Based on the intraday pattern, the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) looks like it ended the recovery rally off of Friday's low (152.84) at this afternoon's high of 154.72 and has turned down. The extent and form of this pullback should reveal to us if the SPY started a new upleg at Friday's low or merely ended the first part of a larger corrective process.

If the former scenario unfolds, then the SPY should hold in the vicinity of 153.50. If the second, then we should expect a test and likely violation of Friday's low at 152.84, on the way to 152.00, if not lower.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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