Stock Market MAP Analysis - Russell Update 30 April
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012 Apr 30, 2012 - 09:24 AM GMTFollowing last weeks update I feel that it is important that some parameters are explained to avoid comment updates which are behind the price movement. As a result I have changed the format slightly with the addition of expected movement limits on various time scales, and will update my big pictures to include these. I also feel that users should have a better understanding of the parameters and as such last week published an explanation of MAP wave basics http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article34332.html , and will be adding more detail over the coming weeks. Part 2 is in final edit and hopefully will be ready by the end of the week. To get updates of my analysis please just click follow on my blog.
The MAP Wave counts are as shown on the charts.
I am expecting a final top later this year to complete a valid MAP Wave count later this year in the area shown of the gold circle. That would complete a valid MAP Wave count from the 1980's lows.
The weekly chart below shows the MAP Wave detail off the October 2011 bottom.
A clear 5 wave pattern can be seen from D2 to D3 (purple pivots). The 10 April low is at least a 4H pivot, but also a possible alternate cycle D4. I am expecting a retest of the recent high at the dashed blue line labeled "Limit of 4H-2 or 4H1". A clear break of that high would confirm that last weeks low is D4. I also show the purple circle as the ideal wave D4 target as well as extreme wave D4 target. You can see todays high has pierced the MLU and so it is possible that this is the retest as 4H-2, however when we look into the daily scale below that it is more likely to be H3/4H-2. Either way it is expected that there will be a down move from here for a day or two.
If we look at more detail we can apply the same principles to provide trading parameters and targets for the hourly pivot scale.
So it looks highly probable that we shall start with a down turn and make pivot H4 by the end of the week.
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