Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Stock Market SEASONAL TREND and ELECTION CYCLE - 24th Nov 20
Amazon Black Friday - Karcher K7 FC Pressure Washer Assembly and 1st Use - Is it Any Good? - 24th Nov 20
I Dislike Shallow People And Shallow Market Pullbacks - 24th Nov 20
Small Traders vs. Large Traders vs. Commercials: Who Is Right Most Often? - 24th Nov 20
10 Reasons You Should Trade With a Regulated Broker In UK - 24th Nov 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis - 23rd Nov 20
Evolution of the Fed - 23rd Nov 20
Gold and Silver Now and Then - A Comparison - 23rd Nov 20
Nasdaq NQ Has Stalled Above a 1.382 Fibonacci Expansion Range Three Times - 23rd Nov 20
Learn How To Trade Forex Successfully - 23rd Nov 20
Market 2020 vs 2016 and 2012 - 22nd Nov 20
Gold & Silver - Adapting Dynamic Learning Shows Possible Upside Price Rally - 22nd Nov 20
Stock Market Short-term Correction - 22nd Nov 20
Stock Market SPY/SPX Island Setups Warn Of A Potential Reversal In This Uptrend - 21st Nov 20
Why Budgies Make Great Pets for Kids - 21st Nov 20
How To Find The Best Dry Dog Food For Your Furry Best Friend?  - 21st Nov 20
The Key to a Successful LGBT Relationship is Matching by Preferences - 21st Nov 20
Stock Market Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - 20th Nov 20
Margin: How Stock Market Investors Are "Reaching for the Stars" - 20th Nov 20
World’s Largest Free-Trade Pact Inspiration for Global Economic Recovery - 20th Nov 20
Dating Sites Break all the Stereotypes About Distance - 20th Nov 20
THE STOCK MARKET BIG PICTURE - Video - 19th Nov 20
Reasons why Bitcoin is Treading at it's Highest Level Since 2017 and a Warning - 19th Nov 20
Media Celebrates after Trump’s Pro-Gold Fed Nominee Gets Blocked - 19th Nov 20
DJIA Short-term Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis - 19th Nov 20
Demoncracy Ushers in the Flu World Order How to Survive and Profit From What Is Coming - 19th Nov 20
US Bond Market: "When Investors Should Worry" - 18th Nov 20
Gold Remains the Best Pandemic Insurance - 18th Nov 20
GPU Fan Not Spinning FIX - How to Easily Extend the Life of Your Gaming PC System - 18th Nov 20
Dow Jones E-Mini Futures Tag 30k Twice – Setting Up Stock Market Double Top - 18th Nov 20
Edge Computing Is Leading the Next Great Tech Revolution - 18th Nov 20
This Chart Signals When Gold Stocks Will Explode - 17th Nov 20
Gold Price Momentous ally From 2000 Compared To SPY Stock Market and Nasdaq - 17th Nov 20
Creating Marketing Campaigns Using the Freedom of Information Act - 17th Nov 20
ILLEGITIMATE PRESIDENT - 17th Nov 20
Stock Market Uptrend in Process - 17th Nov 20
How My Friend Made $128,000 Investing in Stocks Without Knowing It - 16th Nov 20
Free-spending Biden and/or continued Fed stimulus will hike Gold prices - 16th Nov 20
Top Cheap Budgie Toys - Every Budgie Owner Should Have These Safe Bird Toys! - 16th Nov 20
Line Up For Your Jab to get your Covaids Freedom Pass and a 5% Work From Home Tax - 16th Nov 20
You May Have Overlooked These “Sleeper” Precious Metals - 16th Nov 20
Demystifying interesting facts about online Casinos - 16th Nov 20
What's Ahead for the Gold Market? - 15th Nov 20
Gold’s Momentous Rally From 2000 Compared To Stock Market SPY & QQQ - 15th Nov 20
Overclockers UK Quality of Custom Gaming System Build - OEM Windows Sticker? - 15th Nov 20
UK GCSE Exams 2021 CANCELLED! Grades Based on Mock Exams and Teacher Assessments - 15th Nov 20
Global "Debt Mountain": Beware of This "New Peak" - 13th Nov 20
Overclocking Zen 3 Ryzen 5600x, 5800x, 5900x and 5950x to 4.7ghz All Cores Cinebench R20 Scores - 13th Nov 20
Is Silver Leading Bitcoin or is Bitcoin Leading Silver? - 13th Nov 20
How Elliott Waves Simplify Your Technical Analysis - 13th Nov 20
How to buy Bitcoins using debit/credit card? - 13th Nov 20
Will COVID Vaccine Kill Gold and Silver? - 12th Nov 20
Access to Critical Market Reports - 12th Nov 20
Stock Market Dow Futures Reach 30,000 on News of COVID-19 Vaccine Trials Success - 12th Nov 20
8 Terms & Conditions You Must Know Before Asking For Life Insurance Policy Quotes - 12th Nov 20
Gold Stocks Post 2020 US Election Outlook - 11th Nov 20
Champions’ League Group Stage Draw: All You Need To Know - 11th Nov 20
Stock Market Secular Trend - 11th Nov 20
Stock Market Correction Curtailed by US Election - 11th Nov 20
What Causes a Financial Bubble? - 11th Nov 20
Ryzen 9 5900X RTX 3080 - Scan.co.uk vs Overclockers.co.uk UK Custom PC System Builder Review - 10th Nov 20
Killing Driveway Weeds FAST with a Pressure Washer - Saving Block Paving from LOTS of WEEDs - 10th Nov 20
Trump Fired, Biden Hired, What Next?  - 10th Nov 20
Looking for a Personal Loan? Here Is What You Have To Know  - 10th Nov 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

France Advanced Tech And Retarded Diplomacy

Politics / France Mar 23, 2014 - 10:51 AM GMT

By: Andrew_McKillop

Politics

Sell Russia Weapons – Then Apply Sanctions

France's sale to Russia of two high tech Mistral-class military ships, described as helicopter assault, electronic warfare support, and local area missile capable “invasion platform” fighting ships, for a total of about 1.4 billion euros enabling more than one thousand jobs at French shipyards in a region of high unemployment, has become collateral damage in Europe's sanctions war against Putin. Russian military and diplomatic officials are openly mocking European sanctions imposed on them over Crimea. They point out that the Mistral-class ship sales were officially hailed, previously by the French, as a signal for the complete and final end to the Cold War.


A Russian military specialist cited by 'New York Times' and other US media claimed that if Russia had possessed these ships in 2008, the Russian military invasion of northern Georgia and total defeat of Georgia's ragtag armed forces “would have taken 40 minutes not 40 hours”.

The first carrier, "Vladivostok," has this week finished its sea trials and is berthed at the north western French port of Saint-Nazaire. Russian crew-members are already being trained by French specialists, according to Russia's Itar-Tass agency.

French officials have tried to ignore the problem and do not want to talk about the carriers. Earlier this month, François Hollande himself told a news conference: "We keep to the terms of the signed contracts. Right now we have no plans to cancel them and we hope to avoid this", but by week ending 21 March, in a televised interview carried by BFM TV, Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius was forced to adopt a grave tone saying "If Vladimir Putin carries on like this, we could consider canceling these sales". He hastily added that any such freeze on construction of the second fighting ship – ironically called the 'Sebastopol' – would only happen if there is what he termed “a third round of European sanctions against Moscow”.

The Return of Seapower

One sure and certain strategic military reason why Russia intends hanging on to its Crimean naval bases is that naval power, after a major decline during the Cold War, is returning to prominence for war analysts and Think Tank strategists.  One former French military official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told the US 'Wall Street Journal', this week, that the credibility of Western foreign policy is destroyed or at least heavily compromised by the proliferation of high-tech naval weapons “platforms” for onshore strike capability. He said: “How can anyone treat France with respect if we talk tough and then deliver advanced-technology weapons to Russia?"

Newswires such as Reuters regularly reported in 2010-2011 that French-Russian negotiation and finalization of the Mistral-class fighting ships sale hinged on whether Russia will get full and total access to the technology used in the French ships. This advanced maritime offensive technology includes software programming for “fire and forget” invasion and overthrow of local defensive military forces in the straight majority of potential target nations. This week, Anatoly Isaikin, the head of Russia's arms monopoly, assured Reuters that Russia would indeed be buying fully equipped vessels. Including both the hardware and the software.

Among the “new tech and tactics” embarked with Mistral-class fighting ships, the concept of very rapid, and massive military invasion and overthrow of local armed forces is dominant. Typical penetration and overthrow areas swept by first-strike capability are typically up to 100 kilometres from the point of landing. Missile and helicopter launch support for sweeping a larger area behind the point of landing is critical to the concept.

The US Strategic Studies Institute, an arm of the US Army War College, in 2011 issued a report on Russia's 2008 war with Georgia, which noted that Russia frequently inserted elite special-forces commandos in black uniforms without identifying symbols behind Georgian lines, to conduct subversion and espionage. The same tactics were used in Crimea, this month.

The SSI report also concluded that Russia's experience in Georgia "highlighted the need for improvements in the area of amphibious landing platforms”. The limitations in this capability exposed by the Georgia war were certainly part of the reason for Russia's decision to buy ready made invasion platform Mistral-class ships from France, which according to their published design specifications are each capable of transporting and deploying 16 helicopters, 70 armored vehicles, and up to 450 personnel, as well as all needed command, control, communications and subversion capabilities in the target area.

Go Anywhere

The US SSI 2011 report on the Georgia war concludes that "Russian ship-based attack helicopters are particularly important for naval reach and punch. Vladimir Putin has made no secret that he would deploy the Mistral-class ships wherever he wants”

The claimed dangers of the French commercial strategy “weakening Western military strategy” were summarized by the US SSI as Europe “acquiescing” in the face of the Russia's economic and military power projection. With no surprise, the US war strategists warned that what Russia does today, China will do tomorrow, and India the day after.

Western military strategists continue their claims by affirming that the West must act decisively if it hopes to deter future aggression by non-Western powers, including China, notably, which has made territorial claims to disputed islands in the South China Sea and has sometimes used, and will likely continue using military force to back up the claims. The former U.S. ambassador to the UN, John Bolton was quoted by 'Wall Street Journal', this week saying: "You can bet [Chinese officials] are watching the West's response to Crimea" also hinting that Tehran has understood the sea change in global power relations and is working toward a nuclear bomb.

What will such countries conclude if the West fails not only to effectively sanction Russia, but allows France to deliver sophisticated helicopter carriers that can ferry elite commando forces to the next target of Russia's choosing?  For hardliners seeking confrontation with Putin there is only one answer. Military sales to Purin's Russia are appeasement which contrary to received wisdom “Was not buried in the ashes of the 1938 Munich Agreement”, but is alive and well in the 21st century.

By Andrew McKillop

Contact: xtran9@gmail.com

Former chief policy analyst, Division A Policy, DG XVII Energy, European Commission. Andrew McKillop Biographic Highlights

Co-author 'The Doomsday Machine', Palgrave Macmillan USA, 2012

Andrew McKillop has more than 30 years experience in the energy, economic and finance domains. Trained at London UK’s University College, he has had specially long experience of energy policy, project administration and the development and financing of alternate energy. This included his role of in-house Expert on Policy and Programming at the DG XVII-Energy of the European Commission, Director of Information of the OAPEC technology transfer subsidiary, AREC and researcher for UN agencies including the ILO.

© 2014 Copyright Andrew McKillop - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisor.

Andrew McKillop Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules