Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Tarrified as President Dump Risks Turning Recession into Stagflationary Depression - 21st April 25
President Dump Delivers BEAR MARKET - Stock Market Battles Between Order and Chaos - 7th April 25
Stocks Bull Market End Game Bear Start Strategy - 20th Mar 25
Gold and System Collapse: Charting the Bank Run of the Mighty US Dollar - 20th Mar 25
Tesla's Troubles — Is it Musk or is it More? - 20th Mar 25
The Stock Market Bear / Crash indicator Window - 9th Mar 25
Big US Tech Stocks Fundamentals - 9th Mar 25
No Winners When The Inflation Balloon Pops - 9th Mar 25

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Forecast Current and for Next 30 Years

Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis Oct 30, 2008 - 10:15 AM GMT

By: Weekly_Wizards

Stock-Markets

WHEN WILL THE MARKET BOTTOM?  Following you will find Daniel Ferrera's cycle forecast of the S&P 500 for the next 30 years, out to 2036, as well as a projection of an expected rally for the next 3 weeks.  Read on for details...

FERRERA S&P 500 CYCLE FORECAST TO 2036


In his breakthrough cycle analysis book, Wheels Within Wheels , released in 2002, financial market analyst Daniel T. Ferrera presented a 100+ year forecast for the stock market to 2108 .  Here we present an excerpt from that forecast for the S&P 500 to 2036.  The blue line represents the actual market (monthly close only) up to present, and predicted the 2007 top within 1 week , also forecasting the declines we have currently seen.  (Note: Regarding these forecasts, please see disclaimer below. Model price scale does not represent exact market scale, but is a relative summation of cycle amplitudes. Though it happened to fit nicely for the last 7 years, timing is the real key!)

WHAT EVERYONE WANTS TO KNOW: WHERE'S THE BOTTOM?

Here we have “zoomed” down into Ferrera's 2002 S&P forecast and compared it (red line) vs. the actual market (blue line) up to the present.  Note that the forecast nailed the bottoms of late 2002 and early 2003 and the October 2007 top, and has provided an excellent model of market action to date!  But what's next?

FERRERA'S SHORT TERM “MONEYTRAIL” FORECAST

Ferrera presented his weekly “MoneyTrail” indicator in his recent forecast , General Outlook For 2008 , released in January of this year.  The "MoneyTrail" indicator accurately forecasted this recent meltdown and is predicting a significant rally for the next three weeks . The yellow line is the S&P 500, the blue line is the forecast, which is around 70% accurate for predicting trend direction and weekly tops and bottoms . There is a pretty strong 8-week cycle that showed up in the data. Money Flow is a displaced 5-period rate of change of the Yield Gap between stocks and high grade bonds. This indicator anticipates the stock market's general direction 5 weeks in advance and currently indicates a 3 week rally  though the weeks of November 7th, 14th & 21st, which coincides with the presidential election time period. The General Outlook for 2008 was originally offered at $100, but we have now made this forecast available for free, and you can download it at the following link:

FREE DOWNLOAD OF FERRERA OUTLOOK FOR 2008: http://www.sacredscience.com/ ferrera/Outlook2008.htm

For full details about Daniel T. Ferrera's publications, including Wheels Within Wheels, with it's market forecasts to 2108, and his articles written for Trader's World Magazine, or to sign up for FERRERA'S EMAIL LIST, visit our website: http://www.sacredscience.com/ ferrera



BALANCE OF ORIGINAL ARTICLE DELETED AT THE REQUEST OF THE AUTTHOR - 15TH OCTOBER 2009.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in