I view the Homebuilding Sector ETF (AMEX: XHB) chart pattern from October as a developing base that is maturing ahead of a counter-trend period that should propel prices above the December recovery high near 13.80 towards a confrontation with the declining 200 DMA, now at 17.48.

However, initial resistance along the way starts at 13.60 and extends to 14.60/70, at which point I will have to determine whether or not to hold our model portfolio long position or to exit, looking to re-enter into weakness. For now, as long as 12.00 contains any forthcoming weakness, I am "friendly" to the homebuilding sector.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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