BrExit Party EarthQuake Could Win it 150 MP's at Next UK General Election!
ElectionOracle / BrExit May 18, 2019 - 03:48 PM GMTBetrayal of voters and failure to follow through on Manifesto promises ensures that Nigel Farage's insurgent BrExit Party is set to storm the European Elections on the 23rd of May, winning more seats than UKIP's previous tally of 24 won in 2014. However, the pain for Westminster mainstream parties won't end with the EU elections for given the state of the Tory government barely clinging onto power with the help of the erratic DUP then a General Election later this year is increasingly becoming likely.
Given the latest polling by the BrExit party riding high at 35% of the vote, has triggered much consensus speculation in the mainstream press that the BrExit Party could win as many as 50 seats in a Westminister election, primarily from the tories and thus hand a general election to Corbyn's Labour Party and given it's remain credentials kill Brexit!
However, this rear view mirror commentary by mainstream press journalists fails to appreciate the true magnitude of the crisis that the traditional Westminster parties face due to repeatedly having taken their electoral bases for granted, who are likely to rebel on mass at the next General election into the arms of the Lib Dems, Greens, Independents, and of course the BrExit Party. The magnitude of the Brexit Party's victory could go well beyond anything that the mainstream press can comprehend today that could deliver a true electoral blood bath for both the Tories and Labour which could see General Election Night end with on as many as 150 Brexit Party MP's!
This would be an unprecedented SHOCK event in British electoral history, for instance when UKIP was riding high in the polls only managed to win 1 MP in Britain's first past the post system. But given the Brexit Party's break above 30% in the EU election polling then that is sufficient momentum to carry the BrExit Party to break through Britians electoral system to win on a scale that will to all intents and purposes kill the Tory party whilst devastating the Labour party, which isn't exactly going to deliver a Labour government, especially given that the Lib Dems will take a number of Labour seats as the true party of REMAIN.
In fact what is left of the Tory party could be forced to merge with the BrExit Party so that a government can be formed, perhaps even under the leadership of Prime Minister Farage, depending on whether the BrExit party wins more MP's than the Tories.
How Many Seats Will the BrExit Party Win in the EU Elections ?
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The bottom line is that the Brexit Party's results in the EU elections will just be a precursor to an even bigger political earthquake at the next General Election!
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Nadeem Walayat
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Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.
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