SPX has Ceased its Rally

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have left a high of 2075.07 near the close on Friday and has ceased rising.  It still needs to break the trendlines with the 4.3-year trendline near 2050.00.  A short entry may come at the bounce off the trendline, especially if confirmed by the VIX.

Bloomberg comments, “U.S. stocks slipped from their highest levels this year, with declines in consumer and industrial shares overshadowing gains in health-care companies, as investors looked for fresh reasons to continue a rally.

Equities extended a retreat along with crude oil in afternoon trading. Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. fell more than 1.9 percent, after sliding Friday on disappointing sales. Miner Freeport-McMoRan Inc. lost 3.7 percent as copper capped its longest losing streak in two years. Virgin America Inc. jumped 42 percent after Alaska Air Group Inc. agreed to buy the carrier for $2.6 billion.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.5 percent to 2,063.48 at 2:26 p.m. in New York, after capping its sixth weekly gain in seven. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 74.82 points, or 0.4 percent, to 17,717.93. The Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.5 percent. Trading volume in S&P 500 shares was 15 percent below the 30-day average for this time of day, continuing a stretch of the lightest activity this year.”

WTIC continues to decline, making fresh lows.  Last week I had mentioned waiting for a retracement before going short, but it does not appear that it has had a decent rebound to make a short entry.

As the decline keeps chewing up thelongs, it may have fewer opportunities for a decent bounce, so those who would make this trade should probably make at least a partial entry. 

Wave 3s are very dynamic and the Cycles Model suggests another week of decline before the next bounce into Options Expiration. 

Gold appears to be completing the final decline of Wave 1.  In addition, The Cycles Model calls for a Master Cycle low later this week.  This is not a time to add short positions, but rather wait for the bounce .  I’ll be doing an analysis in the mid-week report, if not sooner. 

Regards,

Tony

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