Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Gold As A Percentage Of Global Financial Assets

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 Dec 25, 2016 - 05:34 AM GMT

By: I_M_Vronsky

Commodities

In 2014 Total Global Assets Topped $105 TRILLION (i.e more than $105,000,000,000,000)

An astronomical amount by any standards. Interestingly, only a small fraction of this monumental amount has been allocated to gold investments. Here below is the record of gold investments since 1980. To be sure a brief history of gold investment demand will indubitably put our analysis into sharp perspective.


In the late 1970s the price of gold soared to the then all-time high of $800/oz…fueled by runaway inflation of that period that propelled gold investments skyward.

(Source: Moore Research Center, Inc)

The price of gold soared from about $160 in 1976 to a little over $800 in early 1980. It is imperative to note that in 1980, gold investments as a percentage of Total Global Financial Assets had reached 5.0%. Hoverer, gold investment demand then began to wane for many of the following years until the new century began in 2000…when the price of gold finally bottomed. In that year gold investments as a percentage of Global Financial Assets had also bottomed at 0.19%.

(Chart Source:  SRSrocco Report: https://srsroccoreport.com )

By 2001 gold investments as a percentage of Global Financial Assets began a slow methodical climb until the 2011-2012 period…when gold again make an all-time peak at over $1,900. Understandably, the price of gold then slowly began to decline in concert with the diminishing gold investments as a percentage of Global Financial Assets (which dropped from 0.85% to last year’s 0.58%.  Think about it:  Gold investment as a percentage of Global Financial Assets were nearly 9 Times greater in 1980 than it is today. To be sure the implications and ramifications of the above are mine-boggling. Here is another chart focus on how minuscule recent gold investment is as a percentage of Global Financial Assets:

(Chart Source:  SRSrocco Report: https://srsroccoreport.com )

Gold Forecast:  In the event gold investments as a percentage of Global Financial Assets again rises to 5.0%, it means 0.05 X 105,000,000,000,000 = $5.25 Trillion ($5.250,000,000,000) will flood into gold. This begs the question:  What might be the impact of a tsunami of increased gold investments hitting world markets?

Here Are The Estimating Rationale

  • Total global gold production is estimated at about 3,000 tonnes.
  • 3,000 tonnes is equivalent to 96,450,000 troy ounces (as there are 32,150 oz/tonne)  
  • Value of one year’s global gold production at $1,150/oz is about $110 Billion

Consequently, in the event gold investments as a percentage of Global Financial Assets again increases from 0.58% to 5.0%, the demand might explode exponentially to $5,250,000,000,000 ($5.25 Trillion).  For this reason this analyst does not dare try to predict how high the gold price will be turbocharged as a result...when this happens. 2017 looks to be a Golden Year for precious metals investors.

(Source: http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/making-case-12000-gold-and-360-silver)

By I. M. Vronsky
Editor & Partner - Gold-Eagle
www.gold-eagle.com

Founder of GOLD-EAGLE in January 1997. Vronsky has over 40 years’ experience in the international investment world, having cut his financial teeth in Wall Street as a Financial Analyst with White Weld.  He believes gold and silver will soon be recognized as legal tender in all 50 US states (Utah and Arizona having already passed laws to that effect). Vronsky speaks three languages with indifference:   English, Spanish and Brazilian Portuguese.  His education includes university degrees in Engineering, Liberal Arts and an MBA in International Business Administration – qualifying as Phi Beta Kappa for high scholastic achievement in all three.

© 2016 Copyright I. M. Vronsky - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in