Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
S&P 500 – Is a 5% Correction Enough? - 6th Dec 21
Global Stock Markets It’s Do-Or-Die Time - 6th Dec 21
Hawks Triumph, Doves Lose, Gold Bulls Cry! - 6th Dec 21
How Stock Investors Can Cash in on President Biden’s new Climate Plan - 6th Dec 21
The Lithium Tech That Could Send The EV Boom Into Overdrive - 6th Dec 21
How Stagflation Effects Stocks - 5th Dec 21
Bitcoin FLASH CRASH! Cryptos Blood Bath as Exchanges Run Stops, An Early Christmas Present for Some? - 5th Dec 21
TESCO Pre Omicron Panic Christmas Decorations Festive Shop 2021 - 5th Dec 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 - 4th Dec 21
INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space - 4th Dec 21
Don’t Get Yourself Into a Bull Trap With Gold - 4th Dec 21
4 Tips To Help You Take Better Care Of Your Personal Finances- 4th Dec 21
What Is A Golden Cross Pattern In Trading? - 4th Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - Part 2 - 3rd Dec 21
Stock Market Major Turning Point Taking Place - 3rd Dec 21
The Masters of the Universe and Gold - 3rd Dec 21
This simple Stock Market mindset shift could help you make millions - 3rd Dec 21
Will the Glasgow Summit (COP26) Affect Energy Prices? - 3rd Dec 21
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock - 1st Dec 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I Fear For Retirees For The Next 20 Years - 1st Dec 21 t
Will the Anointed Finanical Experts Get It Wrong Again? - 1st Dec 21
Main Differences Between the UK and Canadian Gaming Markets - 1st Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - 30th Nov 21
Omicron Covid Wave 4 Impact on Financial Markets - 30th Nov 21
Can You Hear It? That’s the Crowd Booing Gold’s Downturn - 30th Nov 21
Economic and Market Impacts of Omicron Strain Covid 4th Wave - 30th Nov 21
Stock Market Historical Trends Suggest A Strengthening Bullish Trend In December - 30th Nov 21
Crypto Market Analysis: What Trading Will Look Like in 2022 for Novice and Veteran Traders? - 30th Nov 21
Best Stocks for Investing to Profit form the Metaverse and Get Rich - 29th Nov 21
Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? - 29th Nov 21
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Global Yuan Is A Threat To U.S. Dollar But Good For Gold!

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010 Sep 10, 2010 - 03:05 PM GMT

By: Julian_DW_Phillips


We have written many times about the need for the Yuan to be a global currency and eventually a global reserve currency [one of several]. We have talked of how it had to develop its banking system before it could take such a journey. We highlighted the experiments that the Chinese were making first in Hong Kong then in Guanchow in using the Yuan in international dealings. More importantly we highlighted the consequences to other world currencies, in particular the U.S. Dollar, of the Yuan becoming a well used international trade currency. The day is now here when the Chinese are starting to propel the Yuan onto the international scene

These consequences of its arrival will come over time, but they could come overnight. One consequence is becoming even clearer, as we forecast, that the exchange rate of the Yuan will not rise much on foreign exchanges. Another is central banks will insure against currency crises in the future by holding gold.

We discussed just how Chinese exporters and importers could turn from a U.S. Dollar price to a Yuan price, thus emasculating the U.S. Dollar as quickly as it takes for banks and international traders to price their goods in the Yuan. If they act too quickly, the consequences could be chaotic for global foreign exchanges. If handled carefully the Dollar's international use will simply fade, producing major internal problems as these Dollars come home.

A number of the world's biggest banks have launched international road shows promoting the use of the Yuan to corporate customers instead of the Dollar for trade deals with China. HSBC and Standard Chartered are offering discounted transaction fees and other financial incentives to companies that choose to settle trade in the Yuan. Both banks are now capable of doing Yuan settlement in many parts of the world. All the other major international banks [such as Citigroup and JPMorgan] are rushing to join the fray with their own road shows. Beijing wants this to happen now. Chinese central bank officials are backing the banks in their efforts. Next year and beyond should see the Yuan standing next to the Euro and the U.S. Dollar on foreign exchanges.

Cross-border trade in Yuan totaled Yuan70.6 billion [$10 billion] in the first half of the year, 20 times the Yuan3.6 billion recorded in the second half of 2009. The eventual potential of global Yuan settled trades is 40 times this new level at $2,800 billion worth of goods and services settled in the U.S. Dollar and the Euro.

What will a Global Yuan lead to?

The development of the Yuan market will be rapid and very dramatic. Before we begin to discuss the consequences of this change to global trade let's reflect on some salient facts.

  • For every Yuan transaction in Chinese trade, there will be one less U.S. Dollar or Euro trade.
  • As with the U.S. Dollar international market, there will develop an offshore Yuan market. [MacDonald's (burger) has already achieved a Yuan raising offering]
  • The Yuan will be capable of being used between among countries outside China in trade between themselves.
  • Capital markets will always favor currencies that are based on a strong growing economy.
  • Once international, the Yuan will take its place in central bank reserves.

Those are the facts, but what are the consequences for the global economy, the U.S. Dollar in international trade, Capital markets and as the globe's sole reserve currency, the gold market and for the price of gold?

Gold Forecaster regularly covers all fundamental and Technical aspects of the gold price in the weekly newsletter. To subscribe, please visit

By Julian D. W. Phillips
Gold-Authentic Money

Copyright 2009 Authentic Money. All Rights Reserved.
Julian Phillips - was receiving his qualifications to join the London Stock Exchange. He was already deeply immersed in the currency turmoil engulfing world in 1970 and the Institutional Gold Markets, and writing for magazines such as "Accountancy" and the "International Currency Review" He still writes for the ICR.

What is Gold-Authentic Money all about ? Our business is GOLD! Whether it be trends, charts, reports or other factors that have bearing on the price of gold, our aim is to enable you to understand and profit from the Gold Market.

Disclaimer - This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D. W. Phillips, have based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D. W. Phillips make no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Gold-Authentic Money / Julian D. W. Phillips only and are subject to change without notice.

Julian DW Phillips Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in