Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Junior Gold Mining Stocks Setting Up For Another Rally - 22nd Jan 20
Debt the Only 'Bubble' That Counts, Buy Gold and Silver! - 22nd Jan 20
AMAZON (AMZN) - Primary AI Tech Stock Investing 2020 and Beyond - Video - 21st Jan 20
What Do Fresh U.S. Economic Reports Imply for Gold? - 21st Jan 20
Corporate Earnings Setup Rally To Stock Market Peak - 21st Jan 20
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 - Part1 - 21st Jan 20
How to Write a Good Finance College Essay  - 21st Jan 20
Risks to Global Economy is Balanced: Stock Market upside limited short term - 20th Jan 20
How Digital Technology is Changing the Sports Betting Industry - 20th Jan 20
Is CEOs Reputation Management Essential? All You Must Know - 20th Jan 20
APPLE (AAPL) AI Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 20th Jan 20
FOMO or FOPA or Au? - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review - 20th Jan 20
Why Intel i7-4790k Devils Canyon CPU is STILL GOOD in 2020! - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust Review - 19th Jan 20
Gold Trade Usage & Price Effect - 19th Jan 20
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - Trend Analysis - Video - 19th Jan 20
Stock Trade-of-the-Week: Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) - 19th Jan 20
INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 18th Jan 20
Gold Stocks Wavering - 18th Jan 20
Best Amazon iPhone Case Fits 6s, 7, 8 by Toovren Review - 18th Jan 20
1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing 2020 - 17th Jan 20
ERY Energy Bear Continues Basing Setup – Breakout Expected Near January 24th - 17th Jan 20
What Expiring Stock and Commodity Market Bubbles Look Like - 17th Jan 20
Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally - What's Next Forecast - 17th Jan 20
Precious Metals Set to Keep Powering Ahead - 17th Jan 20
Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  - 16th Jan 20
Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market - 16th Jan 20
America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) - 16th Jan 20
Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator - 16th Jan 20
MICROSOFT Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 15th Jan 20
Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part II - 15th Jan 20
Silver Short-Term Pullback Before Acceleration Higher - 15th Jan 20
Gold Overall Outlook Is 'Strongly Bullish' - 15th Jan 20
AMD is Killing Intel - Best CPU's For 2020! Ryzen 3900x, 3950x, 3960x Budget, to High End Systems - 15th Jan 20
The Importance Of Keeping Invoices Up To Date - 15th Jan 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis 2020 - 14th Jan 20
Walmart Has Made a Genius Move to Beat Amazon - 14th Jan 20
Deep State 2020 – A Year Of Living Dangerously! - 14th Jan 20
The End of College Is Near - 14th Jan 20
AI Stocks Investing 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Video - 14th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust - 14th Jan 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review - 13th Jan 20
Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality - 13th Jan 20
Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I - 13th Jan 20
Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers - 13th Jan 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Move over ZIRP... Here Comes NIRP!

Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates Oct 12, 2015 - 06:24 PM GMT

By: MoneyMetals

Interest-Rates

Precious metals prices enter the new week looking to extend the rally that began Oct. 2nd. Silver has gained nearly 10%, and gold is up almost 3.5%. The notion that the Federal Reserve governors may have missed their window to raise interest rates is beginning to sink in with investors.

In fact, if the U.S. economy should fall into recession, investors may see central planners move from zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) to the launch of negative interest rates.


The minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting reveal Janet Yellen and company are looking to the socialists in Europe for ideas, and central bankers there have already experimented with negative interest rate policy (NIRP).

Bottom line: You should soon expect to start paying interest for the “privilege” of lending your savings to a bank!

This week, investors will be watching reports on inflation, retail sales, and industrial production. The prospect of recession continues to loom larger, despite a small rally in stock prices. For now, investors seem more focused on the delay in hiking interest rates than deteriorating fundamentals

Precious Metals: More Important Than Ever in Your Portfolio

Nobody is talking about it these days, but we still live in an inflationary age. Wall Street is fixated on the possibility of deflation as prices for crude oil fall and headline Consumer Price Index flat-lines. But the wheels of global inflation continue to turn.

Zero interest rates and bond purchasing programs have defined central bank policy for most of the last decade. Central bankers developed these extraordinary programs and sold them to the public as economic stimulus.

It is now clear just how little of that largesse made its way into the real economy. We now know the real purpose of those programs was to stimulate bank profits and boost equity markets.

Meanwhile, government debt and entitlement commitments have only grown larger. That epic problem was top of mind for investors when gold and silver spot prices peaked in 2011. Battles over the debt ceiling and inflation fears captured headlines.

Unfortunately for precious metals bulls, the central planners at the Fed and Wall Street managed to shift investor focus away from those topics.

Higher stock prices, heavily massaged economic data on employment and consumer prices, and hammering down of paper gold and silver prices all help to mask the fundamental problems that make metals so essential in modern portfolios.

These days, most investors seem unconcerned about the inflationary potential of the trillions of dollars created by the Federal Reserve to buy U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage securities. Many are outright “inflation deniers,” and few seem the least bit worried about what ZIRP or NIRP will ultimately do to the purchasing power of the dollar.

But rewarding borrowers and spenders while waging jihad against savers IS going to lead to serious ramifications. And all those extra dollars created in multiple rounds of QE are out there – in the stock markets, parked as excess bank reserves, and just about everywhere else but in the real economy.

Inflation and financial sector risks have not been vanquished. They are still there, and, in fact, they are still growing. They aren’t weighing heavily in investor psychology today, but change is already in the air.

Fear will factor prominently in investor decision making once again – perhaps soon.

The Federal Reserve is in no position to significantly raise interest rates. Congressional Republicans will soon reveal just how incapable they are of drawing a line in the sand on raising the federal debt ceiling even higher than the current $18.1 trillion cap.

And people are once again talking about the possibility of recession. Investors are starting to worry about exorbitant price to earnings (P/E) valuations, falling corporate profits, and a potential bond bubble. Some corporate and municipal bonds are priced as if the borrower was Apple when the financial statements look more like they belong to Enron.

Despite all of the disparaging talk about precious metals, there is always demand for an inflation hedge that offers privacy, diversification, and zero risk of going bankrupt. Look for investor demand to rise dramatically in the coming years in spite of the bias against gold from Wall Street.

Gold and silver may be down, but after thousands of years of history as a reliable store of value, but they are anything but out.

By Clint Siegner

MoneyMetals.com

Clint Siegner is a Director at Money Metals Exchange, perhaps the nation's fastest-growing dealer of low-premium precious metals coins, rounds, and bars. Siegner, a graduate of Linfield College in Oregon, puts his experience in business management along with his passion for personal liberty, limited government, and honest money into the development of Money Metals' brand and reach. This includes writing extensively on the bullion markets and their intersection with policy and world affairs.

© 2015 Clint Siegner - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules