Stock Market, Is it Time to be Concerned?
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011 Jul 27, 2011 - 11:38 AM GMTLast week, we posted an analysis of the NYSE's daily New Highs. Let's continue that exploration from a different angle so we can see the long term and short term picture of the story it is trying to tell.
For starters, we had made these comments about important levels to watch last week:
- A minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally.
- 150 is a stronger level that you want to see.
- Below 50 ... start to be concerned.
- Below 25 is very unhealthy and a dangerous market condition.
At what level were the New Highs yesterday? They came in at 41 ... so you should be concerned.
Just scan this chart for a moment ... you don't have to be a technician to understand it. Note how the market performed when the New Highs were below 100, below 50, and then below 25.
As you can see, below 50 is NOT a good place to be unless the New Highs are starting to trend up higher ... and then, below 25 is can wipe out your savings.
Congress is busy fighting, excessive debt is a concern for foreign countries and the U.S., and the 30 year Bond Yield is approaching a critical resistance that will test its 15 year down trend.
If you are still acting bullish, or clinging to optimistic ideas that is good ... however, please give some consideration of the story that the NYSE's New Lows are trying to tell right now ... be concerned until the market shows you better proof about safety levels.
By Marty Chenard
http://www.stocktiming.com/
Please Note: We do not issue Buy or Sell timing recommendations on these Free daily update pages . I hope you understand, that in fairness, our Buy/Sell recommendations and advanced market Models are only available to our paid subscribers on a password required basis. Membership information
Marty Chenard is the Author and Teacher of two Seminar Courses on "Advanced Technical Analysis Investing", Mr. Chenard has been investing for over 30 years. In 2001 when the NASDAQ dropped 24.5%, his personal investment performance for the year was a gain of 57.428%. He is an Advanced Stock Market Technical Analyst that has developed his own proprietary analytical tools. As a result, he was out of the market two weeks before the 1987 Crash in the most recent Bear Market he faxed his Members in March 2000 telling them all to SELL. He is an advanced technical analyst and not an investment advisor, nor a securities broker.
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