SPX is having an “inside day.” The most likely formation appears to be the Triangle. It is “buying time” and is not likely to be complete until the close of the day or early tomorrow. It appears to be finishing Wave (d) now and Wave (e) is likely to decline to the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2355.00. Using the Triangle formula, SPX is likely to make a final surge from the trendline to 2365.00. The hourly mid-Cycle resistance is at 2364.48 and the 61.8% retracement is at 2364.13. This cluster of resistance may be pretty formidable, but act as attractors until its time.

Under this scenario, VIX may continue to decline to its 2-hour Cycle bottom at 10.64. However, it could turn at any time and may rise while Wave (v) of [c] in SPX is completing, as it has done before.

The Hi-Lo is at 125, just above its mid-Cycle support/resistance. There is a good chance it may close above that level, suggesting a delayed sell signal.

Regards,

Tony

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As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals.

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only. There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

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