The oil and gas sector finally is on the move, perhaps in reaction to the decline of the dollar (commodity relationship). Since last Friday, the Proshares UltraLong Oil & Gas Sector ETF (NYSE: DIG) climbed from 34.00 to 36.32, or +6.8%. More importantly, the rally off of the October 2 low at 29.13 also broke above a ONE YEAR RESISTANCE plateau at the 34.00 level as well, which has measured upside potential targets of 44.50 and 51.00.

So why don't I just fly into a new long position now? Largely because the DIG is up 24% in 8 trading sessions, and exhibits a near term upleg pattern that is at or very close to completion prior to a pullback. Could the DIG continue higher to test the top of its July-Oct. channel at in the vicinity of 37.00? Definitely yes, but that represents another 2% on the upside juxtaposed against risk of a retracement back into the 34.00-33.00 area, or -5% to -8%. No thanks. I will take my chances and sit out a bit longer, looking for a revisit to the upside breakout area in the upcoming hours or days prior to entering a new long position. MJP 10/14/09 12:10 PM ET (36.10

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

© 2002-2009 MPTrader.com, an AdviceTrade publication. All rights reserved. Any publication, distribution, retransmission or reproduction of information or data contained on this Web site without written consent from MPTrader is prohibited. See our disclaimer.

Mike Paulenoff Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.