Following an earlier medium term bear signal in the EUR/GBP cross the next stage in downward development has been reluctant to get underway. While bears’ hopes are not yet threatened, shorter term focus has turned to certain overhead resistance levels.

The FX Specialist view

WEEKLY CHART

We have been bearish of this chart, since prior break of support, but so far the cross has been reluctant to push lower and, initially, challenge the 76.4% support area again.

An initial bull sign would come from a breach of falling resistance around 0.8770 currently. But also keep in mind a higher bear channel top projection which is a potential barrier on the upside.

DAILY CHART:

Resistance around the 0.8650 area has now been overcome, with earlier bears now sidelined.

Beyond the 61.8% retracement area is the more key 76.4% 0.8785, which lies close to resistance from the Weekly chart. The bull argument would strengthen on a clear break of this.

Meanwhile, bears’ confidence will not be restored until a drop back, below the 0.8353 15-Feb low, can be seen.

Mark Sturdy
John Lewis

Seven Days Ahead
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Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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