Morning traders! I hope that you had a great and relaxing weekend as markets can be very interesting in this week after strong sell-off on US stocks on Friday, after the US jobs report. We see markets in risk-off mode, but interesting that, despite a strong move down on stocks USD did not move much to the upside. We have seen a strong upward reaction on US Notes and German Bund market while stocks were falling which was ideal for lower {{3|USD/JPY}} and Yen crosses.

Market Correlation 30min

Now the question that is probably going through your head right now is “if this risk-off will stay here or no?” Well I believe in the technical picture of the market swings. So if we take a look on the S&P then we can see five waves to the downside from 1892 down to Mar 30 gap. Decline is impulsive, thus it’s part of ongoing weakness, so we will be looking for more weakness after any short-term three wave rally. This three wave rally may occur soon if we respect gap levels that usual react as reversal zone.

E-mini S&P500 1h

So if we respect the bearish picture of the S&P then we may also consider a bearish continuation on {{3|USD/JPY}} and even take advantage of intermarket analysis. A decline there has also unfolded in impulsive fashion, so we may consider shorts with our members in the next 24-48 trading hours.

Written by www.ew-forecast.com | Try our 7 Days Free Trial Here

Ew-forecast.com is providing advanced technical analysis for the financial markets (Forex, Gold, Oil & S&P) with method called Elliott Wave Principle. We help traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our view and bias as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power.

Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been in Forex market since 2003. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets; from candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful to traders.
He was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His featured articles have been published in: Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu. He mostly focuses on currencies, gold, oil, and some major US indices.

© 2014 Copyright Gregor Horvat - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.