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U.S. Dollar, Euro May be in a Reversal

Currencies / Euro Mar 12, 2015 - 02:51 PM GMT

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Currencies

The US dollar hit its Master Cycle high overnight, rising to 100.05 before dropping down to an early morning low of 98.65. The reversal is coming very late at day 254 in the current Master Cycle. This leads me to believe that there may be a strong down draft in USD over the next 3 weeks.

USD/JPY is retreating this morning. It is still at 120.94 after reaching a high of 122.02 on Monday. The Yen carry trade will likely start to unwind beneath USD/JPY 120.00.


XEU made an overnight low of 104.98 and has bounced back to 105.53. The reversal is to be taken seriously above the Cycle Bottom resistance, currently at 106.63. The two will meet at a lower number, so we will keep an eye on this development.

Following a similar Cycle pattern, Crude and Gold are both off their lows and may have completed their first reversal patterns.

TNX seems to be wasting no time in its decline, suggesting that a staggering amount of liquidity is finding refuge there.

Regards,

Tony

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As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

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