information

Marty Chenard is the Author and Teacher of two Seminar Courses on "Advanced Technical Analysis Investing", Mr. Chenard has been investing for over 30 years. In 2001 when the NASDAQ dropped 24.5%, his personal investment performance for the year was a gain of 57.428%. He is an Advanced Stock Market Technical Analyst that has developed his own proprietary analytical tools.  As a result, he was out of the market two weeks before the 1987 Crash in the most recent Bear Market he faxed his Members in March 2000 telling them all to SELL.  He is an advanced technical analyst and not an investment advisor, nor a securities broker.

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