My near- and intermediate-term work in the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index (NYSE: FXP) argues that this week’s low at 8.21, which incidentally created a big positive momentum divergence compared with the Sep 17 low at 8.44, ended the downleg off of the Oct 2 high at 10.69. If my work is correct, then today’s up-gap open, followed by strong continuation, inaugurated a powerful new recovery rally period that projects initially towards a test of the prior rally peak at 9.05. Only a decline that breaks 8.38 will begin to compromise my current outlook.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of

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