Don’t Get Too Bullish on Gold
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018 Jul 19, 2018 - 02:45 PM GMTBy: Troy_Bombardia
Gold has been getting crushed recently, and now sits near several support levels.
As a result, gold’s weekly RSI has become “oversold”.
Meanwhile, NUGT (gold miner’s 3x leveraged ETF) just spiked. This has some people thinking that big buyers are turning bullish on gold in anticipation of a relief rally.
So should you turn bullish on gold?
No.
Here’s what happens next to gold when its weekly RSI (momentum indicator) falls below 33 for the first time in 3 months.
Click here to download the data in Excel.
Conclusion
When gold’s weekly RSI falls below 33, it tends to go down in the next 3 – 6 months. This is because gold doesn’t usually experience such weak momentum during bull markets. Weak momentum like this signals that gold is still in a bear market. Hence, it will probably make a bullish weekly RSI divergence before bottoming.
This is a medium term bearish sign for precious metals.
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By Troy Bombardia
I’m Troy Bombardia, the author behind BullMarkets.co. I used to run a hedge fund, but closed it due to a major health scare. I am now enjoying life and simply investing/trading my own account. I focus on long term performance and ignore short term performance.
Copyright 2018 © Troy Bombardia - All Rights Reserved
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