Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally! - 22nd Dec 24
STOP LOSSES - 22nd Dec 24
Fed Tests Gold Price Upleg - 22nd Dec 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Why Do We Rely On News - 22nd Dec 24
Never Buy an IPO - 22nd Dec 24
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market, GDX Topping Again?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Dec 27, 2015 - 03:54 PM GMT

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Stock-Markets

Since it is still the Holiday Season, I am making this article brief. The SPX is at the 16 TD top 3 TD as of Christmas Eve. There is an 8 TD top due Dec 30 2 TD's with the moon in Leo/Virgo on the 29th. On the 29th, Mercury squares Mars, and again this will happen on the 5th of January (these are negative). Last time we had a top like this (moon in Leo/Virgo) was Dec 1/2. Christmas Eve was the 4/8 TD low, so we may see a pop up on Monday. It looks similar to the late July top right now, so it could go into Dec 30 and as high as 2092/95. The Put/Call ratios are also very similar to that time frame.


The next important low is the 20 week cycle from August 24, which last ran 115 TD's and can run 85 to 115 TD's. The astro moon cycles are set up for an important low around January 7th and again possibly in early February around the 4th. There is a Gann 16 TD low due on January 7th with a TLC low due also on that date. A Bradley turn is due December 25th (with a full moon) and again on January 6th, with Jupiter going stationary/retrograde on the 7th. Uranus went direct on December 25th.

An important clue whether or not we have an August 24th type event in early January may be with GDX, the gold mining ETF. It is due for a pull back early next week, as the cycles have been running a 2-1-2 up move followed by a 2 TD pull back into the 8 TD low (now running 7 TD's). If we can pull back to the lower down sloping line on the chart near 13.20 Tuesday and then rise well above it by January 6th (one day past Mercury stationary/retrograde, often an important PM turn) we may have a stock market meltdown on the 7th. Either way, GDX should top on January 6th, so it is worth watching.

Seasonal/Holiday trading is some of the most difficult to do, mainly because of the lack of volume: it is easily manipulated by the futures traders.

The SPX chart below shows the fan formation lines 1,2 and 3. IF 3 is broken, a visit to the previous lows (SPX 1867) or lower would be likely. Notice also that the daily MACD may be attempting a bullish cross over or it could reverse with a "Kiss of Death". Even if it does give a buy signal, it will likely be a fake out. The daily stochastics are pointing up.

S&P500 Daily Chart

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF Daily Chart

GDX gave us a daily and 4 hour MACD bullish crossover. Often times, these buy signals result in a couple of days of severe selling first before moving much higher. Even with the COT reporting net commercial longs, it is tough for gold and silver to move up against the rising dollar for very long.

Overall, the astro picture for 2016 does not bode well for the markets. With continued commodity deflationary problems and a stronger dollar, profits will shrink. This situation should continue until the introduction of the Yuan as a world reserve currency in the fall of next year. Once the flood of fiat dollars start to return back to the USA, we should see a commodity inflationary boom along with a higher stock market into 2017/18 that will likely be followed by a huge bust going into 2020. The stage is being set for WWIII and possibly a New American Revolution as we are repeating an 80/240 year cycle.

I am happy to see that terrorism was not a huge issue last week as the set up was there for it in the astro charts. Happy Holidays and stay safe! We still face some tough times ahead.

Brad Gudgeon
Editor of The BluStar Market Timer

www.blustarmarkettimer.info

The BluStar Market Timer was rated #1 in the world by Timer Trac in 2014, competing with over 1600 market timers. This occurred despite what the author considered a very difficult year for him. Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info To view the details more clearly, you may visit our free chart look at www.blustarcharts.weebly.com Copyright 2015. All Rights Reserved

Copyright 2015, BluStar Market Timer.  All rights reserved.

Disclaimer:  The above information is not intended as investment advice.  Market timers can and do make mistakes.  The above analysis is believed to be reliable, but we cannot be responsible for losses should they occur as a result of using this information.  This article is intended for educational purposes only. Past performance is never a guarantee of future performance.

Brad Gudgeon Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in