The Markets Will Collapse As Economic Realities Sink In
Stock-Markets / Financial Crash Jan 30, 2017 - 06:03 AM GMTWell the final data is in and Janet Yellen’s “hot” economy is a disaster.
The US finished 2016 with GDP growth of 1.6%.
This is flat out embarrassing. And it confirms what we have suspected all along: that the 3Q16 numbers were completely fabricated in an excel spreadsheet for political purposes.
This game is run every election cycle. This time around it was just worse than usual.
By the way, the 4Q16 GDP numbers were largely generated by accounting gimmicks as well. Without the inventory buildup and healthcare (Obamacare) real GDP growth was 0.7%.
Put another way, without companies stockpiling stuff and Government mandated socialism, real GDP was barely positive.
Let’s be blunt. The last 8 years were an economic disaster. End of story.
This is not a political attack. This is an attack of this fantasy land nonsense that somehow the numbers are GOOD.
Let’s run down the last 8 years in numbers.
Since 2009, the US debt has risen by $9 trillion, doubling.
Bear in mind, this debt increase occurred despite record tax hauls from 2013 onwards.
Put another way, even while taxes raised more money than ever before, the Government still found a way to grow the debt to the fastest pace in history..
The wonks like to point out that 11 million jobs were created during this time period.
But with the debt increase this comes to ~$900K spent per job created.
If your idea of success is spending $900K to create a single job… with the odds being that the job is part-time (94% of all job creation were in part-time positions), you should not be allowed anywhere near the economics profession or any kind of Government advisory role.
Again, the math process, point blank, states that the last 8 years were an economic disaster. Sure, if you live in a Keynesian echo chamber where you don’t get fired no matter how wrong you are, this looks fine.
Anyone who ran any business like this would have been fired or gone bankrupt LONG ago.
The markets are barely holding up, but this won’t last much longer. The S&P 500 is on thin ice. And now that Dow 20,000 has been obtained, the door is open to a 10% correction in stocks if not worse.
These people are going to get taken to the cleaners.
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Best Regards
Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2016 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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